Champions League Betting Tips: Back Home Underdogs on Matchday 6

Home advantage plays a crucial role in the Champions League, even with the extended group-stage format. Travel fatigue and intense schedules can impact away performances, giving home teams an edge. On Matchday 6, four home underdogs – Atalanta, Brest, Borussia Dortmund, and Juventus—are primed to deliver value for savvy bettors.

Why Home Advantage Matters

Historically, Champions League away matches are challenging, and this season has been no exception. Atalanta are the only side with a 100% away record, while 29 of the 36 teams have already suffered at least one away defeat. Even European giants like Real Madrid have struggled on the road, losing both of their away group-stage matches.

This trend highlights the potential for home underdogs to outperform expectations. Brest, for instance, recently held Bayer Leverkusen to a draw at home, while Dortmund’s only home defeat this season came against Bayern Munich in a Klassiker thriller.

Juventus, meanwhile, have been exceptional in Turin, losing just one match all season. They host a Manchester City side that has won only once in their last seven matches across all competitions, including a 4-1 away defeat to Sporting.

Bookmakers Underestimating the Hosts

Atalanta, hosting a Real Madrid side missing key defenders due to injury, have won nine consecutive matches across all competitions. The Italian side also benefit from an extra day of rest, further strengthening their position as a value pick to win.

Similarly, Borussia Dortmund face a Barcelona team that has faltered on the road this season, losing to Monaco, Osasuna, and Real Sociedad. With Dortmund’s formidable record at Signal Iduna Park, they are an excellent underdog bet.

For Brest and Juventus, the double chance market offers appealing options, while Atalanta and Dortmund outright wins are worth considering.

Final Thoughts

Betting against favourites might seem risky, but the bookies appear to be undervaluing home advantage. With the quality these underdog sides bring, this week offers an opportunity to capitalise on favourable odds in the Champions League.

Odds courtesy of bet365. Correct at time of publishing and subject to change.

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