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Analysis | Wednesday, March 20, 2024 1:27 PM (Revised at: Wednesday, March 20, 2024 2:27 PM)

Ilia Topuria vs Sean O’Malley Prediction: Picks, Odds, Full Fight Analysis

Ilia Topuria vs Sean O’Malley Prediction: Picks, Odds, Full Fight Analysis
CREDIT: IMAGO / USA TODAY Network - UFC Featherweight champion Ilia Topuria

I know, the fight hasn’t even been talked about seriously and it could be more than a year before it even happens. Still, we already have Ilia Topuria vs Sean O’Malley betting odds available on multiple websites. Topuria is the early betting favorite at 1.35 odds and a 74% win probability while O’Malley is priced at 3.45 odds. My Topuria vs O’Malley Prediction will be available in the article below, as well as my betting picks and preview.

We have an interesting fight in the making, as O’Malley called out the new Featherweight champion Ilia Topuria in his post-fight speech. We had already received some hints about this before the UFC 299 event, but it’s now looking more and more realistic.

The article below will contain everything you need to know about this event in the coming months. This includes my Topuria vs O’Malley prediction and betting pick! Visit Expert Insights for more fighting content!


Topuria vs O’Malley Prediction: Leaning toward Ilia Early 

It’s still so early for any real predictions to be made, but I believe this fight will happen at some point in the future. It’s too good not to, and the UFC loves setting up championship fights across divisions.

However, I don’t like the idea of O’Malley moving up a weight class to fight Topuria despite his height and reach advantage. As good as he is at using his strengths, Topuria’s timing, speed, and power are terrifying and I think he might get caught.

I don’t want to make any official picks for this fight yet, but I am leaning toward backing Topuria. My Topuria vs O’Malley prediction will be announced on fight week!


Topuria vs O’Malley Odds: El Matador Already Doble-Champ? Books Think So 

We only have the moneyline odds available as of now, but Topuria is favored to win this at 1.40 odds whilst O’Malley is the underdog at 3.10. 

I expect a lot of movement before the fight is officially announced, and I would like O’Malley’s odds to shorten. 


Ilia Topuria Stats, Form, News

Ilia Topuria is currently the UFC Featherweight champion after defeating Alex Volkanovski at UFC 299 via KO. At 27 years old, he holds an MMA record of 15 wins and no losses. 5 of his wins have come via KO/TKO, 8 via submission, and only 3 by decision.

Since joining the UFC, he is on a 7-fight winning streak. His most notable opponents have been Volk, Josh Emmett Bryce Mitchell, and Ryan Hall. Topuria is a phenomenal boxer with perfect timing and amazing KO power. He has only been taken down once in his UFC career and has a 92% takedown defense. 

He stands at 173 centimeters (5’7”) and has a reach of 175 cm (69”). His most dominant performance was against Josh Emmett, where he outstruck the veteran by 152-87. 


Sean O’Malley Stats, Form, News

At UFC 299 Sean O’Malley defended the Bantamweight title by defeating Marlon Vera in their rematch. This was a fight 4 years in the making after Chito TKO-ed Sean. This time, O’Malley was without injuries and dominated his opponent in significant strikes by 230-89.

He is now on a 3-fight winning streak since his No-contest against Pedro Munhoz and a 6-fight winning streak since the Vera fight. His most notable victories have come against Petr Yan via split decision followed by a KO against Aljamain Sterling for the belt. 

Sean O’Malley now holds an MMA record of 18 wins, 1 loss, and 1 draw. His only career loss came due to a foot injury back in 2020. He wasn’t completely knocked out, but he was unable to defend and Vera took advantage. 12 of his career wins have come by KO/TKO, 1 by submission, and 5 by decision.

The champ lands an average of 7.63 strikes per minute while absorbing 3.52, and his takedown defense is at 62%. 


SAFER GAMBLING

At bettingexpert, we always take a safe approach to gambling. We’ll never bet more than we can afford or chase losses. For more advice, head to our Safer Gambling hub.

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