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Football | Wednesday, June 9, 2021 1:50 PM (Revised at: Tuesday, September 7, 2021 10:24 AM)

Euro 2021 Portugal Odds, Tips, Stats

Euro 2021 Portugal Odds, Tips, Stats
Nicolò Campo/Alamy Live News

The defending European champions will step on the pitch come June looking to defend their title. Portugal disappointed with their performance in the 2018 World Cup after winning the European title, but they have played well in the UEFA Nations league and are looking to make a comeback.

In this article:


Portugal Euro 2021 Group F Fixtures

Portugal would surely like to have avoided France and Germany until the later stages of the competition. But this will be their ultimate test and opportunity to prove that 2016 was not a fluke. 

They have been placed in arguably the most difficult group in the tournament, and they will certainly have their work cut out for them. Group F consists of France, Germany, Portugal and Hungary.

Portugal will travel to Budapest to face Hungary on June 15th in their opener. This will be an excellent opportunity to start the tournament with a victory against the weakest team in the group.

Following that, they will travel to Munich to face off against Germany on June 19th. With how both teams have been playing in recent matches, this one seems very evenly matched. But Germany will be enjoying home advantage, along with not having to travel for their first three matches. 

Their last match of the group stage will have them going back to Budapest to ‘host’ France on June 23rd for their toughest assignment yet.

Portugal Euro 2021 Fixtures & Tips:


Portugal Euro 2021 Qualification & Form

Portugal played well to qualify for the 2020 Euro, winning five of their eight games and finishing second in their group. 

They started the qualifiers slow, drawing their first two matches against Ukraine and Serbia. But they bounced back quickly to defeat Serbia 4:2 in their next match, and Lithuania and Luxembourg following that.

They lost their next match against Ukraine with a 1:2 result, but finished strong with two more victories over Lithuania and Luxembourg. 

Their defeat to Ukraine cost them first place in Group B of the qualifiers, and ultimately landed them in Group F of the Euro 2021 tournament.

Portugal’s most notable performance in the qualifiers was a 6:0 beatdown against Lithuania on November 14th, where Ronaldo notched a hat-trick.

Here is how Portugal performed in the qualifiers and Nations League:

Team GP W D L GS GA  ShF ShA SotF SotA xGF xGA Pos
Portugal 23 15 6 2 2,13 0,74 17,61 7,83 7,22 2,57 2,16 1,02 56%

<GP> Games Played, <W> Won, <D> Drew, <L>Lost, <GF> Average Goals For, <GA>Average Goals Against, <ShF>Average Shots For, <ShA> Average Shots Against, <SotF>Average Shots on Target For, <SotA>Average Shots on Target Against, <xGF>Expected Goals For, <xGA>Expected Goals Against, <Pos>Average Possession


Portugal Euro 2021 Squad & Manager

Manager: Fernando Santos

Goalkeepers: Anthony Lopes, Rui Patrício, Rui Silva 

Defense: João Cancelo, Rúben Dias, José Fonte, Raphael Guerreiro, Nuno Mendes , Pepe, Nélson Semedo

Midfield: William Carvalho, Danilo, Bruno Fernandes, Gonçalo Guedes, João Moutinho, Rúben Neves, Sérgio Oliveira, João Palhinha, Pote, Renato Sanches , Bernardo Silva

Forwards: João Félix, Diogo Jota, Cristiano Ronaldo, André Silva, Rafa Silva

Fernando Santos enjoys a lot of respect as Portugal’s manager, having given them their first ever Euro Championship in 2016 along with the Nations League title in 2019. 

Santos was offered the manager position in 2014 after his contract as the manager of the Greek national team expired. Santos has been in charge of this squad in 82 matches so far, and holds a record of 51 victories, 19 draws and 12 defeats. He will lead the Portuguese team again at the Euro 2020 tournament, hoping to give this team their first ever back-to-back European Championship.

Here is Santos’ record as Portugal’s manager:

Team  From To Pld W D L W%
Portugal Sept. 2014 Present 83 51 20 12 61,45

Portugal’s squad is valued at about 769,00 million euros, and the quality is there to back it up. Santos will, once again, have the opportunity to choose from a rich pool of talented and experienced players.

Their goalkeeper position isn’t looking very promising, with Lopes not being in the best form for his club in Lyon.

Their defensive line is looking solid with Cancelo, Dias, Mendes and Duarte. Neto, Fonte and Soares are also viable options for him, depending on fatigue and tactics.

The biggest question for Santos will be the Cristiano Ronaldo enigma. Many have questioned whether he does more harm than good and the fact that Portugal won the 2016 title with him sidelined does not help his case. With young players emerging like Jota and Neto, it’s clear why some would like to see him accept a more passive role for the good of the team. 

Portugal certainly have a quality team, but they need to rally together and come out in this tournament as a team, or the pieces may again add up to less than they are worth.


Portugal Euro History

Portugal scored  22 goals in the Euro 2020 qualifications and conceded 6 with four clean sheets. They averaged 2,75 goals for and 0,75 against in those matches.

Portugal’s top scorer in the World Cup qualifiers so far is Diogo Jota with three goals in three matches. Ronaldo only scored once in all three matches.

Portugal won and lost one match each in the 2018 World Cup, leaving two draws. They scored 1,50 and conceded 1,50 goals per match in that tournament. Their only victory was a 1:0 win over Morocco.

In the 2019 Nations League finals, Portugal faced Switzerland in the semi-finals and the Netherlands in the finals. Portugal won both of those matches scoring 2,00 goals per match and conceding just one goal. Their only conceded goal came from a penalty against Switzerland. 

Portugal’s all-time scoring leader is Cristiano Ronaldo with 103 goals in 173 caps, for an average of 0,60 goals per match. In second place, it is Pauleta with 47 goals in 88 caps.

Here is how Portugal fared in European Championships since 1996:

  • 2016 – Champions
  • 2012 – Semi-finals
  • 2008 – Quarter-finals
  • 2004 – Runners-up
  • 2000 – Semi-finals
  • 1996 – Quarter-finals

Portugal Euro 2021 Odds

Despite being in group F and their most recent form, the bookmakers have Portugal qualifying past the group stage at 1,29 odds. Unless Santos makes a significant change, these odds are too generous. 

The bookmakers also have them finishing atop Group F at 4,40 odds. It’s very difficult to see them getting past the defending World Cup champions in France to accomplish this feat.

Portugal are given 3,25 odds of reaching the semi-finals and just 5,00 of reaching the final.

Regardless of the current situation, Ronaldo is still favored by the bookmakers to be in the conversation for top goalscorer. They have placed him in the top five and give him 13,00 odds of accomplishing this feat. 

All odds as at June 9th 2021 with BetBull

 


Portugal Euro 2021 Prediction

Given their recent play, Portugal haven’t been consistent enough for the odds they received by the bookmakers. There is no doubt that this is a team full of quality players, but the questions about their chemistry are concerning. 

Regardless, Fernando Santos is an experienced manager and he will make the necessary changes to ensure his team’s success. Although defending their title is not something we can expect from this team, a realistic expectation would be for them to reach the semi-finals. 

Portugal prediction: To reach the semi-finals at 3,25 odds.


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