Why Arsenal Are the Best Champions League Bet Right Now

Arsenal are making waves in the 2024/25 Champions League, and our in-house projection model places them as the favourites to win, with a 19.6% chance. This surpasses Liverpool (16.5%), Real Madrid (15%), Manchester City (12.8%), and Bayern Munich (9.7%).

However, bookmakers seem to undervalue the Gunners, offering odds around 8.00, which implies only a 12.5% probability. This creates an opportunity for bettors to back Arsenal at a value price, especially given their strong domestic and European form.

Arsenal’s Form and Performance

Mikel Arteta’s side have carried their domestic momentum into Europe, building on an impressive 89-point Premier League campaign in 2023/24. Despite being 11th in the Champions League for expected goals (xG), their resilience and efficiency against top teams highlight their potential.

The Gunners’ performances against strong opposition showcase their adaptability. Convincing wins over Sporting Lisbon (5-1), PSG (2-0), and Shakhtar Donetsk (1-0) illustrate a balance of attacking flair and defensive stability. Their narrow defeat to Inter Milan—a side yet to concede in the group stage—was a close contest, with Arsenal outshooting the Italians 20 to 7.

Why Now is the Right Time

Arsenal are showing signs of a team peaking at the right time. Their ability to mix defensive grit with attacking creativity, particularly in set pieces, makes them a formidable opponent in knockout stages. Arteta’s side have also proven they can navigate challenging away fixtures and handle high-pressure situations, essential traits for Champions League success.

With their odds at 8.00, now is the perfect time to back Arsenal. Their mix of confidence, tactical acumen, and form heading into 2025 positions them as genuine contenders for Europe’s top prize.

Final Thoughts

The Gunners’ blend of resilience, quality, and growing belief suggests they are ready to conquer Europe. With bookmakers offering generous odds, Arsenal present one of the best value bets in this season’s Champions League outright market.

Odds courtesy of bet365. Correct at time of publishing and subject to change.

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