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Boxing Marseille vs PSG Prediction: Team News and Lineups Preview
Welcome to our Marseille vs PSG prediction, team news, lineups and fixtures preview. The biggest match of the French domestic season takes place on the Mediterranean coast as Marseille welcomes PSG for ‘Le CLassique’.
Prediction: Marseille 2-2 PSG
These two old rivals have a huge hate for each other and both sides will give it everything to get a positive result. Something might have to give here. Marseille are unbeaten at home but PSG are unbeaten away. French expert Steve Wyss previews the Ligue 1 match in full with the best bets and insights.
- Marseille vs PSG Tip 1: Over 3 Asian Goals
- Marseille vs PSG Tip 2: Kylian Mbappe to Score Anytime
- Marseille vs PSG Tip 3: Over 9.5 Corners
Marseille vs PSG Prediction 1: Expect the goals to flow at the Velodrome
France, Ligue 1, Sunday 31st March, 19:45 (UK)
The mentality, focus and motivation of PSG can sometimes be difficult to predict at the best of times in Ligue 1 but this is the one fixture you know they will be totally committed. The biggest match of the French domestic calendar awaits as they lock horns with OM in Le Classique. PSG have a remarkably good record at this venue and regularly raises their levels in such a game. They have scored at least twice here in 8 of their last nine trips, which is tremendous consistency.
There is a temptation to back PSG on a -0.25 Asian Handicap, considering their record here and also the extra quality in the team. Marseille are a prideful side, though, and an interesting prospect under the management of Jean-Louis Gasset. OM have won 5 out of 7 fixtures since he took charge and progressed to the Europa League quarter-finals where they will face Benfica. Since he took over, Marseille games average 3.85 goals in each match, which is a significant statistic.
Taking over 3 Asian goals is one of my preferred bets in this game. It either develops into a drab affair or is more likely to be quite a pulsating clash between two teams who want to win. OM haven’t beaten PSG in a league game year for over a decade, so they will not just be settling for a point. A minimum of three goals is to be expected, so let’s take this goal line at an odds-against price.
- Marseille vs PSG Prediction 1: Over 3 Asian Goals (TRACKED BET)
- Best Odds: 2.05
- Bookmaker: bet365
- Stake: 8/10
Marseille vs PSG Prediction 2: Mbappe to raise his level against arch enemy
Punters have been stung in recent weeks when backing Kylian Mbappe to score. His minutes on the field have fluctuated more with the manager both protecting him and preparing for life in Paris without their global superstar. This is one match that you know he will play a significant chunk of, though, as long as he doesn’t pick up an injury. He has generally been in strong form, netting a hat-trick away to Montpellier recently and also bagging a brace vs Real Sociedad. At an odds-against price to score anytime, he’s usually a no-brainer bet.
Just to add further spice, Mbappe grew up a boyhood PSG fan, and with their greatest rivals being Marseille he should be even more fired up to perform. Whilst at PSG, he has played against OM 11 times in Ligue 1 and scored in 7 of those contests. On two occasions, he racked up a brace of goals, including in this same fixture last season. He likes to put on a show and raise his game for the big matches. It’s really difficult to oppose the main man when this price is dangled like a carrot.
- Marseille vs PSG Prediction 2: Kylian Mbappe to Score Anytime (TRACKED BET)
- Best Odds: 2.10
- Bookmaker: bet365
- Stake: 7/10
Marseille vs PSG Prediction 3:Look to flag kicks in this clash of rivals
The corners market is not one which I venture in that often, but this match stands out as an opportunity. Both Marseille and PSG rank inside the top five for overall average corners in Ligue 1 this season, and each side picks up close to 5.5 flag kicks in each contest. At the other end of the field both sides are guilty of leaking a few in as well.
This will hopefully be quite a frantic game and at times end to end. The fierce rivalry nature of proceedings should lead to an intense match where defenders get stuck in and are perhaps more likely to give away corners. There could be desperate situations and clearances where players are more inclined to take a safety-first option. Both keepers are more than likely to be tested hard with several shots on target, producing some saves which inevitably lead to corners.
Taking over 9.5 corners looks like a decent option. The last three H2H meetings have produced 13, 11 and 11 corners, respectively, adding further weight to the fact that this matchup increases corner potential.
- Marseille vs PSG Prediction 3: Over 9.5 Corners (TRACKED BET)
- Best Odds: 1.83
- Bookmaker: bet365
- Stake: 7/10
Marseille vs PSG Prediction odds via bet365 as at 01:00, March 26th 2024. Odds may now differ.
Marseille vs PSG Team News and Possible Lineups: Both sides with some defensive absences
The most significant injury for Marseille is defender Samuel Gigot who has a shoulder problem. That means that former Lorient player Abdoul Bamo Meite should stay in the team alongside Chancel Mbemba at the back.
PSG still have defensive injuries to the likes of Milan Skriniar, Marquinhos and Presnel Kimpembe. Marco Asensio is also still likely out of contention. Kylian Mbappe will likely play on the left with Randal Kolo Muani upfront.
Marseille possible starting lineup: Lopez, Merlin, Meita, Mbemba, Clauss, Gueye, Kondogbia, Harit, Ndiaye, Sarr, Aubameyang
PSG possible starting lineup: Donnarumma, Hernandez, Beraldo, Pereira, Hakimi, Vitinha, Ugarte, Lee, Mbappe, Kolo Muani, Barcola
The Predicted Marseille vs PSG Ligue 1 Standings by BETSiE
Our in-house predictive model, BETSiE, has had a go at predicting the Ligue 1 standings ahead of the Marseille vs PSG, currently 7th vs 1st, fixture by utilising the underlying data from the 2023/24 season up until this point.
For more league-specific BETSiE content including standings, probabilities and predictions, visit her page here – it’s worth it.
Marseille vs PSG Standings Prediction
| Position | Club | Games | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris SG | 34 | 22.6 | 8.1 | 3.4 | 79.0 | 32.6 | 46.4 | 75.8 |
| 2 | Brest | 34 | 17.7 | 9.7 | 6.6 | 51.3 | 28.6 | 22.7 | 62.8 |
| 3 | Monaco | 34 | 16.8 | 7.7 | 9.6 | 60.9 | 48.2 | 12.7 | 57.9 |
| 4 | Nice | 34 | 16.0 | 9.8 | 8.2 | 37.6 | 26.8 | 10.8 | 57.7 |
| 5 | Lille | 34 | 15.0 | 10.8 | 8.1 | 49.0 | 31.9 | 17.1 | 55.9 |
| 6 | Lens | 34 | 15.0 | 8.5 | 10.5 | 48.5 | 38.7 | 9.8 | 53.6 |
| 7 | Marseille | 34 | 13.6 | 11.7 | 8.7 | 50.8 | 36.1 | 14.7 | 52.6 |
| 8 | Rennes | 34 | 13.3 | 10.9 | 9.9 | 49.5 | 40.7 | 8.8 | 50.6 |
| 9 | Reims | 34 | 14.1 | 6.7 | 13.2 | 44.9 | 46.2 | -1.2 | 49.1 |
| 10 | Lyon | 34 | 11.9 | 6.6 | 15.5 | 40.8 | 52.2 | -11.4 | 42.4 |
| 11 | Toulouse | 34 | 9.6 | 10.7 | 13.7 | 38.7 | 47.5 | -8.8 | 39.4 |
| 12 | Montpellier | 34 | 9.3 | 10.6 | 14.1 | 41.3 | 46.9 | -5.6 | 38.5 |
| 13 | Strasbourg | 34 | 9.5 | 9.9 | 14.6 | 35.7 | 50.0 | -14.4 | 38.4 |
| 14 | Nantes | 34 | 10.2 | 6.7 | 17.1 | 35.2 | 50.4 | -15.2 | 37.3 |
| 15 | Le Havre | 34 | 8.2 | 11.6 | 14.2 | 36.6 | 47.7 | -11.0 | 36.1 |
| 16 | Lorient | 34 | 7.3 | 9.5 | 17.3 | 41.5 | 63.8 | -22.3 | 31.3 |
| 17 | Clermont | 34 | 5.8 | 10.5 | 17.7 | 28.6 | 55.8 | -27.2 | 28.0 |
| 18 | Metz | 34 | 6.3 | 7.8 | 19.9 | 28.5 | 54.4 | -25.9 | 26.7 |
Match Stats: Velodrome happy hunting ground for PSG
- Marseille are the only unbeaten home team in Ligue 1 with 8 wins and 5 draws.
- Jean-Louis Gasset won his first five games in charge of Marseille, but now lost his last two consecutively.
- PSG are unbeaten away with 9 victories and 4 draws.
- PSG have the best defensive record away from home in Ligue1, conceding only 9 goals.
- PSG have won 6 of the last 8 H2H meetings.
- PSG have not lost any of their last 10 league matches away at Le Stade Velodrome.
Marseille Fixtures: Europa League could become the priority
- Vs Lille (A)
- Vs Benfica (A)
- Vs Benfica (H)
- Vs Toulouse (A)
- Vs Nice (H)
PSG Fixtures: All eyes on the Barcelona UCL clash
- Vs Rennes (H) French Cup
- Vs Clermont (H)
- Vs Barcelona (H)
- Vs Barcelona (A)
- Vs Lyon (H)
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