MLB Run Total Best Bet: Friday, June 10th

Say it! TGIF, which means the weekend is around the corner, but before you light the BBQ our resident U.S sports guru Ej Garr has another offer you can’t refuse from the baseball game in St. Louis. The hapless Reds float in Busch Stadium and the total is set entirely too low at 7.5 with just a drop of juice on the action.

MLB Best Bet: June 10th

• St, Louis vs. Cincinnati: Over 7.5 Runs

Odds as of 11:00 am June 10th, 2022. Odds may now differ.

St. Louis vs. Cincinnati Best Bet

June 11, 01:15 UK time

I am simply going to make you an offer you can’t refuse because the line setters have given us a favourable line on the total in St. Louis. 

Now, I understand your concerns about the Cards’ offence of late but you need to remember that the ridiculous park in Tampa is just a dump and so many teams have gone there to stop hitting for a minute or two. Getting back home is going to feel like getting out of an airport hangar for 3 days and having the sun quite literally hurt your eyes from being indoors. 

The starting pitchers tonight create a little concern toward the total but it’s not the early runs we can’t count on it’s the late ones. The Reds bullpen is like the Bad News Bears and if you look over their roster and read the injury report you might have to ask someone to put on a bagel and start some tea. By the time you get through the Cincinnati list of players out of the mix, I could just eat up all my word count going over the absences. 

The Reds are fielding an AAA team with 2 or 3 veterans who I don’t think are showing us that they are leading the brigade to win games. Luis Castillo is among those dudes with some tenure having been wearing a Reds jersey since 2017. The issue is that Castillo is nothing more than a .500 pitcher at best who has his moments if he faces teams that have no patience. 

Castillo has yet to give up more than 3 earned runs in any outing this season, which points me to the fact he is due to get hit around a little bit. He threw 111 pitches after coming out of his last start against the Nationals going 6⅓ innings picking up his 3rd loss of the 2022 campaign. 

The Cards have seen his stuff enough to know that they are coming home to face a guy they can hit and are probably just looking forward to getting back home after what turned into an 8-game road trip.

I think we will see early runs and I know we will see the late because this park will help us, the Cards being back home again will help us, and the low total at 7.5 is not some outlandish number to crash. At 1.80, even if the line falls to that point when game time arrives, that is not much to ask to still need the 8 runs at 1.91. 

That is my other point to make because if I can splash a 7.5 at 1.80 or an 8 at 1.91, why push the 8 in case they get stuck there when we can cash that puppy instead, right? We’re getting $75 back on the $100 investment and I know I have seen plenty of offers well beyond that line so enjoy, have a nice weekend, and I will see you Monday for more cracked bats around the diamond! 

• Selection: Over 7.5 Runs
• Best odds: 1,85 (Pinnacle)
• Stakes 4/10

Odds as of 11:00 am June 10th, 2022. Odds may now differ.

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