Premier League Milestone Goal Chasers: Top Betting Tips for the Weekend

Match Day 10 delivered thrilling action as James Maddison’s stoppage-time goal marked his 50th Premier League goal. This weekend, several big names—like Bernardo Silva, Cole Palmer, and Jordan Ayew—are on the verge of reaching their own career goal milestones. For those looking to make informed betting choices, these players’ performances and current form could be key factors in finding value. Here’s a breakdown of their potential impact and betting appeal.

Cole Palmer: Targeting His 30th Goal in a London Derby

Chelsea’s 21-year-old forward, Cole Palmer, has made waves with 22 goals last season and has added another seven since. Although his recent form has dipped, with only one goal in his last four games, he’s still a player to watch in high-stakes matches. Known for his ability to deliver under pressure, Palmer has shown his skill against top-tier opponents, including Arsenal—Chelsea’s upcoming rival. Despite facing a strong defence, Palmer’s big-game mentality might just see him reach his milestone.

• Key Stat: Palmer has outperformed his expected goals (xG) by 2.70, even against strong defences.
• Betting Insight: Given Arsenal’s recent struggles to keep clean sheets on the road, Palmer offers value as a potential anytime scorer.

John Duran: A High-Risk, High-Reward Choice

Aston Villa’s John Duran has impressed in limited minutes, netting four goals as a substitute across 10 appearances. However, his task this weekend is challenging—he’s up against Liverpool’s robust backline, which has conceded only six goals all season. With no goals scored after the 75th minute at Anfield, Duran’s chances of hitting double digits before the international break look slim, particularly if he doesn’t start.

• Key Stat: Duran’s impact has come exclusively from the bench, making him a high-risk pick.
• Betting Insight: Given Liverpool’s form, consider avoiding this market unless Duran gets a rare start.

Jordan Ayew: Leicester’s Impact Sub Poised for United Test

Jordan Ayew has stepped up as Leicester City’s go-to super-sub, delivering two crucial goals to secure points this season. With Leicester set to face a struggling Manchester United side, Ayew could once again play a pivotal role. United’s poor defensive record after Europa League matches makes them vulnerable to late strikes—a role Ayew relishes from the bench.

• Key Stat: Ayew has a knack for impacting games against tiring defences.
• Betting Insight: Ayew offers solid value as a late scorer, especially against a United defence that has conceded in several second halves.

Bernardo Silva: Backed by Stats and History Against Brighton

Manchester City’s Bernardo Silva hasn’t scored in the Premier League this season, but history and stats are on his side as City take on Brighton. Silva has netted four goals in 15 encounters with Brighton, and with the Seagulls struggling defensively, this could be his moment to add to his Premier League tally.

• Key Stat: Brighton’s expected goals against (xGA) per game is over 1.5, giving Silva a solid opportunity.
• Betting Insight: Silva is a strong pick to score his first league goal of the season, especially given Brighton’s recent form.

Marcus Tavernier: Bournemouth’s Secret Weapon

Bournemouth winger Marcus Tavernier is in a promising position to reach his career milestone of 10 Premier League goals, facing a Brentford side that allows the most shots per game in the league. With his increased shot volume and Bournemouth’s resurgent form, Tavernier stands out as an excellent value bet for the weekend.

• Key Stat: Brentford concedes 18.8 shots per 90 minutes, creating a fertile opportunity for Tavernier.
• Betting Insight: Tavernier could surprise against a leaky Brentford defence, making him a solid candidate for goal markets.

Each of these players presents a unique opportunity for bettors, depending on the risk level and matchup. Whether you’re backing proven goal-scorers or taking a punt on rising talents, the odds reflect their form and upcoming opponents. Be sure to check starting lineups and player form closer to match day for the latest insights.

Odds courtesy of bet365. Correct at time of publishing and subject to change.

SAFER GAMBLING

At bettingexpert, we always take a safe approach to gambling. We’ll never bet more than we can afford or chase losses. For more advice, head to our Safer Gambling hub.