Football 
Tennis 
Horse Racing 
Mixed martial arts Chelsea vs Burnley Prediction: Team News and Lineups Preview
Now the dreaded international break is finished, Matthew O’Regan is here to deliver his Chelsea vs Burnley prediction, team news, lineups and fixtures preview. Chelsea are still chasing to keep their faint hope of a Champions League dream alive, whereas Burnley look dead and buried in their chances of staying in the Premier League. A victory here might give the visitors the shot in the arm they desperately need.
BETSiE’s Expected Goal Prediction:
| Home | Away | Home xG | Away xG | Margin | Total xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | Burnley | 2.33 | 1.03 | 1.30 | 3.36 |
- Chelsea vs Burnley Tip 1: Chelsea -1.5 Asian Handicap
- Chelsea vs Burnley Tip 2: Nicolas Jackson To Score Anytime
- Chelsea vs Burnley Tip 3: Cole Palmer to Score Anytime
Chelsea vs Burnley Prediction 1: Blues To Further Add To Claret Woes
England, Premier League, Saturday, March 30th 15:00 (UK)
Despite their summer spending spree, Chelsea currently sit 11th in the league – five points off West Ham in 7th. Mauricio Pochettino has come in for much criticism for his management of the side, but a Carabao Cup final and an FA Cup semi-final has eased the sacking rumours for now.
His side are now unbeaten in four league games as they look to climb up the league after a disappointing start to the season. It has been their attacking prowess to thank for their recent up-turn in form, with their last four games seeing them score at least twice, scoring three or more in three games. The Blues have scored in every league game since the 10th of December.
Saturday’s visitors Burnley will be majorly disappointed with their season, with the Clarets currently 19th in the league after storming the Championship last campaign. However, four points from West Ham away and Brentford at home has given Vincent Kompany’s side brief hope of staying up, but it looks to be an uphill battle.
Interestingly, Burnley have picked up one more point away from home than they have at Turf Moor, but their nine points on their travels still ranks them second last in this metric. Defensively, they’ve been poor having conceded 28 in 14 away games, including 14 in their last five.
Travelling to a Chelsea team who are scoring goals freely in recent weeks is not ideal for a side struggling defensively and desperate for points and Vincent Kompany could be in for a long afternoon.
- Chelsea vs Burnley Prediction 1: Chelsea -1.5 Asian Handicap
- Best Odds: 1.860
- Bookmaker: bet365
- Stake: 8/10
Chelsea vs Burnley Prediction 2: Jackson finding his groove
Since signing from Villareal for around £30 million in the summer, Nicolas Jackson has come in for a lot of (unnecessary) flak for his performances. The 22-year-old has scored 12 goals in 32 games, including nine in 24 in the Premier League.
This includes three goals in his last four games, meaning he has scored 0.44 goals per 90. Jackson is averaging 2.62 shots and 1.34 shots on target per 90 in the Premier League, as well as averaging an xG of 0.62. His goals per 90 is slightly less than last campaign at Villareal, where the Senegal international averaged 0.68 goals per 90.
Burnley’s away struggles are well documented, with the Clarets conceding 63 goals across 29 league games – the second most in the league. They’ve also kept just two clean sheets this season, a statistic that will excite Chelsea’s attack.
- Chelsea vs Burnley Prediction 2: Nicolas Jackson To Score Anytime
- Best Odds: 2.05
- Bookmaker: bet365
- Stake: 8/10
Chelsea vs Burnley Prediction 3: Cold Palmer to continue Hot Streak
Much has been made of Chelsea’s poor transfer recruitment since Todd Boehly purchased the club, but the signing of Cole Palmer has been a rare sign of success for the American.
Signed for £40.5 million from treble winners Manchester City, Palmer has easily been the Blues player of the season and has often carried a lot of the attacking burden. The 21-year-old has 11 goals and eight assists in 23 league matches thus far – averaging 0.56 goals per90.
Shooting wise, Palmer is a man who trusts in his own ability, averaging 2.93 shots and 1.28 shots on target per 90. An added caveat to this bet is that he is on penalties. Against a leaky Burnley defence, Palmer will be looking to add to his six goals in his last seven league starts at Stamford Bridge.
- Chelsea vs Burnley Prediction 3: Cole Palmer to Score Anytime
- Best Odds: 2.20
- Bookmaker: bet365
- Stake: 8/10
Chelsea vs Burnley Prediction odds via bet365 as at 09:00, March 25th 2024. Odds may now differ.
Chelsea vs Burnley Team News and Possible Lineups: Injuries the Theme for both
Due to their immense spending power, Chelsea are blessed with depth to call upon, despite their mounting injury list. Defenders Reece James, Levi Colwill and Wesley Fofana are expected to be absent still, as well Romeo Lavia, Lesley Ugochukwu and Christopher Nkunku.
Burnley are also missing plenty of players. Aaron Ramsey, Jordan Beyer, Ameen Al Dakhil, Luca Koleosho and Nathan Redmond are out with injuries, while David Datro Fofana, who has scored in his last two, can’t play against his parent club.
In the win against Brentford, Kompany dropped James Trafford to give Arijanet Muric his Premier League debut. Whether he starts him again remains to be seen.
Chelsea possible starting lineup: Petrovic; Gusto, Diasi, Chalobah, Chiwell; Caicedo, Fernandez, Gallagher; Palmer, Jackson, Mudryk
Burnley possible starting lineup: Muric; Assignon, O’Shea, Esteve, Taylor; Vitinho, Cullen, Berge, Larsen; Odobert, Amdouni
The Predicted Chelsea vs Burnley Premier League Standings by BETSiE
Our in-house predictive model, BETSiE, has had a go at predicting the Premier League standings ahead of the Chelsea vs Burnley currently 11th vs 19th, fixture by utilising the underlying data from the 2023/24 season up until this point.
For more league-specific BETSiE content including standings, probabilities and predictions, visit her page here – it’s worth it.
Chelsea vs Burnley Standings Prediction
| Position | Club | Games | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 38 | 26.8 | 5.9 | 5.3 | 91.3 | 31.5 | 59.7 | 86.2 |
| 2 | Liverpool | 38 | 25.7 | 8.7 | 3.6 | 89.3 | 36.6 | 52.7 | 85.8 |
| 3 | Manchester City | 38 | 25.2 | 8.0 | 4.8 | 84.7 | 38.1 | 46.6 | 83.6 |
| 4 | Aston Villa | 38 | 20.5 | 6.2 | 11.3 | 73.7 | 57.6 | 16.1 | 67.8 |
| 5 | Tottenham | 38 | 19.8 | 7.0 | 11.2 | 76.8 | 61.2 | 15.6 | 66.4 |
| 6 | Manchester Utd | 38 | 18.2 | 4.1 | 15.7 | 53.7 | 57.7 | -4.0 | 58.6 |
| 7 | Chelsea | 38 | 16.1 | 8.2 | 13.7 | 68.3 | 62.6 | 5.7 | 56.5 |
| 8 | Newcastle | 38 | 16.3 | 6.1 | 15.6 | 78.7 | 65.9 | 12.8 | 55.0 |
| 9 | Brighton | 38 | 14.3 | 11.4 | 12.3 | 63.5 | 59.7 | 3.8 | 54.4 |
| 10 | West Ham | 38 | 15.0 | 9.2 | 13.8 | 58.9 | 67.8 | -8.9 | 54.1 |
| 11 | Wolverhampton | 38 | 14.9 | 7.1 | 16.0 | 54.6 | 62.0 | -7.4 | 51.8 |
| 12 | Bournemouth | 38 | 13.5 | 10.2 | 14.3 | 58.2 | 66.3 | -8.1 | 50.7 |
| 13 | Fulham | 38 | 14.2 | 7.1 | 16.7 | 56.8 | 58.7 | -2.0 | 49.8 |
| 14 | Brentford | 38 | 10.9 | 7.2 | 19.9 | 56.5 | 68.3 | -11.8 | 40.0 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 9.9 | 10.4 | 17.8 | 44.9 | 64.4 | -19.5 | 40.0 |
| 16 | Everton | 38 | 12.0 | 9.2 | 16.8 | 44.2 | 54.0 | -9.8 | 39.1 |
| 17 | Nottingham Forest | 38 | 9.7 | 8.7 | 19.6 | 46.6 | 62.5 | -15.9 | 33.8 |
| 18 | Luton | 38 | 7.3 | 7.9 | 22.8 | 53.4 | 81.4 | -28.0 | 29.8 |
| 19 | Burnley | 38 | 6.0 | 7.4 | 24.6 | 39.2 | 78.1 | -38.9 | 25.3 |
| 20 | Sheffield Utd | 38 | 5.2 | 7.1 | 25.7 | 34.8 | 93.6 | -58.8 | 22.7 |
Match OPTA Stats: Cold Palmer
- A goal and assist against Newcastle United last time out took Cole Palmer’s Premier League goal involvements tally for Chelsea this season to 19 (11 goals, 8 assists); he could become only the fifth player to reach at least 20 involvements in his first season in the competition for the Blues, after Jimmy-Floyd Hasselbaink (32 in 2000-01), Eden Hazard (20 in 2012-13), Diego Costa (23 in 2014-15) and Cesc Fàbregas (21 in 2014-15).
- David Datro Fofana’s five Premier League goal involvements for Burnley this season have been across their last eight goals in the competition (4 goals, 1 assist). Indeed, Fofana, who is ineligible for this game, has been involved in 17% of Burnley’s 29 league goals this campaign, only Lyle Foster has been involved in a higher proportion (24% – 7/29).
- Only Luton Town (17) and Manchester City (13) are on a longer ongoing run of scoring in successive Premier League games among sides currently in the division than Chelsea (11), their longest such run since April 2022. The Blues last scored in 12 straight games under Frank Lampard in November 2019.
- Burnley, who beat Brentford last time out, are one of three Premier League sides yet to win successive league matches this season, along with Crystal Palace and Sheffield United; they last did so in the competition in April 2022 (a run of three).
Chelsea Fixtures: Trio of home games crucial for European Push
- Vs Burnley (H)
- Vs Manchester United (H)
- Vs Sheffield United (A)
- Vs Everton (H)
- Vs Manchester City (N)
Burnley Fixtures: Now Or Never For Clarets
- Vs Chelsea (A)
- Vs Wolves (H)
- Vs Everton (A)
- Vs Brighton (H)
- Vs Sheffield United (A)
Safer Gambling
At bettingexpert, we always take a safe approach to gambling. We’ll never bet more than we can afford or chase losses. For more advice, head to our Safer Gambling hub.
