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Football | Tuesday, December 24, 2024 6:32 PM

How to Bet on Late Goals: Bournemouth & Atletico Madrid Trends

How to Bet on Late Goals: Bournemouth & Atletico Madrid Trends
Every Second Media / Alamy Stock Photo: Bournemouth's Enes Unal

Bournemouth and Atletico Madrid have emerged as prime candidates for late-goal betting this season. Their knack for scoring in the final stages of matches offers value in specific betting markets, particularly in games where these teams are involved.

Here, we dive into the stats, trends, and betting opportunities to help you capitalise on this trend.

Bournemouth’s Late-Game Heroics

Bournemouth have mastered the art of scoring in injury time, netting six goals in the 90th minute or later this Premier League season—the most of any team. Notably, eight of their 24 league goals have been scored by substitutes, showcasing their depth and tactical flexibility.

In recent weeks, Bournemouth have delivered late drama. Enes Unal’s injury-time free-kick secured a point against West Ham, while Dango Outtara’s 95th-minute winner against Ipswich further highlighted their ability to thrive in clutch moments.

Bournemouth’s average of 0.62 goals in the final 15 minutes per match far exceeds the league average of 0.34, making them a standout choice in late-goal betting markets.


Atletico Madrid’s Determined Finishes

Diego Simeone’s Atletico Madrid are renowned for their resilience, and this season they’ve amplified that reputation with a series of late goals. Ahead of their clash with Barcelona, 42% of Atletico’s goals have come after the 75th minute.

Key signings Alexander Sorloth and Julian Alvarez have bolstered Atletico’s attack, driving a massive uptick in their late-game scoring. They average 0.82 goals in the 76th minute and beyond—more than double last season’s output in the same period and significantly above La Liga’s 0.35 average.

Atleti’s late goals have been pivotal in their title push, including dramatic finishes against Sevilla and other top teams. This consistency makes them a reliable choice for late-goal betting.


Betting on Late Goals: Final Thoughts

Whether it’s Bournemouth’s injury-time thrillers or Atletico’s never-say-die spirit, both teams offer excellent opportunities in late-goal betting markets. With odds like 1.95 for Bournemouth and 2.25 for Atletico Madrid in the 76th-90th minute range, the value is clear for savvy punters.

Keep an eye on these sides as the fixtures pile up and tired legs create even more late-game drama.


Late Goal Markets and Odds

Market Odds
Bournemouth vs Crystal Palace – Goal After 77.59 1.83
Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna – Goal After 73.59 1.83

Odds courtesy of bet365. Correct at time of publishing.


Safer Gambling

At bettingexpert, we always take a safe approach to gambling. We’ll never bet more than we can afford or chase losses. For more advice, head to our Safer Gambling hub.

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