NBA Wednesday Night Best Bets: January 5th

NBA Wednesday Night Best Bets:

Odds available as at 3 pm January 5th 2022. Odds may now differ. 

Charlotte Hornets vs Detroit Pistons

The Charlotte Hornets are having a solid year so far, winning half of their games this season, but their recent form has left a lot to be desired. Their defence has been terrible, with an average of 116.7 points allowed per game, and an opponent field-goal percentage of 46.8% (26th in NBA). They have lost their last two games, one of them being a brutal 133-99 beatdown against the Phoenix Suns, and are heavy favourites to win this one at 1.20 odds.

The Detroit Pistons have been one of the worst teams in the NBA this season, and are sitting in 14th place in the east with just 7 wins and 28 losses. But they have been taking advantage of the league’s health&safety situation and earning themselves some wins. They have won their last 2 games and are coming off a 115-106 win against the Milwaukee Bucks. The Pistons are in excellent shape at the moment and are definitely worth backing against a struggling Hornets team. With 90% of bettors backing the Hornets to win, the Pistons provide excellent value as underdogs in the handicap market.

Tip: Detroit Pistons +9.5 at 1.94 odds

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Indiana Pacers vs Brooklyn Nets

The Indiana Pacers are having a difficult 2021/22 season so far and are sitting in 13th place in the Eastern Conference with 14 wins and 24 losses. They’ve won just 2 of their last 10 games, and are riding a 5-game losing streak. But their play at home has been respectable all season, covering the spread in 57.9% of their games. Despite this, they are heavy underdogs for tonight’s game and are available at 3.57 odds.

But the Brooklyn Nets are on a 3-game losing streak and coming off a 118-104 loss against the Memphis Grizzlies. Despite having most of their squad finally back and healthy, their form simply isn’t as good as expected, more precisely their defence. The Nets have ranked 23rd in defensive rating in the last 5 games, and with a turnover percentage of 14.6%, it’s no wonder that they are struggling to win. The Nets are severely overrated at the moment, and with an incredible 97% of bettors backing them tonight, it’s an excellent opportunity to back the underdog.

Tip: Indiana Pacers +7.5 at 1.96 odds

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Minnesota Timberwolves vs OKC Thunder

The Minnesota Timberwolves have had a difficult season so far, sitting in 9th place in the west with 17 wins and 20 losses. Mediocrity has plagued them for years now and this season is no different, ranking 23rd in offensive and 13th in defensive rating. To make matters worse, D’Angelo Russel and Karl Anthony-Towns could miss this game due to health&safety issues. They are coming off a 122-104 win over the injured Clippers, but their record ATS this year is subpar, covering the spread in just 45% of their home games.

Meanwhile, the OKC Thunder have been one of the best teams in the league this year, and no I’m not joking. Despite their 13-23 record and despite sitting in 13th place in the west, the Thunder have been a cheat code against the spread, covering in 64.7% of their games, second only to the Cleveland Cavaliers. As a young team, they are very underrated and bettors frequently bet against them in all markets, making them an excellent value team this year. In fact, 86% of bettors are backing the Timberwolves in this one, and at +8 points at 1.93 odds in the handicap market, they are an excellent pick.

Tip: OKC Thunder +8 at 1.93 odds

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Portland Trail Blazers vs Miami Heat

The Portland Trail Blazers are 12th in the west with 13 wins and 23 losses with just 3 wins in their last 10 games. The biggest reason behind their poor performance this season has been their lacklustre defence which is ranked dead last in the NBA in rating and allows 113.2 points per game (26th in NBA). What’s worse, they are allowing opponents to shoot 37.5% from beyond the arc and 55.4% for 2. Their last 4 games have seen an average of 246.5 points per game, and backing the Over in this one is a very tempting option.

The Miami Heat started the season as one of the best defensive teams in the league, but that trend quickly disappeared, and they have ranked 13th in defensive rating in the last 5 games. With Dedmon, Robinson, Butler and Adebayo out for this game, it’s difficult to imagine a solid defensive performance out of them tonight. 60.5% of their games this season have gone over, and all 4 of their last games have seen 223 or more points. I don’t expect these two teams to play any defence whatsoever tonight, and taking Over on points is the obvious choice in this one.

Tip: Over 217.5 points at 2.00 odds

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