Super Bowl LIX Odds: ATS, Over/Under, Player Props

For the second time in three years, the Kansas City Chiefs and Philadelphia Eagles meet in the Super Bowl. Played at Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, the Chiefs are looking to become the first team in NFL history to complete a three-peat.

Philadelphia dispatched the Washington Commanders in the NFC Championship Game to reach New Orleans. Kansas City got the better of the Buffalo Bills in yet another postseason thriller.

Chiefs vs Eagles Picks: ATS, Over/Under & Player Props

Will the Chiefs make history? What does Patrick Mahomes have in store for us? Could Saquon Barkley finish off a historic season with the Eagles’ second Super Bowl win in a decade?

Super Bowl LIX Spread Pick

Philadelphia’s 13-7 record against the spread goes out the window for the Super Bowl. Betting on a spread this small is simply picking a team to win the game, and we can’t look past the Chiefs with what they have achieved in recent years.

Yes, Philly’s running game could exhaust the Kansas City defence. Yes, the Chiefs offence hasn’t been its box-office best this season. Still, Kansas City always finds a way to get the job done (just ask Josh Allen).

• Selection: Chiefs -1.5
• Odds: 1.91
• Stakes: 5/10

Super Bowl LIX Over/Under Pick

These teams have combined to hit the under in 22 of their 39 games so far. This line seems a little low, however, with the Eagles clearing this in their last two games and the Chiefs combining for over 60 points with the Bills in the AFC Championship Game.

Only four of the last eight Super Bowls have gone over this number. While these are two great defences, both offences have consistently going into the twenties. Then, we only need a few additional points from each team to hit this over. There’s enough offensive firepower for this game to get into the fifties.

• Selection: Over 48.5 points
• Odds: 1.91
• Stakes: 3/10

Super Bowl LIX Player Props

Jalen Hurts to score two or more touchdowns

The Tush Push makes Jalen Hurts touchdown props a great bet in any game. Hurts has scored at least one touchdown in 10 of his last 13 games and has recorded multiple scores four times this season.

Only seven teams prevented touchdowns in the redzone more often than the Chiefs. Kansas City will make the Eagles work in the redzone, potentially leaving short-yardage situations for Hurts to use his legs.

• Selection: Jalen Hurts 2+ touchdowns
• Odds: 6.00
• Stakes: 2/10

Patrick Mahomes over 35.5 longest completion

Patrick Mahomes’ longest completion has been 36 yards or longer in three of his last four games. The Eagles are in the bottom five in blitz rate, and they’re unlikely to ramp that up given Mahomes’ ability to pick apart blitzing defences.

While Philly had been great against the pass, this only takes one long ball to Xavier Worthy. Andy Reid and Mahomes might be forced to look downfield if Philly is able to limit their running game.

• Selection: Patrick Mahomes longest pass completion over 35.5 yards
• Odds: 1.87
• Stakes: 7/10

DeAndre Hopkins 3+ receptions

The Chiefs have only targeted DeAndre Hopkins three times in two playoff games. Looking for an edge over a staunch Eagles defence, could Reid dust off the midseason acquisition for Sunday’s showdown?

After his Chiefs debut, Hopkins had eight consecutive games with three or more receptions. His workload has cratered in the postseason, but Reid is bound to have something up his sleeve – maybe Hopkins is their man.

•  Selection: DeAndre Hopkins 3+ receptions
• Odds: 4.75
• Stakes: 6/10

Kansas City Chiefs vs Philadelphia Eagles Game Info

• Date: February 9th 2025
• Time: 11:30 pm UK time
• Location: New Orleans, Louisiana
• Stadium: Caesars Superdome

Game officials

•         Referee: Ronald Torbert (62)[47]
•         Umpire: Mike Morton (89)
•         Down judge: Max Causey (21)
•         Line judge: Mark Stewart (75)
•         Field judge: Mearl Robinson (31)
•         Side judge: Boris Cheek (41)
•         Back judge: Jonah Monroe (120)
•         Replay official: Kevin Brown
•         Replay assistant: NFL Front Office

Where Is The Super Bowl Most Popular?

According to Bet365’s Super Bowl Obsession Score, Nevada is where the Super Bowl is most popular. Alabama apparently takes the least interest in the Big Game out of the 50 states.

Weighted criteria were used to determine the state with the most Super Bowl interest. Ticket searches, interest in the Super Bowl, and interest in watch parties contribute 30% of the score each, with 10% down to the number of Super Bowl watch parties in each state.

It’s perhaps not a surprise that Nevada adores the glitz of Super Bowl weekend. The state has a massive lead over second-placed Missouri.

Here are the top 10 states, per the Obsession Score:

1.     Nevada
2.     Missouri
3.     Delaware
4.     Kansas
5.     Utah
6.     Colorado
7.     California
8.     Virginia
9.     Illinois
10. Nebraska

Super Bowl LIX Odds

Chiefs vs Eagles Trends

•         The Chiefs have won the last two Super Bowls.
•         Philadelphia is 13-7 against the spread this season.
•         Patrick Mahomes is 17-3 as a starting quarterback in the playoffs.
•         Saquon Barkley is 29 yards off Terrell Davis’ record for the most rushing yards across a regular season and playoffs.
•         AFC teams have won seven of the last 10 Super Bowls.

Super Bowl LIX Injury Report

Chiefs Injury Report

•         Doubtful – WR Skyy Moore (Abdomen, Limited)
•         Unspecified Game Status – DT Jawaan Taylor (Knee, Full)
•         Out – WR Mecole Hardman (Knee)
•         Out – WR Rashee Rice (Knee)

Eagles Injury Report

•         Questionable – WR Britain Covey (Neck, Limited)
•         Questionable – RB Kenneth Gainwell (Concussion/Knee, Did Not Participate)
•         Questionable – DE Brandon Graham (Elbow, Limited)
•         Questionable – TE C.J. Uzomah (Abdomen, Full)
•         Unspecified Game Status – MLB Zack Baun (Groin, Did Not Participate)

Chiefs Key Player: Travis Kelce

Mecole Hardman and Rashee Rice are out. Skyy Moore is likely to be limited or unavailable altogether. An already mediocre Chiefs receiving corps has been decimated further, putting huge pressure on Travis Kelce to once again deliver for Andy Reid and Patrick Mahomes in a Big Game.

Kelce delivered in the divisional round but was pretty quiet against the Bills. He needs to be getting open six or seven times if the Chiefs are to get enough yards on Sunday night.

Eagles Key Player: Saquon Barkley

Only seven players in NFL history have had more rushing yards in a season than Saquon Barkley. He’s on course to set the record for the most yards on the ground across a regular season and playoffs.

Barkley has followed up with three spectacular postseason performances, including a hat-trick against the Commanders.

Kansas City is a top-10 defence against the run. Chris Jones is a one-man wrecking crew up the middle. The Chiefs are equipped to slow Barkley down, and they need to. If he rushes for 150+ yards, it’s hard to see how the Eagles lose this game.

Kansas City Chiefs vs Philadelphia Eagles H2H

•         20/11/23 – Chiefs 17-21 Eagles
•         12/2/23 – Eagles 35-38 Chiefs
•         3/10/21 – Eagles 30-42 Chiefs
•         17/9/17 – Chiefs 27-20 Eagles
•         19/9/13 – Eagles 16-26 Chiefs

The Chiefs had won four straight games against the Eagles prior to Philly’s four-point win in the 2023 regular season. Kansas Chief’s winning streak included their three-point victory in Super Bowl LVII.

Where To Watch Super Bowl LIX

You can watch Super Bowl LIX on Game Pass, ITV, or Sky Sports in the UK. The DAZN app is required to watch via Game Pass.

FOX has broadcast rights in the USA. DAZN is the place to go for Game Pass subscribers around the world.