Bet Against Chelsea? Here's Why It Might Be the Right Time

Chelsea, under Enzo Maresca, have had a strong start to the season, picking up 14 points from their last six Premier League matches. Their thrilling 4-2 win over Brighton in September caught the attention of fans and bookmakers alike, boosting their odds for a top-four finish. However, despite their recent form, the next few weeks may present a stern test for the Blues—and now might be the time to bet against them.

Tough Fixtures Await Chelsea

Although Chelsea’s attack has been impressive, scoring an average of 2.29 goals per game, it’s important to note that their tally has been padded by teams with weak defences. For example, six of their goals came against Wolves, who have conceded the most goals in the Premier League this season. Similarly, Chelsea capitalised on West Ham’s defensive errors in their 4-1 victory.

However, in their most recent outing, Chelsea struggled against a well-organised Nottingham Forest team, managing only a 1-1 draw at home. Forest have one of the league’s best defences this season, and it highlighted that when Chelsea come up against tougher defensive units, they can struggle to break through.

Looking ahead, Chelsea face an even tougher run of games. They will play Liverpool, Arsenal, and Newcastle in their next four league fixtures, as well as having to deal with additional Europa Conference League and EFL Cup matches. These upcoming games will likely put immense pressure on Maresca’s squad, especially with Liverpool and Arsenal boasting two of the sturdiest defences in the league.

Why Liverpool Could Trouble Chelsea

Liverpool have the best defensive record in the Premier League, conceding just two goals in their opening seven matches. Arne Slot’s team has only let in 0.29 goals per game and boasts the league’s lowest expected goals against (xGA) of 5.72. They’ve been dominant both at home and away, making Anfield a fortress, where they’ve only lost three league games since the start of the 2021/22 season.

Historically, Chelsea have struggled at Anfield, winning just one of their last nine visits in the Premier League. With Christopher Nkunku and Cole Palmer finding form, Maresca will rely on them to break down a resolute Liverpool defence, but recent performances suggest it could be an uphill battle.

Defensive Worries for Chelsea

While Chelsea’s attack is functioning well, their defensive frailties remain a concern. Despite scoring plenty of goals, they have also been vulnerable at the back. In matches against stronger opponents, like Arsenal and Liverpool, these defensive gaps could prove costly.

The upcoming matches will test Maresca’s defensive set-up, and any mistakes will likely be punished by the top teams. With Liverpool’s relentless pressing and Mohamed Salah leading the charge, Chelsea’s backline will need to be at their best to avoid conceding.

Odds courtesy of bet365. Correct at time of publishing and subject to change.

Conclusion

Although Chelsea have impressed in recent weeks, the upcoming schedule could expose their weaknesses. With tough fixtures on the horizon and question marks over their defence, betting against Chelsea in the short term could be a smart move. Keep an eye on their next few results, particularly against Liverpool, Arsenal, and Newcastle, as these matches could determine whether they remain top-four contenders or slip down the table.

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