Betting Against Goals in Liverpool’s League Games: Why the Odds Are in Your Favour

When Jürgen Klopp announced his departure from Liverpool, fans feared a dip in the club’s intensity and success. However, new manager Arne Slot has revitalized the Reds in his own style, leading Liverpool to the top of the Premier League table after 10 matches and a strong start in the Champions League. But Slot’s approach is markedly different from his predecessor’s, and it presents unique opportunities for punters who prefer low-goal bets.

Liverpool’s Shift to a Patient Playstyle

Under Slot’s guidance, Liverpool have become more patient, with an increase in possession deep in their own half. Last season, Klopp’s Liverpool only took 7% of their touches inside their own penalty area, but that figure has now risen to 11%. This controlled approach allows the Reds to build play from the back rather than relying solely on Klopp’s high-pressing, quick-attack strategy.

Even Mohamed Salah has noted the difference in style, highlighting how Liverpool’s possession-based approach enables the team to maintain control and circulate the ball more effectively. While Liverpool’s attack remains potent, with only three teams scoring more goals so far, they’re averaging 1.9 goals per game this season—down from 2.26 last year. This shift reflects a move away from high-octane goalfests to a more measured game plan.

A Solid Defence Balances Liverpool’s Drop in Attack

Slot’s shift in strategy has brought a remarkable defensive improvement. Klopp’s high-energy system often left Liverpool vulnerable to counterattacks, but the current approach provides more defensive stability. Central to this is Ryan Gravenberch, who has flourished in the holding midfield role in Slot’s 4-2-3-1 formation. Gravenberch’s contribution in both passing and tackling has fortified Liverpool’s control in midfield, making him an essential part of their build-up play.

This change has led to Liverpool conceding just 0.6 goals per game—better than title rivals Manchester City and Arsenal. A more stable defence means that while the Reds may score fewer goals, they’re also conceding fewer, leading to lower overall goal counts in games.

Betting on Under 3.5 Goals in Liverpool Matches

With Liverpool’s new approach, betting on under 3.5 goals in their Premier League fixtures could be a smart move. Last season, Liverpool’s games averaged 3.34 goals, but this has dropped to just 2.50 goals per game under Slot. In fact, nine of Liverpool’s 10 league games this season have had three goals or fewer.

With Aston Villa up next, this trend is likely to continue, offering punters an excellent opportunity to back the under 3.5 goals market. Slot’s calculated game plan is not only keeping Liverpool at the top but also offering fresh betting angles for those looking to capitalise on Liverpool’s low-goal fixtures.

Odds courtesy of bet365. Correct at time of publishing and subject to change.

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