Marcus Thuram: A Top Bet for Serie A Capocannoniere in 2024

Marcus Thuram’s rise at Inter Milan has been nothing short of remarkable, and much of his transformation can be credited to Simone Inzaghi. Known for honing strikers into goal-scoring forces, Inzaghi’s success stories include Ciro Immobile, who clinched the European Golden Shoe in 2020, and Lautaro Martinez, who hit a career-high 24 league goals last season.

Thuram, initially valued for his versatility, is now flourishing as a traditional number 9. His set-piece goal against Parma last Friday—a hallmark of Inzaghi’s tactical acumen—showcased this evolution. With Inzaghi’s proven track record, Thuram is on course to replicate or surpass his predecessors’ success.

Thuram’s Scoring Stats Shine Bright

In just 14 Serie A games this season, Thuram has netted 10 goals, putting him firmly in the Capocannoniere race. Compare this to last season, where he managed 13 goals across the entire campaign, and his upward trajectory is clear. His current scoring rate has seen him reach double figures nine matchdays earlier than in 2023/24.

Defying xG Expectations

Thuram’s knack for converting difficult chances sets him apart. This season, he has scored 10 goals from an xG of 7.94, showcasing his clinical finishing. While historically not an xG outperformer, his current form suggests a shift, further solidifying his credentials as a top scorer contender.

Competition and Betting Value

Thuram faces stiff competition from Atalanta’s Mateo Retegui (12 goals) and Ademola Lookman (8 goals). However, with Thuram accounting for nearly 30% of Inter’s goals this season, his edge becomes apparent. Projections estimate Inter will score 79 goals, positioning Thuram for a potential 23-goal season.

For bettors, Thuram offers compelling value. Priced at 5.00 (20% implied probability), his odds to top Serie A scorers present better potential returns compared to Retegui at 2.37 (42.2% implied probability). Considering Thuram’s form and Inzaghi’s guidance, the Frenchman is a smart pick to claim the Capocannoniere crown.

Odds courtesy of bet365. Correct at time of publishing and subject to change.

SAFER GAMBLING

At bettingexpert, we always take a safe approach to gambling. We’ll never bet more than we can afford or chase losses. For more advice, head to our Safer Gambling hub.