Zalgiris vs Real Madrid Prediction: Preview, Picks, Odds, Team News and Schedule, Injury Report, Friday, April 11th 2024

Zalgiris, already eliminated from the Euroleague, will aim to secure a win over defending champions Real Madrid in their final game of the regular season. Our Zalgiris vs Real Madrid prediction is for Zalgiris to cover the 3.5 spread. Real Madrid are favorites with an implied probability of 63.3% to win this one at 1.58 odds, while Zalgiris are available at 2.45 odds. The point spread is +/-3.5 points and the total points line is at 165.5.

Zalgiris will face Real Madrid on Thursday evening at the Zalgirio Arena, Kaunas, Lithuania. For more Euroleague picks from Agbeniga Ayobami and other basketball experts, visit our Expert Insights section.

Zalgiris vs Real Madrid Prediction, Picks

• Selection: Zalgiris +3.5
• Odds: 1.90
• Bookmaker: Bet365
• Stake: 5/10

Odds available as of 9th April 2024. Odds may now differ. 

Zalgiris and Real have already determined their fates in this competition, with Zalgiris suffering elimination last week. They have nothing to play for except pride. On the other hand, Real will likely give playing time to other players on their roster rather than risk their regular starters, as they now focus on the playoffs.

Zalgiris also has a history of outperforming Real in Kaunas. The Green-Whites have won three in a row at home and have beaten Real in Kaunas in each of the last two seasons. When Zalgiris defeated Real 68-47 in Kaunas in February 2022, it held Real to its fewest points ever in a EuroLeague game. Therefore, the Green-Whites have my backing here.

Game Info

• Date: Thursday, April 11th, 2024
• Time: 18:00 (CET)
• Arena:  Žalgirio Arena.
• Location: Kaunas, Lithuania.

Zalgiris Injury Report, Team News, Schedule

Zalgiris (14-19) suffered elimination last week, but they will aim to end their EuroLeague campaign on a high note and delight their fans. They were narrowly defeated 69-66 by Monaco on Thursday evening, ending their hopes of advancing to the next round. Keenan Evans scored 8 of his 17 points in the fourth quarter to help keep the game close, while Brady Manek contributed 12 points and Kevarrius Hayes added 11.

The Green-Whites have won three in a row at home and have defeated Real in Kaunas in each of the last two seasons. Zalgiris averages 80.0 points per game, 31.9 rebounds, 15.7 assists, 6.4 steals, 1.8 blocks, and has an 82.5 PIR. They rank second in the league in three-point shooting at 39.3%, with Evans ranking seventh in average three-pointers made with 2.5 per game. Unfortunately, Arnas Butkevicius is out with an ankle injury, while Karolis Lukosiunas will be sidelined for ‘months’ with a back injury.

Real Madrid Injury Report, Team News, Schedule

Real Madrid (26-7) suffered a 91-95 defeat in their last game against Baskonia. For the second year in a row, Baskonia secured a dramatic victory at WiZink Center. Real Madrid has already secured the top spot, and the loss did not affect their standing going forward. They will now focus on the playoffs rather than games like this.

Real leads the league in several statistical categories: average team PIR with 107.4 per game, scoring with 88.9 points per game, assists with 20.6 per game, rebounding with 36.6 per game, defensive rebounds with 26.8 per game, blocks with 3.5 per game, and free-throw shooting at 82.2%. Additionally, they rank second in two-point shooting accuracy at 57.6% and have held opponents to a league-low 50.8% two-point shooting and 33.5% three-point shooting. There are no injury concerns for the team.

Trends

• Zalgiris has a 9-7 record playing at home.
• Real Madrid has a 12-4 record playing away from home.
• Zalgiris is 14-19 SU.
• Real Madrid is 26-7 SU.

Zalgiris vs Real Madrid H2H 

Zalgiris and Real Madrid have faced each other 29 times, with Real winning on 24 occasions. The home team has emerged victorious in six straight games. Notably, when Zalgiris defeated Real 68-47 in Kaunas in February 2022, it marked Real’s lowest point total in a EuroLeague game.

Zalgiris’s single-game club scoring record is held by Justin Dentmon, who scored 36 points against Real Madrid on April 11, 2014. Dentmon also tied the club record with 7 three-pointers in that game. Additionally, the EuroLeague single-game record for free throws made by a player without a miss is 18, a feat achieved by Nikola Mirotic with Real against Zalgiris in March 2013.

Real Madrid’s players have also left their mark in games against Zalgiris. Rudy Fernandez delivered a career-best 9 assists against Zalgiris in October 2013, while Sergio Rodriguez tied his career-high with 6 three-pointers while playing for CSKA Moscow against Zalgiris in November 2018. Mario Hezonja grabbed a career-high 4 steals for FC Barcelona against Zalgiris in January 2015, and Carlos Alocen dished out a career-high 6 assists against Zalgiris in December 2021.

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