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Football | Monday, December 16, 2024 6:05 PM

How to Bet on PSG’s Ligue 1 and Champions League Inconsistencies

How to Bet on PSG’s Ligue 1 and Champions League Inconsistencies
Associated Press / Alamy Stock Photo: Monaco's Breel Embolo

Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) remains the dominant force in French football, but their 2024 campaign under Luis Enrique has been far from smooth. While they maintain a strong position in Ligue 1, their Champions League form raises questions for bettors. Let’s break down how to navigate PSG’s inconsistencies in both competitions.

PSG’s Ligue 1 Woes: Can Monaco Take Advantage?

Despite their dominance in Ligue 1, PSG has struggled to stamp their authority away from home. Although they recently overcame Lyon to go seven points clear at the top, their upcoming clash against Monaco presents another challenge.

Monaco boasts an impressive record against PSG at the Stade Louis-II, remaining unbeaten in their last four home encounters, including three wins. Additionally, Monaco has conceded just 0.75 goals per home game this season, making a draw or Monaco win on the double chance market a tempting bet.

While PSG has been odds-on favourites in all seven Ligue 1 away fixtures this season, they’ve dropped points in three of those matches. Luis Enrique’s experimental forward lines, including Bradley Barcola and Ousmane Dembélé, haven’t consistently delivered in the absence of Kylian Mbappé, who departed in the summer.


Champions League Showdown: PSG vs. Manchester City

PSG’s struggles extend to the Champions League, where they risk missing the knockout stages entirely. Sitting 25th in the league phase table, they must overcome a crucial clash with Manchester City at the Parc des Princes to stay alive in Europe.

Home advantage could be pivotal. PSG has lost just one of their 11 home games this season, while City has endured a dismal away run, failing to secure an away win since October 20th. With City looking uncharacteristically vulnerable, backing PSG in the 1×2 market or exploring markets like PSG to win and under 3.5 goals could yield value.


Final Thoughts

For Ligue 1, focus on PSG’s shaky away form and Monaco’s home strength. In the Champions League, PSG’s stellar home record gives them the edge over a struggling Manchester City. Betting against the odds-on favourites in Ligue 1 or favouring PSG in home European fixtures could be the key to smart wagering.


Market Odds
Monaco vs PSG – Monaco Double Chance 1.83
PSG vs Manchester City – PSG to Win 2.80

Odds courtesy of bet365. Correct at time of publishing and subject to change.


SAFER GAMBLING

At bettingexpert, we always take a safe approach to gambling. We’ll never bet more than we can afford or chase losses. For more advice, head to our Safer Gambling hub.

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