Midweek Premier League Betting Tips: Shock Results and Goals Galore

Midweek Premier League fixtures are always a spectacle, offering unexpected twists, high-scoring matches, and plenty of betting opportunities. As Match Day 14 unfolds, the first midweek games of the season promise excitement across three consecutive nights. Let’s delve into how to make the most of your bets in these unpredictable encounters.

Why Midweek Matches Are Different

Midweek fixtures often diverge from weekend norms. Last season, 46 midweek games produced a remarkable 157 goals, averaging 3.41 per game—well above the season’s average. Shock results were commonplace, with upsets frequently rewarding those who backed the underdogs.

Notable surprises included West Ham’s 2-1 win over Tottenham and Aston Villa’s 1-0 victory over Manchester City, delivering returns at odds of 4.79 and 5.12, respectively. Newly promoted Luton also made waves, nearly toppling Arsenal in a 4-3 thriller with odds of 16.68.

The festive fixtures saw even more unpredictability. Nottingham Forest beat Newcastle, and Luton triumphed over Sheffield United, but the standout result was West Ham’s 2-0 win at the Emirates with odds of 10.44.

Key Betting Opportunities

Back the Underdogs

Midweek matches often favour home teams with surprising form. Ipswich, Leicester, Everton, Fulham, and Bournemouth all offer odds above 2.10 for home wins. For added safety, consider a ‘double chance’ bet (win or draw), particularly for Ipswich against struggling Crystal Palace.

Goals Galore

High-scoring games dominate midweek fixtures. Southampton vs Chelsea and Arsenal vs Manchester United stand out in the goals market. Under new manager Ruben Amorim, Manchester United have seen 11 goals in their last three games, making bets on Over 2.5 Goals or Both Teams to Score (BTTS) enticing.

Value Bets

Fulham versus Brighton is a matchup to watch. With Fulham performing better on expected points metrics, their odds of 2.30 to win offer strong value. Similarly, Brentford could upset a winless Aston Villa at odds of 4.18, with BTTS also a viable option.

Odds courtesy of bet365. Correct at time of publishing and subject to change.

Safer Gambling

At bettingexpert, we always take a safe approach to gambling. We’ll never bet more than we can afford or chase losses. For more advice, head to our Safer Gambling hub.