NBA Wednesday Night Best Bets: November 10th
The NBA season is well underway, and this Wednesday provides some of the most interesting match-ups of the week. The following selections are my best bets for Wednesday, November 10th. You can also play the selections as an accumulator at odds of 13.72 at Bet365.
NBA Wednesday Night Best Bets:
- Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves – Warriors -7 points at 1.90 odds
- Dallas Mavericks vs Chicago Bulls – Bulls-3.5 points at 1.90 odds
- LA Lakers vs Miami Heat– Heat -4.5 points at 1.95 odds
- Phoenix Suns vs Portland Trail Blazers – Suns -6.5 points at 1.95 odds
Total Acca odds: 13.72
Odds available at Bet365 as at November 10th 2021. Odds may now differ.
Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves
The Golden State Warriors are one of the best teams in the league at the moment. They are currently sitting atop the Western Conference with 9 wins and only 1 loss since the start of the season. Though offence has been their bread and butter in recent years, it’s their defence that has shined this season. The Warriors are 1st in defensive rating, and only allow 101.5 points per game, whilst keeping opponents to very low shooting percentages both inside and outside the 3-point line. Their rebounding has also been solid, but with 30.3 assists per game, they are by far the best passing team in the league, and they rarely experience shooting slumps.
Meanwhile, the Minnesota Timberwolves have had a difficult start to the season. With 3 wins and 6 losses, they are 12th in the Western Conference and hoping to bounce back. They are on a 5-game losing streak and have suffered blowout losses in 3 of those games. The Minnesota Timberwolves struggle to generate easy scoring opportunities, especially in close games. Their ball movement and shooting have them as one of the worst teams in the league, and it’s difficult to imagine them bouncing back any time soon. They simply don’t have the necessary tools to prevent the Warriors from dictating the pace of the game, and their tentative defence is unlikely to hold up against one of the best passing teams in the league.
Tip: Warriors -7 points at 1.90 odds
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Chicago Bulls vs Dallas Mavericks
The Chicago Bulls have come out as one of the best teams in the NBA this year, winning 7 of their first 10 games. They are currently 2nd in the Eastern Conference and looking to get back into 1st place. Their success this season has come as a result of their elite defence, and unselfish team chemistry. The pieces they acquired this summer in DeMar DeRozan, Lonzo Ball, Nikola Vucevic and Alex Caruso have fit in perfectly with Zach LaVine, forming a fundamentally-sound team that commits very few turnovers and can easily create chances inside the paint and behind the 3-point line. Their solid perimeter defence should be able to contain Luka Doncic and keep the Mavericks to low scoring numbers throughout the game.
The Dallas Mavericks have also had a successful start to the 2021/21 season, but they have faced a lot of struggling teams so far, and their record suggests they are a better team than they actually are. They are 3rd in the Western Conference and are riding a 3-game winning streak, beating the Celtics, Pelicans and Spurs in the process. The Dallas Mavericks were one of the best attacking teams in the league last year, but this season they are 22nd in offensive rating and 17th in points per game. With poor passing and mediocre shooting numbers, the Jason Kidd experiment is not giving good results. However, their defence has been quite good this year with a healthy Kristaps Porzingis, and the addition of Ntilikina and Bullock. That said, the Mavs rely too much on post-ups and isolation plays, compared to the Bulls who have a much more fluent offence. I expect the Bulls to get the home win in this one and easily cover the spread.
Tip: Bulls-3.5 points at 1.90 odds
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LA Lakers vs Miami Heat
The LA Lakers have struggled since the start of the season, and injury issues have been one of the main causes. LeBron James, Nunn, Ariza and Horton-Tucker are out for their game against the Heat, whilst Rondo and Davis are questionable. The biggest issue for the Lakers this season has been their offence. The Lakers are 19th in offensive rating with 106.2, and they simply aren’t able to generate scoring opportunities, especially in the 3rd quarter. They commit 16.5 turnovers per game, and their defensive rebounding is one of the worst in the league, despite having Anthony Davis, Dwight Howard and Deandre Jordan in their roster. Another major concern this season has been effort on both sides of the court, which isn’t something that can be fixed easily.
Meanwhile, the Miami Heat are polar opposites and are one of the most underrated teams since the start of the season. With 7 wins and 3 losses, the Heat are sitting atop the Eastern Conference. The Heat have one of the best defences in the league, allowing just 101.5 points per game, and a defensive rebound percentage of 81.1%. With 24.4 assists per game and solid shooting percentages, the Heat are 4th in offensive rating. The addition of Kyle Lowry and the improved play of their young core have made Miami a serious threat to go all the way this year. I expect to see Miami take advantage of the Lakers’ injury issues and cover the spread in this one, keeping their opponents to a low scoring tally.
Tip: Heat -4.5 points at 1.95 odds
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Phoenix Suns vs Portland Trail Blazers
Despite their slow start to the season, the Phoenix Suns have bounced back nicely and are now on a 5-game winning streak. They are currently 4th in the Western Conference standings and playing just as well as they did last season. In fact, their defensive rating has been one of the best in the NBA in the last 5 games, along with their ball handling, field goal percentage and scoring numbers. The Suns are averaging 28.4 assists per game along with 113.2 points per game and a field goal percentage of 48.9%. They have finally overcome their poor start to the season and are ready to continue their winning ways.
The Portland Trail Blazers have had a subpar start to the season, and are currently 10th in the Western Conference. Damian Lillard is having a poor season thus far with 19.0 points per game and abysmal 3-point shooting numbers, whilst C.J. McCollum is averaging 21.3 points per game with solid percentages. Though offence has been a problem at times for the Blazers, it’s their defence that prevents them from living up to their potential. With a rating of 108.8, the Blazers are ranked 22nd in the NBA, allowing 108.3 points per game. Their perimeter defence has allowed opponents to shoot high numbers from behind the 3-point line and failing to disrupt opposing plays. They beat the Suns earlier in the season due to a terrible shooting night by the Suns, but I don’t expect that to happen again. The Blazers are 0-5 ATS in away games this season making them the worst team in the league in that regard, and I have the Suns to continue their winning streak to 6 in a row with a dominant result.
Tip: Suns -6.5 points at 1.95 odds
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