NBA Wednesday Night Best Bets: January 12th

NBA Wednesday Night Best Bets:

Odds available as at 2 pm January 12th 2022. Odds may now differ. 

NBA Best Bets Profit Stats:

Indiana Pacers vs Boston Celtics

The Indiana Pacers are 13th in the east with just 2 wins in their last 10 games, so it’s not surprising that a majority of bettors are backing the Celtics to take this one. But their form has improved recently, covering the spread in their last 3 games, including their last one against the Celtics in Boston. There is a huge difference in how this team fares at Gainbridge Fieldhouse compared to away games, and the Pacers have covered the spread in 61.9% of their home games.

Meanwhile, the Celtics have won 2 games in a row, and are now 10 in the Eastern Conference. Their latest game against the Pacers saw them barely getting the job done in overtime against a weakened Pacers squad. Despite playing great defence this year, they’ve been one of the worst offensive teams in the league this season, ranking 20th in offensive rating. With 22 assists per game and a field-goal percentage of just 44.3%, they are 23rd in the NBA in both statistics. The Celtics have covered the spread in just 1 of their last 5 games, and I expect the Pacers to cover again tonight.

Tip: Indiana Pacers +3.5 at 1.92 odds

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Washington Wizards vs Orlando Magic

Despite their red-hot start to the season, the Washington Wizards have cooled off quite a bit, and are now 9th in the east with 21 wins and 20 losses. They have won 5 of their last 10 games, but have failed to cover the spread in their last 4. Their offence has been respectable, ranking 17th in offensive rating this year, but their defence is ranked 23rd whilst allowing an average of 109.8 points per game. The Wizards won their last game against the Orlando Magic by 102:100 on Sunday evening, but the Magic easily covered the 7-point spread. With Bradley Beal out for this game with health & safety issues, it’s hard to imagine them getting the job done tonight.

The Orlando Magic are deal last in the Eastern Conference with just 7 wins and 34 losses on the season, but they’ve been a gold mine in terms of betting value. Bettors flock to bet against the young Magic team every night, giving them tons of value, especially on the road. The Magic have covered the spread in 58.3% of their away games this season, and 93% of bettors are betting against them tonight against a struggling Wizards team.  The spread is set at 7.5 points, and I expect their 2-day rest to give them the edge against the Wizards tonight.

Tip: Orlando Magic +7.5 at 1.95 odds

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Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat

The Atlanta Hawks are 12th in the Eastern Conference with 17 wins and 22 losses. They’ve won just 3 of their last 10 games and coming off a 106:93 loss to the injured LA Clippers. The Hawks have been the 3rd-worst team ATS this year, covering in just 38.5% of their games. They’ve also covered the spread in just 3 of their last 10 games, and the bookmakers, unfortunately, have them as favourites in this one.  Despite having a solid and reliable offence, their defence has allowed 111.5 points per game this year, whilst ranking dead last in the NBA in the last 5 games.

The Miami Heat have maintained their reputation as one of the most dangerous teams in the east this year. They are sitting 3rd in the east with 25 wins and 15 losses, winning 7 of their last 10 games. They have won their last 2 road games in impressive fashion, and are coming off a 123-100 win against the Phoenix Suns. The Heat have ranked 5th in offensive rating in their last 5 games, covering the spread in 4 of their last 5. What’s more, their away form has been solid all season, with a 13-11 record, and a 58.3% ATS.

Tip: Miami Heat +3.5 at 1.95 odds

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New York Knicks vs Dallas Mavericks

After an impressive 2020/21 campaign, the Knicks have fallen off a cliff, and are now 11th in the Eastern Conference with 20 wins and 21 losses. They are faced major offensive issues this year, averaging just 104.2 points per game (27th in NBA) with just 20.9 assists per game (29th). Although their home performances have been respectable this season with a record of 11-10, they have covered the spread in just 9 of those games, ranking 21st in the NBA in that regard. They are a slow team with a very low field-goal percentage of 43.5%, and I don’t expect them to have much success against a Dallas squad that plays terrific defence.

The Dallas Mavericks have been firing on all cylinders in recent games, and are now riding a 6-game winning streak. They are now 5th in the Western Conference, and coming off an impressive 113-99 win over the Chicago Bulls in Dallas. The Mavericks have covered the spread in 7 of their last 10 games, along with 57.1% of their away games this season. This team has ranked 1st in the NBA in defensive rating in the last 5 games, whilst maintaining their solid offensive performances. The Mavs are also a slow team, but they do an excellent job of cutting down on turnovers, and their 2-point percentage is excellent at 53.7%. They are coming into this game with a rest advantage, and I expect them to get the job done in the handicap market.

Tip: Dallas Mavericks -2.0 at 1.91 odds

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