New York Mets vs Detroit Tigers Prediction, Picks, Odds, News, Injury Report 4/4/24

After Detroit won the series opener, bettors have a lot to think about when it comes to Mets vs Tigers Prediction Win Probability and odds. The Tigers are aiming to move to 5-0 in the young season, while the Mets have played poor baseball so far to slump to 0-4.

It might be early in the MLB season, but there’s still plenty of information to consider when compiling our Expert Insights. MLB tipster Sam Cox provides his analysis for the Mets vs Tigers below.

Mets vs Tigers Prediction and Picks: Backing Detroit On The Road

• Selection: Detroit Tigers moneyline

•  Best Odds: 2.15

• Bookmaker: Bet365

• Stakes: 5/10

The Mets have recorded their worst start to a season since 2005. They had just five hits on Monday, and starting pitcher Adrian Houser was a below-average starter by the majority of his underlying metrics last season. His knack for conceding hard contact is a concern against these Tigers.

There is a degree of uncertainty with Casey Mize making his return from injury. Mize has had a disappointing MLB career since being selected first overall, but he looked good at points in the spring and saw a considerable uptick in his velocity.

Detroit’s bullpen has been excellent to start the year. New York’s offense has been ice-cold. We like the value of taking the Tigers as road dogs here.

Mets vs Tigers Game Info

• Weather: 8 degrees, 15% precipitation
• Stadium: Citi Field
• Location: New York, NY
• Start time: 17:10 UK time
• Starting Pitchers: Adrian Houser vs Casey Mize

New York Mets News, Injury Report, Schedule: Poor Start Set To Continue

Francisco Alvarez and Starling Marte are the only Mets hitters to impress through the first four games. Criticism is already loud for a Mets team that disappointed in 2023 and had a quieter offseason than fans have been accustomed to since Steve Cohen arrived.

Their 0-4 start is cause for concern. This offense is just 19th in xwOBA, and several of their relievers have already leaked runs, including the 10th-inning calamity on Monday.

Injuries to numerous pitchers have left the Mets with an uninspiring rotation. Houser has hovered around league average for much of his career, but a lot of that has depended on batted-ball luck.

Detroit Tigers News, Injury Report, Schedule: Depth Across Roster

Mize isn’t going to go deep into this game in his first start since 2022. Luckily, the Tigers have one of the stronger bullpens in the American League and have plenty of options to hand the game over to.

Andrew Chafin is the only Tigers reliever to have conceded an earned run so far this season. While they are waiting for Riley Greene and Spencer Torkelson to heat up, Detroit has been able to lean on the production of Mark Canha, Kerry Carpenter, and Carson Kelly.

Detroit might not have the star power yet that the Mets can boast, but they have slowly built depth across their roster. That should work in their favor for Thursday’s Game One.

Mets vs Tigers H2H: History Favours Tigers

The Tigers have won 17 of their 28 games against the Mets, including their 5-0 win on Monday. After winning all three games last season, Detroit has now won four in a row against New York.

The Mets have scored a grand total of six runs over that period.

This is the first game of a double-header – Detroit won both legs of a double-header when these teams faced off in 2023 with Tyler Alexander and Michael Lorenzen claiming the wins.

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