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Boxing Brest vs Lille Prediction: Team News and Lineups Preview
Welcome to our Brest vs Lille prediction, team news, lineups and fixtures preview. The race for the Champions League spots in Ligue 1 is hotting up behind PSG with several sides in the hunt.
Here we have a crunch midday clash between Brest and Lille in Brittany, the result of which might go a long way to deciding positions. French expert Steve Wyss delivers his best bets, predictions and value take in his match preview. Our Brest vs Lille prediction is for Lille to win the match 1-0.
- Brest vs Lille Tip 1: Lille 0.0 Asian Handicap
- Brest vs Lille Tip 2: BTTS – No
- Brest vs Lille Tip 3: Half Time Result – Draw
Brest vs Lille Prediction 1: Lille to show their class in race for the Champions League
France, Ligue 1, Sunday 17th March, 12:00 (UK)
Brest must be respected for an excellent season so far, but as I mentioned in a preview last week, it is logically unsustainable for this squad to stay in second position. Manager Eric Roy has worked wonders since joining the club in January last year, and the Brittany outfit would dearly love to qualify for Europe. Their 13-game unbeaten run in Ligue 1 was ended last week when Lens beat them in a tight 0-1 loss.
Brest did not disgrace themselves at all in that clash, but you do wonder how much of an effect that will have on the squad. Will they now start to believe less, and normality sets in?
Brest have a strong home record with only PSG beating them here but this will be an extremely tough test vs a formidable Lille outfit. The visitors are one of the best sides in the division with some strong metrics, especially at the back. LOSC have only conceded 22 goals all season and opponents average fewer shots against them than any other side in the division.
They play on Thursday night in the Europa Conference League but that tie vs Austrian side Sturm Graz looks done at 3-0 up. This will be the priority game and at this stage of the campaign I have to put my money on the proven, experienced and better quality side in Lille.
Taking them on a DNB 0.0 AH line looks like a secure option because I don’t see them losing.
- Brest vs Lille Prediction 1: Lille 0.0 Asian Handicap (TRACKED BET)
- Best Odds: 1.98
- Bookmaker: bet365
- Stake: 9/10
Brest vs Lille Prediction 2: Clean sheet potential for both sides
Brest has only conceded seven goals at home all season, with five of those coming against PSG and Lens combined. They have kept a stunning 8 out of 12 clean sheets at Le Stade Francis Le Ble, and we are getting to the stage of the season where this isn’t a fluke. At some stage, I think they will get found out, and the pressure of being embroiled in a European battle could affect the squad.
However, until that happens then we should probably be looking at unders and BTTS no in their home games. The goal line is set at a measly 2.25 and bordering over/under 2 goal territory. BTTS no looks a lot more appealing at 1.80 even if it won’t cover for a 1-1 draw.
Lille have kept 14 out of 25 clean sheets in Ligue 1 this season and their tactical setup makes it difficult for opponents to get shots against them. Brest have done well this season but their one area of weakness is their firepower compared to some other top sides.
In Steve Mounie and Romain Del Castillo they have two respectable attackers but they won’t make any defense lose sleep. We must acknowledge that a 0-0 stalemate could be a runner here and that goals should be at a premium. BTTS no looks like a better option compared to the under goal line and would even cover for the unlikely eventuality of someone winning 3-0 or 4-0.
- Brest vs Lille Prediction 2: BTTS – No (TRACKED BET)
- Best Odds: 1.80
- Bookmaker: bet365
- Stake: 8/10
Brest vs Lille Prediction 3: Tight game could lead to a half time stalemate
Backing the half-time draw in Ligue 1 has been fairly successful for me this season. There have been some good spots to take it, and this feels like another possible opportunity. Whenever I suspect a low-scoring under-type of contest is on the cards then the half-time draw sticks out as a bet to consider. The bookmakers expect this as well, and we are only getting odds of 2.0 on this occasion, but it feels entirely fair and justified. With both sides looking extremely strong defensively, then we might get a situation where chances are at a premium in the first 45 mins, with the 0-0 result entirely possible at the interval.
Neither side is especially known for their half-time draws this season, with Brest actually behind on nine occasions this term. Lille has only been losing at half-time five times and tends to come out of the traps well. Last week was a rare example of a poor opening half for them vs Rennes.
I just feel that the type of game we will see makes the style worth considering for things to be very balanced for a long period. An overall match score of 0-0 wouldn’t actually surprise me here which obviously means the HT draw would cash as well. We must acknowledge that if a team does get ahead then they will probably stay ahead, but from a percentage aspect at these odds then an all square first period is a bet which I can take with smaller stakes.
- Brest vs Lille Prediction 3: Half Time Result – Draw (TRACKED BET)
- Best Odds: 2.00
- Bookmaker: bet365
- Stake: 7/10
Brest vs Lille Prediction odds via bet365 as at 08:30, March 12th, 2024. Odds may now differ.
Brest vs Lille Team News and Possible Lineups: Both sides should be at full strength
Brest have no significant injuries or suspensions and should line up close to full strength here. Lille have a few fringe players ruled out injured but only Adam Ounas could be considered someone who would be getting regular minutes.
Lille play on Thursday night in the UEFA Conference League, so keep an outcome on the outcome of that match regarding players’ fitness.
Brest possible starting lineup: Bizot, Locko, Brassier, Chardonnet, Lala, Magnetti, Lees-Melou, Pereira Lage, Camara, Del Castillo, Mounie
Lille possible starting lineup: Chevalier, Ismaily, Yoro, Diakite, Santos, Gomes, Bentaleb, Andre, Haraldsson, David, Zhegrova
The Predicted Brest vs Lille Ligue 1 Standings by BETSiE
Our in-house predictive model, BETSiE, has had a go at predicting the Ligue 1 standings ahead of the Brest vs Lille, currently 2nd vs 4th, fixture by utilising the underlying data from the 2023/24 season up until this point.
For more league-specific BETSiE content including standings, probabilities and predictions, visit her page here – it’s worth it.
Brest vs Lille Standings Prediction
| Position | Club | Games | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris SG | 34 | 22.6 | 8.1 | 3.4 | 79.0 | 32.6 | 46.4 | 75.8 |
| 2 | Brest | 34 | 17.7 | 9.7 | 6.6 | 51.3 | 28.6 | 22.7 | 62.8 |
| 3 | Monaco | 34 | 16.8 | 7.7 | 9.6 | 60.9 | 48.2 | 12.7 | 57.9 |
| 4 | Nice | 34 | 16.0 | 9.8 | 8.2 | 37.6 | 26.8 | 10.8 | 57.7 |
| 5 | Lille | 34 | 15.0 | 10.8 | 8.1 | 49.0 | 31.9 | 17.1 | 55.9 |
| 6 | Lens | 34 | 15.0 | 8.5 | 10.5 | 48.5 | 38.7 | 9.8 | 53.6 |
| 7 | Marseille | 34 | 13.6 | 11.7 | 8.7 | 50.8 | 36.1 | 14.7 | 52.6 |
| 8 | Rennes | 34 | 13.3 | 10.9 | 9.9 | 49.5 | 40.7 | 8.8 | 50.6 |
| 9 | Reims | 34 | 14.1 | 6.7 | 13.2 | 44.9 | 46.2 | -1.2 | 49.1 |
| 10 | Lyon | 34 | 11.9 | 6.6 | 15.5 | 40.8 | 52.2 | -11.4 | 42.4 |
| 11 | Toulouse | 34 | 9.6 | 10.7 | 13.7 | 38.7 | 47.5 | -8.8 | 39.4 |
| 12 | Montpellier | 34 | 9.3 | 10.6 | 14.1 | 41.3 | 46.9 | -5.6 | 38.5 |
| 13 | Strasbourg | 34 | 9.5 | 9.9 | 14.6 | 35.7 | 50.0 | -14.4 | 38.4 |
| 14 | Nantes | 34 | 10.2 | 6.7 | 17.1 | 35.2 | 50.4 | -15.2 | 37.3 |
| 15 | Le Havre | 34 | 8.2 | 11.6 | 14.2 | 36.6 | 47.7 | -11.0 | 36.1 |
| 16 | Lorient | 34 | 7.3 | 9.5 | 17.3 | 41.5 | 63.8 | -22.3 | 31.3 |
| 17 | Clermont | 34 | 5.8 | 10.5 | 17.7 | 28.6 | 55.8 | -27.2 | 28.0 |
| 18 | Metz | 34 | 6.3 | 7.8 | 19.9 | 28.5 | 54.4 | -25.9 | 26.7 |
Match Stats: Defenses been on top for both sides
- Brest’s 13 match unbeaten run in Ligue 1 came to an end last week when they lost 0-1 at Lens
- Brest have only lost one home match this season and kept 8 clean sheets out of 12
- Both sides rank inside the top five for goals conceded
- Lille concede the fewest number of shots on average out of any team in Ligue 1 (8.7)
Brest Fixtures: Local derby against Lorient next week
- Vs Lorient (A)
- Vs Metz (H)
- Vs Lyon (A)
- Vs Monaco (H)
- Vs Rennes (A)
Lille Fixtures: Crunch matches against rivals upcoming
- Vs Lens (H)
- Vs Marseille (H)
- Vs Monaco (A)
- Vs Strasbourg (H)
- Vs Metz (A)
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