UPDATE: Euro 2021 Top Goalscorer Tips, Odds
Much has changed since the start of the tournament, and with the quarter-finals just around the corner, it’s time to go back and see how the top goalscorer picture looks.
France, Germany, Portugal and the Netherlands have been eliminated, leaving the top goalscorer award up for grabs.
Cristiano Ronaldo played well for Portugal and scored five times, and is currently the leader on the table. Ronaldo entered the tournament with 13.00 odds to take the award home, and his odds have shortened to 2.37. However, Portugal have been eliminated in the Round of 16 and the table is likely to change in the coming matches.
Patrik Schick emerged as the dark horse candidate for the award, and he is second in line with four goals at 5.00 odds. The Czech Republic upset the Netherlands by 2:0 and will be playing against Denmark in the quarter-final.
Third in line is Inter star Romelu Lukaku. His odds have shortened since the start of the tournament from 8.00 to 7.00. Lukaku has found the net three times this tournament, and Belgium will be facing Italy in their quarter-final match.
Raheem Sterling has replaced Harry Kane as England’s favorite to win the award. The bookmakers have him to win at 8.00 odds, and with three goals in the tournament so far, he might very well do it. England will face Ukraine in the quarter-finals, and he must feel good about his chances.
Original article below published June 8th.
One of the more popular markets for bettors in every tournament is the Golden Boot for the top goalscorer award.
Typically, the player with the highest number of goals is selected for this award. However, if there is more than one player with the same number of goals, the number of assists is taken into consideration. If even this does not work, the player who played the lowest number of minutes will win the tiebreaker.
Previous Euro Top Goalscorer Winners
Historically, the player whose team makes the deepest push into the knockout stage has the best chances of accomplishing this feat.
Michael Platini holds the record for most goals in an Euro tournament with nine in the 1984 edition. His compatriot Antoine Grizeman won the 2016 Golden Boot with six goals and two assists.
Therefore, look for players who are prominent goalscorers, but whose teams have good chances of making a deep push.
Here is the list of the Golden Boot winners in the last 10 editions:
- 1980, K Allofs, Germany, 3 goals
- 1984, M Platini, France, 9 goals
- 1988, M van Basten, Netherlands, 5 goals
- 1992, Bergkamp, Brolin, Larsen, Riedle, Netherlands, Sweden, Denmark, Germany, 3 goals
- 1996, A Shearer, England, 5 goals
- 2000, P Kluivert, S Milosevic, Netherlands, Serbia, 5 goals
- 2004, M Baros, Czech Rep, 5 goals
- 2008, D Villa, Spain, 4 goals
- 2012, F Torres, Spain, 3 goals, 1 assist
- 2016, A Griezman, France, 6 goals, 2 assists
So who are the top goalscorer favourites for Euro 2021? Before I share my best bet and value bet, let’s look at the contenders.
Euro 2021 Top Goalscorer Qualification Stats
Five of these six players have played in the qualifications for the tournament. We will take a look at their statistics in order to get a clearer picture of their performance.
Name | Team | Goals | Assists | Minutes | Total shots | Shots on Target | Odds |
H. Kane | England | 10 | 5 | 492 | 26 | 17 | 6,50 |
K. Mbappe | France | 1 | 1 | 270 | 8 | 4 | 10,00 |
R. Lukaku | Belgium | 7 | 3 | 402 | 25 | 12 | 8,00 |
C. Ronaldo | Portugal | 11 | 0 | 520 | 53 | 23 | 13,00 |
T. Werner | Germany | 2 | 0 | 245 | 18 | 8 | 26,00 |
C. Immobile | Italy | 3 | 1 | 243 | 13 | 6 | 21,00 |
Harry Kane Euro 2021 Top Goalscorer Odds
Tottenham haven’t had the season they desired, with the team finishing out of the top six in the Premier League. Harry Kane has performed very well for the team and is in excellent form.
The 27-year old striker has scored 33 goals and assisted 17 times for his team in all competitions this season and is the target of multiple transfer speculations for the summer.
Kane is reportedly unhappy with the performance of his team this season and is open to making a move. This will be his opportunity to showcase his skills at the highest level and further increase his value.
England are coming out to the Euros with an excellent team this time round and they have a realistic chance of getting to the final.
England are given 6,00 odds of winning the tournament. Harry Kane will be their captain and main striker, giving him the ideal opportunity to become the top goalscorer of the tournament at 6,50 odds.
Harry Kane top goalscorer odds at BetBull: 6.50
Kylian Mbappe Euro 2021 Top Goalscorer Odds
The 22-year old PSG striker has expressed his dissatisfaction with his club being eliminated from the Champions League this season and is reluctant to sign a new contract.
Mbappe has notched 42 goals and 11 assists in 47 appearances for PSG this season and is ready to make a splash for his national team in the summer.
France is also coming to the tournament loaded with talent and Mbappe will spearhead their offense in every match. Same as Kane, Kylian would love to take this opportunity to increase his value this summer with a dynamite performance.
Kylian Mbappe top goalscorer odds at BetBull: 10.0
Romelu Lukaku Euro 2021 Top Goalscorer Odds
Inter has secured the Serie A title this season and it’s safe to say that this young man deserves a large portion of the credit.
Lukaku has been in exceptional form for his club this season and has notched 24 goals and 10 assists in Serie A for his team and his value is on the rise again.
Belgium finished third in the 2018 World Cup and they will come to the Euros with a vengeance.
Lukaku is by far their most valuable striker and the game plan will likely be tailored to suit him best.
Romelu Lukaku top goalscorer odds at BetBull: 8.0
Cristiano Ronaldo Euro 2021 Top Goalscorer Odds
The defending champions in Portugal will try to defend their title this summer against a very dangerous group of teams. They haven’t been in the best of form recently, but what better stage to prove their quality than the European Championship.
This will likely be Ronaldo’s final Euros appearance and a chance to prove the doubters wrong yet again. Critics have stated that the team fares better without him on the pitch, bringing up the fact that the team won the title in 2016 with him out with an injury.
This will be his opportunity to silence the critics with an explosive performance at the age of 37. Ronaldo has notched 36 goals and 4 assists in all competitions for Juventus this year, and the bookmakers have him taking the award at 13,00 odds.
Cristiano Ronaldo top goalscorer odds at BetBull: 13.0
Karim Benzema Euro 2021 Top Goalscorer Odds
After a six-year pause, Benzema is finally back in the French national team and looking to come back in style. Benzema was the pillar for Real Madrid’s second place La Liga finish and kept his team competitive throughout the season..
Benzema scored 30 goals and had 9 assists in 46 appearances for Real Madrid in all competitions this year. His return to the national team will give Deschamps another world class attacking option, and relieve some of the defensive pressure from Kylian Mbappe.
That said, if Mbappe continues to struggle to find the net for his national team, Benzema might very well end up being the saving grace this team needs in key situations. The bookmakers have Benzema winning the top goalscorer award at 17,00 odds.
Karim Benzema top goalscorer odds at BetBull: 17.0
Timo Werner Euro 2021 Top Goalscorer Odds
Chelsea have had a revelation under Thomas Tuchel this season, making it to the FA Cup final and winning the Champions League. But, Timo Werner hasn’t exactly been the reason for their success and his critics have been given a lot of material to work with.
The 25-year old striker only scored 12 goals and had 15 assists this season for his club in all competitions, whilst missing no small amount of opportunities for his team.
That said, he is a very hard worker and is due for a monster performance to silence his critics. Werner is the best CF option for his squad in the Euros and will be given more than enough opportunities to make it rain goals. The bookmakers give him 26,00 odds of winning the award.
Timo Werner top goalscorer odds at BetBull: 26.0
Euro 2021 Top Goalscorer Tip
England are coming into the tournament as one of the top favorites to finally win it all. They have one of the best midfield lineups in the world that will undoubtedly give their star striker more than enough opportunities to score.
That said, Kane is their captain and a goal machine in Tottenham. He is valued at 6,50 odds to take the award home.
Best Bet: Harry Kane: Odds 6.50.
Euro 2021 Top Goalscorer Best Value Bet
One of the teams that is getting a bit overlooked in the tournament is Italy. They have a squad more than capable of making a deep push in the tournament. Ciro Immobile has scored 25 goals and had 8 assists in 39 appearances for Lazio this season and is invaluable to his team.
He will be on the receiving end of a lot of his midfield’s passes and will likely convert those into goals. The bookmakers have him winning the award at 21,00 odds.
Value Bet: Ciro Immobile: Odds 21.00
All odds as at June 9th 2021 with BetBull