Premier League November Betting Preview: Key Stats & Fixtures

As November kicks off in the Premier League, it’s the perfect time to look back on seasonal trends and predict what the upcoming matches might hold for bettors. We’ve analysed the last five Novembers in the Premier League to pinpoint key betting angles for Liverpool, Brentford, Manchester City, Southampton, and Bournemouth. Here’s what you need to know as you prepare your bets for the month ahead.

Liverpool: Dominating November Fixtures

Liverpool enter November just behind league leaders Manchester City and will aim to keep pace in the title race. Historically, November has been a productive month for the Reds, who have won 10 of their 15 Premier League games during this period over the last five seasons. Under Arne Slot, Liverpool’s record at Anfield remains one of the best in the league, with only three home defeats since the 2021/22 season. This November, two of their three fixtures are at Anfield, offering them an advantage in their title pursuit.

• Fixtures: Brighton (H), Aston Villa (H), Southampton (A)
• Betting Insight: Liverpool’s strong November form and Anfield advantage make them a solid pick in the outright market, particularly for home wins.

Brentford: Most Profitable in 1X2 Market

While Liverpool have the most November wins, Brentford have consistently provided the best returns in the 1X2 market, largely due to a memorable 2-1 victory over Manchester City at the Etihad in 2022. With three wins from their last eight November games, the Bees offer a standout 195.3% return on investment for punters with flat stakes.

• Fixtures: Fulham (A), Bournemouth (H), Everton (A), Leicester (A)
• Betting Insight: Brentford’s favourable matchups this month, particularly against Fulham and Everton, offer promising options in the 1X2 market.

Manchester City: Both Teams to Score (BTTS) Trend

Manchester City may sit atop the table, but recent history reveals a trend of defensive vulnerability in November. Over the past five seasons, BTTS has landed in 73.2% of their November matches, generating over five points of profit from flat stakes. The trend has held up this season, with BTTS hitting in seven of their first nine league games.

• Fixtures: Bournemouth (A), Brighton (A), Tottenham (H)
• Betting Insight: City’s BTTS potential makes this a market worth exploring, especially against attacking teams like Brighton and Tottenham.

Southampton: Strong BTTS Potential

Southampton’s defensive struggles have continued this season, but they’ve also shown a knack for getting on the scoresheet in November. In the last five seasons, BTTS has landed in 76.9% of Southampton’s November games, offering an impressive 38.9% ROI.

• Fixtures: Everton (H), Wolves (A), Liverpool (H), Brighton (A)
• Betting Insight: With both teams scoring in four of their last five matches against Everton, BTTS is an appealing market, especially in home games where Southampton’s xG metrics indicate they’re likely to score.

Bournemouth: Over 2.5 Goals Market Leader

Bournemouth’s games have frequently hit the Over 2.5 Goals mark, with 77.8% of their November matches surpassing this threshold since the 2019/20 season. This trend continues in their current campaign, where games are averaging 2.44 goals.

• Fixtures: Manchester City (H), Brentford (A)
• Betting Insight: Over 2.5 Goals is a promising bet in Bournemouth’s upcoming games, especially their clash against Brentford, who rank second in average goals per match this season.

Final Thoughts on November’s Betting Opportunities

November offers a range of opportunities, from Liverpool’s reliability at home to Brentford’s value in the 1X2 market and City’s tendency for high-scoring matches. By focusing on these trends, bettors can navigate the unique patterns that November brings to the Premier League and find value across different markets.

Odds courtesy of bet365. Correct at time of publishing and subject to change.

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