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Boxing EURO 2021 Acca June 19th: Hungary vs France, Portugal vs Germany, Spain vs Poland
I decided to make things a bit more interesting today by forgetting my usual markets for the accumulator. Instead, I will be putting my ‘Euro 2021 Referee Fouls & Card Stats’ piece to the test and making predictions mostly based on the officials.
- Hungary vs France Acca Tip: Under 2,5 cards – 2.25 odds
- Portugal vs Germany Acca Tip: Penalty to be called – 2.75 odds
- Spain vs Poland Acca Tip: Over 3,5 cards – 1.83 odds
Total Acca Odds: 11.32
Odds from bet365 14:30 June 16th, 2021. Odds may now differ.
Hungary vs France Acca Tip
| Hungary vs France Odds | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Hungary Win | 13.00 | 7.7% |
| Draw | 5.25 | 19,0% |
| France Win | 1.28 | 78.1% |
Hungary take on France in the first match of June 19 at 15:00 CET in Budapest. Hungary lost their opening match against Portugal with a 0:3 result and are hoping to perform better in this one. France faced Germany in Munich in their opening match and won with a 1:0 result.
Hungary held on for most of the game against Portugal, but collapsed in the finish, conceding three goals in just six minutes.
As for France, they played well enough against Germany to net themselves the victory, their main weapon being the counter-attack.
The official in this one will be the Englishman, Michael Oliver. Now, Oliver is already a good candidate for the under with just 3.14 yellows and 0.11 reds per match. He doesn’t reach for his pockets often, and this isn’t expected to be a very competitive match. We can expect him to follow the trend of the tournament, which is basically, ‘stay quiet and let the players play.’
In fact, you’re better off betting on him to give a penalty. With an average of 0.64 penalties per match, Oliver is one of the best candidates for this market. He has dished out penalties in three of his last five matches.
Under 2,5 cards at 2.25 odds
Odds from bet 365 14:30 June 16th, 2021. Odds may now differ.
For more Hungary vs France tips, click here
Portugal vs Germany Acca Tip
| Portugal vs Germany Odds | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Portugal Win | 3.25 | 30.8% |
| Draw | 3.30 | 30.3% |
| Germany Win | 2.30 | 43.5% |
This is a huge game for both teams and I expect the pressure to get to the players and the ref alike.
Portugal beat Hungary 3:0 in their opener, but they were unable to score for most of the match and put away three goals in the final six minutes. They will be facing a much tougher opponent in Munich, but a win here would guarantee them passage to the knockout stage.
Germany lost to France in their first match at home with a 1:0 result. It could have been worse, with France’s two goals being voided by the refs. It’s do-or-die for Germany, and a loss here could very well see them miss the knockout stage.
But the key man I am counting on here is Anthony Taylor. The Englishman has been dishing out penalties left and right, especially in recent matches. He isn’t card-happy, though, and averages 3,05 yellows and 0,11 reds per match.
However, he averages 0,54 penalties per match and has called them in four of his last six matches.
Expect this to be a thriller. Both teams need this win and will constantly be attacking. We will see lots of opportunities on both sides, but it’s Portugal that has me convinced.
Portugal adore penalties. Their players will constantly be hovering around Germany’s box and looking for contact. They are good at this, and Taylor will eventually oblige.
A penalty to be called at 2.75 odds.
Odds from bet365 14:30 June 16th, 2021. Odds may now differ.
For more Portugal vs Germany tips, click here.
Spain vs Poland Acca Tip
| Spain vs Poland Odds | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Spain Win | 1.33 | 75.2% |
| Draw | 5.00 | 20.0% |
| Poland Win | 10.00 | 10.0% |
Poland and Spain are playing their second match of the group stage and both teams are in need of a win. Spain will enjoy home advantage again after playing 0:0 against Sweden in their opener. Poland lost their opener to Slovakia with a 2:1 result and are looking to bounce back.
Spain were expected to easily win Group E, but their bad start has set them back. Try as they might, they were unable to score, even with 86% ball possession and 17 attempts. Pressure is rising in Spain’s locker room, and I expect their frustration to be seen on the pitch.
Poland are also on the back foot after their loss to Slovakia. To make matters worse, they will be traveling from Saint Petersburg to Sevilla for this match. They are desperate for a good result, and will have to play hard if they want a chance at winning.
That said, the ref in this one will be Italian Daniele Orsato. Apparently, Orsato didn’t get the memo about not giving out cards like candy. Whilst the other refs in the tournament are taking a step back, Orsato is enjoying the spotlight as always. Orsato dished out four yellows in the England – Croatia match, and he was still below his average of 4.62 per match.
This is an important match for both teams and you can bet no one will be taking it easy. Orsato will enjoy dealing justice in this one, and unless he suddenly turns into Andreas Ekberg, we should see him easily dish out 4 or even more cards.
Over 3.5 cards at odds 1.83
Odds from bet365 14:30 June 16th, 2021. Odds may now differ.
For more Spain vs Poland tips, click here.
