Toulouse vs Montpellier Prediction: Team News and Lineups Preview

Here in our Toulouse vs Montpellier prediction preview, the visitors look to end their shocking away form in Ligue 1 which has seen them yet to register a point. They travel to face an inconsistent and underachieving Toulouse side for this Sunday early evening kick off in the violet city. 

Toulouse vs Montpellier Prediction: Visitors can finally end their barren away run

France, Ligue 1, Sunday, January 26th, 16:15 (UK)

On the face of things, backing Montpellier on a draw double chance would appear like total madness when you consider they have lost all eight Ligue 1 away games this season and only scored three goals in the process. But this might be a good situational play and going au-contrarian could pay dividends if the visitors can build on their shock win last week. Nobody predicted that Montpellier would beat Monaco 2-1 but perhaps there had been some signs of it coming. They played very well on their visit to Lyon a couple of weeks ago, somehow losing a match which they really should have won. Montpellier shot themselves in the foot by having two men sent off against Angers but showed last week if they can keep 11 men on the field then they can get themselves out of trouble.

Montpellier are fighting for their lives at the moment and need to build on that win last week by travelling to a Toulouse side who have been underwhelming this season. They have been frustrating their fans with an abundance of missed chances and the general conception is that they’ve underachieved. There is a lot of expectation on them to win here but it might not come easy vs a side who are scrapping very hard. If Montpellier play as they have been doing recently then this is not an automatic home win and the draw double chance would look big at 2.25. The hope is that Montpellier keep their heads and keep it 11 vs 11 but they should be much more confident and relieved after victory last week. Facing a team who regularly miss chances this could be the time to end their miserable away run. Montpellier won this fixture 2-1 last season and can maybe spring the surprise again. 

• Toulouse vs Montpellier Prediction: Montpellier draw double chance(TRACKED BET)
• Best Odds: 2.25
• Bookmaker: bet365
• Stake: 5/10 (TRACKED BET)

Toulouse vs Montpellier Prediction odds via bet365 as at 11:30, January 23rd, 2024. Odds may now differ.

Toulouse vs Montpellier Injuries, Team News and Possible Lineups Prediction: Ferri still suspended for Montpellier

Toulouse midfielder and primary penalty taker Vincent Sierro is injured with a calf problem and is still expected to be out for several weeks. TFC should lineup in their familiar 3-4-2-1 system.

Montpellier switched to a 5-4-1 formation last week which was effective in beating Monaco 2-1. The manager Jean Louis Gasset could stick with the same XI that delivered for him. Jordan Ferri is suspended but defender Kiki Kouate could potentially come back from his ban. 

Toulouse possible starting lineup:
Restes, McKenzie, Cresswell, Canvas, Suazo, Csseres, Genreau, Gboho, Aboukhlal, King

Montpellier possible starting lineup:
Lecomte, Sylla, Sagnan, Omeragic, Tchato, Mouanga, Nzingoula, Chotard, Savanier, Tamari, Khazri

Match Stats: Toulouse keep underachieving in front of goal

• Toulouse are 3rd in the xPoints table and have underachieved their xG by 9.21 this season. They simply have not converted their chances which has become a continual theme
• Montpellier have lost all 8 away matches in Ligue 1 this season but played much better than results suggested in recent outings.
• Montpellier have received the most cards in Ligue 1 with 51 yellows and 6 reds.
• Conversely, Toulouse are one of the most disciplined sides with only 28 yellows and 1 red.
• Toulouse only average 43.8% possession this season and have the second worst pass % in Ligue 1

Safer Gambling

At bettingexpert, we always take a safe approach to gambling. We’ll never bet more than we can afford or chase losses. For more advice, head to our Safer Gambling hub.