3.75 Bet Builder for Game 5: Nuggets vs Timberwolves Prediction, Expert Picks, Player Props, H2H, Injury Report and News for 5/14/24

On Tuesday, May 14, the Minnesota Timberwolves, seeded third, will clash against the Denver Nuggets, seeded second, in Game 5 of their 2024 NBA Playoffs Western Conference semifinals road series. The Timberwolves took charge early in the series, securing two wins on Nugget’s home turf, but the defending champions responded strongly, leveling the series with two victories on the road. Our Nuggets vs Timberwolves prediction and Same-Game parlay are listed below at 3.75 odds. 

Our basketball expert Agbeniga Ayobami has a 3.75-odds bet builder ready for the early hours of Wednesday’s clash, but if you want more expert opinions & predictions, visit our Expert Insights section.

• Nuggets -4.5
• Over 205.5

Bet Builder odds: 3.75

NUGGETS VS TIMBERWOLVES Prediction: NUGGETS TAKE BACK THE LEAD 

Nuggets -4.5

The Minnesota Timberwolves had a solid grip on advancing to the Western Conference Finals after clinching the first two games of the series in Denver. However, their offensive shortcomings have been glaring in the last couple of games, resulting in losses in both games 3 and 4 on their home court. 

In these recent matches, the Timberwolves have displayed a stark contrast in performance compared to earlier in the series. While they managed to keep the Nuggets under 100 points in the initial games, they conceded 117 and 115 points in the subsequent matchups.

Despite historical trends favoring the visiting team, with 6 of the last 7 games between the Timberwolves and Nuggets being won by the away team, it seems that the Nuggets have found their rhythm in the last 2 games. 

Now returning to their home turf, where they are 36-10 this season, the Nuggets are poised to capitalize on their recent momentum. Nikola Jokic, performing at an MVP level, is expected to deliver another standout performance leading to a victory.

It’s worth noting that the Nuggets have won each of their last 9 home games after being underdogs in the previous match, and they’ve covered the spread in their last 4 games at Ball Arena following a road win. Conversely, the Timberwolves have struggled to cover the spread in 4 of their last 5 games after being favorites, and they’ve suffered defeats in their last 6 games at Ball Arena following a home loss.

Over 205.5

The Minnesota Timberwolves have faced offensive challenges in their recent games, but they understand the critical importance of this match and have shown improved shooting performance on the road during this postseason. Despite recent struggles, they rank third in points scored during the playoffs, averaging 110.7 per game.

Anthony Edwards has been superb in the playoffs, averaging 32.1 points, 6.5 rebounds, and 5.6 assists per game. Karl-Anthony Towns has contributed an average of 18.9 points per game, while Rudy Gobert has maintained a double-double with 11.9 points and 10.7 rebounds per game. Mike Conley has been solid with 11.3 points and 7.0 assists per game, and Jaden McDaniels has provided 10.4 points per game, although he hasn’t surpassed 11 points in any of the four games against the Nuggets.

Nikola Jokic was exceptional in Game 4, scoring 35 points on 15-26 shooting. He is averaging team highs of 27.6 points, 14.0 rebounds, and 9.1 assists per game in the playoffs. The Nuggets rank fourth in offensive efficiency, and the over has hit in the last two games of this series, a trend expected to continue in Game 5.

NUGGETS VS TIMBERWOLVES H2H STATS

• The Timberwolves have lost 10 of their last 11 playoff road games following a loss.
• The Nuggets have won their last 9 home games against Western Conference opponents after being underdogs.
• The Nuggets have covered the spread in their last 4 night games at Ball Arena after a road win.
• The Timberwolves have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games against Western Conference opponents after losing as favorites.

SAFER GAMBLING

At bettingexpert, we always take a safe approach to gambling. We’ll never bet more than we can afford or chase losses. For more advice, head to our Safer Gambling hub.