Getafe vs Sevilla Prediction: Team News and Lineups Preview
With the hosts continuing their pursuit for a European spot, Nathan Joyes is once again on hand to provide his Getafe vs Sevilla prediction, team news, and lineups preview.
Prediction: Getafe 2-1 Sevilla
Although Getafe’s form has dipped in recent weeks, they will be very pleased with their position in La Liga with nine games to play. Although a European spot may be slightly out of reach, a top eight finish would exceed their pre-season expectations.
- Getafe vs Sevilla Tip 1: Getafe Draw No Bet
- Getafe vs Sevilla Tip 2: BTTS – Yes
- Getafe vs Sevilla Tip 3: Over 2.5 Goals
Getafe vs Sevilla Tip 1: Hosts home form can’t be ignored
Getafe, La Liga, Saturday, March 30th, 13:00 (UK)
Getafe’s current league position has all been down to their home form, where they have achieved 28 points from 14 matches. Beating the likes of Girona and Valencia, whilst holding Barcelona, has shown they are a difficult side to break down in front of their fans.
Having won three of their last five home games, only falling short to Real Madrid, confidence will be high they can build on their recent win over Girona and climb into the top eight.
Sevilla, who have wildly underperformed this season, have managed to steer themselves clear of the relegation zone. However, a lack of consistency could prove costly, and a recent 2-1 home defeat to Celta Vigo summed up their campaign.
Getafe won the reverse fixture 3-0, and back at the Coliseum, three points looks like a distinct possibility.
- Getafe vs Sevilla Prediction 1: Getafe Draw No Bet
- Best Odds: 1.72
- Bookmaker: bet365
- Stake: 7/10
Getafe vs Sevilla Prediction 2: Goals to flow
The hosts have produced plenty of entertaining matches this season, yet the bookmakers continue to overprice goals within their games. I recently tipped both teams to score vs Las Palmas at home at evens, which finished 3-3.
Getafe at home are fun to watch, but have defensive vulnerabilities they haven’t rectified for large parts of the season.
In their last five home games, Getafe have scored nine goals and conceded five. The vast majority of those goals conceded have come from set pieces or crosses, and although they kept a clean sheet last time out, Girona’s 1.73xG paints a different picture.
Sevilla drew their last away match 2-2 with Almeria, and their lack of consistency makes them hard to predict. However, clean sheets are an issue for the visitors, and with the reverse match producing three goals, this could be an excellent price worth chancing.
- Getafe vs Sevilla Prediction 2: Over 2.5 Goals
- Best Odds: 2.25
- Bookmaker: bet365
- Stake: 7/10
Getafe vs Sevilla Prediction 3: Overpriced selection catches the eye
If I believe there is value at odds-against for over 2.5 goals, it only makes sense to tip both teams to find the back of the net at around evens.
Although Sevilla’s away record isn’t anything to shout about, recent form shows they are improving in front of goal. Six goals in their last three matches, including three vs Real Sociedad, has seen Sevilla attacking with more purpose.
As mentioned, Getafe are vulnerable from wide play, and with Sergio Ramos recently scoring, he may prove to be a threat from set pieces.
Inside the box, Sevilla have a sharp-shooter in Youssef En Nesyri, who has scored three goals in his last three matches. If he is found inside the box, expect him to find the back of the net.
The hosts have been great at home. With 18 goals at the Coliseum, they’ve only drawn one blank in their last five – which came against Real Madrid.
- Getafe vs Sevilla Prediction 3: BTTS – Yes
- Best Odds: 1.95
- Bookmaker: bet365
- Stake: 6/10
Getafe vs Sevilla Prediction odds via bet365 as at 11:00, March 22nd, 2024. Odds may now differ.
Getafe vs Sevilla Team News and Possible Lineups: Borja Mayoral to miss out
The main reason as to why Getafe’s price has drifted is due to the fact their top goalscorer is likely to miss the match.
Borja Mayoral has sat out the last two games, and although he is their key threat, they still found a way to score and win vs Girona. It’ll be more difficult, but they have players capable of stepping up.
Sevilla brought in Spurs’ Alejo Veliz to add some firepower to their frontline, but the Argentine has found life difficult in Spain and has only featured for a handful of minutes since his arrival in January.
Getafe possible starting lineup: Soria; Alvarez, Alderete, Djene, Iglesias Sanchez, Santiago, Greenwood, Milla, Moriba, Maksimovic, Rodriguez
Sevilla possible starting lineup: Nyland; Acuna, Salas, Ramos, Navas, Torres, Soumare, Gudelj, Ocampos, En Nesyri, Romero
The Predicted Getafe vs Sevilla La Liga Standings by BETSiE
Our in-house predictive model, BETSiE, has had a go at predicting the La Liga standings ahead of the Lille vs Lens, currently 10th vs 16th, fixture by utilising the underlying data from the 2023/24 season up until this point.
For more league-specific BETSiE content including standings, probabilities and predictions, visit her page here – it’s worth it.
Getafe vs Sevilla Standings Prediction
Position | Club | Games | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Real Madrid | 38 | 27.0 | 7.7 | 3.4 | 76.3 | 27.4 | 49.0 | 88.6 |
2 | Barcelona | 38 | 24.0 | 8.4 | 5.7 | 80.6 | 47.7 | 32.9 | 80.3 |
3 | Girona | 38 | 23.8 | 7.6 | 6.7 | 79.5 | 49.1 | 30.3 | 78.9 |
4 | Atl. Madrid | 38 | 22.0 | 6.7 | 9.3 | 73.8 | 43.2 | 30.6 | 72.7 |
5 | Ath Bilbao | 38 | 20.1 | 9.8 | 8.1 | 66.0 | 39.1 | 26.9 | 70.0 |
6 | Betis | 38 | 14.8 | 15.0 | 8.3 | 47.6 | 41.6 | 6.0 | 59.3 |
7 | Sociedad | 38 | 14.8 | 13.3 | 9.9 | 49.5 | 38.8 | 10.7 | 57.7 |
8 | Valencia | 38 | 13.8 | 9.6 | 14.6 | 41.8 | 45.7 | -3.9 | 51.1 |
9 | Getafe | 38 | 12.3 | 13.1 | 12.6 | 48.1 | 53.8 | -5.7 | 50.0 |
10 | Las Palmas | 38 | 12.9 | 9.1 | 16.0 | 36.9 | 44.1 | -7.2 | 47.7 |
11 | Alaves | 38 | 11.8 | 11.1 | 15.0 | 40.8 | 46.2 | -5.4 | 46.6 |
12 | Osasuna | 38 | 12.4 | 8.9 | 16.7 | 43.6 | 56.2 | -12.6 | 46.1 |
13 | Villarreal | 38 | 11.1 | 10.6 | 16.4 | 56.6 | 70.2 | -13.6 | 43.8 |
14 | Vallecano | 38 | 9.4 | 13.2 | 15.4 | 35.9 | 50.2 | -14.3 | 41.4 |
15 | Mallorca | 38 | 8.4 | 15.3 | 14.3 | 37.0 | 48.0 | -11.0 | 40.5 |
16 | Sevilla | 38 | 8.8 | 12.0 | 17.2 | 44.5 | 55.8 | -11.3 | 38.5 |
17 | Celta | 38 | 8.9 | 10.8 | 18.4 | 44.9 | 58.1 | -13.1 | 37.4 |
18 | Granada | 38 | 6.0 | 11.3 | 20.7 | 42.0 | 68.1 | -26.2 | 29.2 |
19 | Cadiz | 38 | 4.6 | 14.1 | 19.3 | 26.8 | 55.8 | -29.0 | 28.0 |
20 | Almeria | 38 | 3.7 | 11.8 | 22.5 | 40.2 | 73.4 | -33.2 | 22.9 |
Match Stats: All signs point towards hosts
- Sevilla beat Getafe last time out in the Copa Del Rey 3-1 in January.
- In La Liga, Getafe went to Estadio Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan and won 3-0.
- Getafe has won 28 points at home, compared to just ten on the road.
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