League Cup Betting Tips: Back the Underdogs in the Quarter-Finals

The League Cup quarter-finals arrive during the most congested period of the football calendar. Clubs involved in European competitions have been playing twice weekly for months, and all eight teams now face a packed festive fixture schedule. This workload is likely to lead to squad rotation, opening the door for underdogs to shine.

Arsenal vs Crystal Palace: Eagles Eye an Upset

Crystal Palace are in excellent form, losing just once in their last nine matches. They impressed with a win away to Brighton on Sunday and have been solid on the road, drawing at Aston Villa and eliminating them from the League Cup earlier this season.

Arsenal, on the other hand, have struggled with fixture congestion, dropping points in four of their six league games following Champions League fixtures. Their attack looked toothless in a goalless draw with Everton at the weekend, and Mikel Arteta may be tempted to rotate his squad.

With Palace showing defensive resilience and Arsenal prone to fatigue, the Eagles have a genuine chance to qualify. A draw leading to a penalty shootout—a 50-50 proposition—offers bettors a tempting underdog option.

Newcastle vs Brentford: Don’t Rule Out the Bees

Brentford stunned Newcastle with a 4-2 win in West London just weeks ago. While this match takes place at St. James’ Park, Newcastle have been inconsistent, winning only four of their last 11 games across all competitions.

Brentford, despite poor away form, have been competitive against top teams. Newcastle’s squad rotation and the possibility of extra time make backing the Bees on the double chance or to qualify an intriguing value bet.

Southampton vs Liverpool: Can Saints Spring a Surprise?

Southampton may have endured a 5-0 drubbing against Tottenham at the weekend, but the sacking of Russell Martin could spark a new-manager bounce. Liverpool, meanwhile, have seen their Premier League lead shrink after consecutive draws and have a crucial clash with Spurs looming.

Despite Liverpool being favourites, a rotated squad could leave them vulnerable. Southampton have already shown fight against Liverpool, narrowly losing 3-2 in their recent league encounter. At home, with the boost of managerial change, the Saints could be worth backing as underdogs.

Final Thoughts

This stage of the League Cup often throws up surprises, particularly during a packed schedule. With heavy favourites likely to rotate, underdogs like Crystal Palace, Brentford, and Southampton have genuine chances to deliver value for bettors.

Odds courtesy of bet365. Correct at time of publishing and subject to change.

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