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Mixed martial arts Super 6 Predictions and Correct Score Tips: OPTA Stats and BETSiE Predict Six Premier League Matches
Our Super 6 predictions and correct score tips return for Round 40 of Sky Bet’s popular free-to-play game where we head to the Premier League for a packed weekend of football.
The Super 6 correct score predictions and tips will be powered by BETSiE. What you’ll see is past underlying data used in a way to predict future scoreline probabilities. However, you can’t always blindly back the science. Therefore, the final Super 6 correct score predictions, following BETSiE’s train of thought and a selection of OPTA stats, will be provided by Josh Ingram.
Super 6 Predictions and Correct Score Tips
- Arsenal vs West Ham: 1-0
- Ipswich Town vs Tottenham Hotspur: 1-1
- Southampton vs Brighton: 0-3
- Aston Villa vs Chelsea: 2-0
- Newcastle vs Nottingham Forest: 2-2
- Man City vs Liverpool: 1-2
The Football Betting Podcast, OUT NOW!
The Football Betting Podcast is back, albeit with a Daniele-shaped void on the panel. Daniel Jenkins is forced to step into the pod treble. Sam suggests there’s a good eight or so bets to take in the Premier League. Scott’s misery is clear for all to see as Clement Turpin scuppers any bookings-related hopes and dreams in the Conference League.
There might be a bit of Popworld discussion too for good measure.
TIMESTAMPS:
(00:00) – Pod Chat
(04:59) – Intro
(08:03) – 1ST BET: Swansea vs Blackburn
(17:03) – 2ND BET: Newcastle vs Forest
(23:40) – POD TREBLE Win Recap & Season Stats
(26:18) – 3RD BET: Southampton vs Brighton
(38:45) – 4TH BET: Aston Villa vs Chelsea
(43:42) – POD TREBLE
Best bets, tips, predictions, and more from the Premier League, Championship and League Two on The Football Betting Podcast, powered by bettingexpert.
Our Football Betting Pod is available on both Spotify and Apple Podcasts.
Arsenal vs West Ham:
England, Premier League, Saturday, February 22nd, 15:00 (UK)
Mikel Arteta’s injury crisis headache in his forward line forced him to utilise an emergency number nine away at Leicester City on Saturday afternoon. Arteta turned to fellow countryman Mikel Merino in search of goals, and he reaped the rewards with two brilliant finishes. How the game transpired showed that the Gunners are in the title fight for the long haul. Before last Saturday, Mikel Merino had only scored one brace in his whole career (in 2015/16 for Osasuna against Gimnàstic de Tarragona) and played just 19 minutes as a centre-forward, all in a Copa Del Rey game in January 2020 for Real Sociedad. This galvanising win extended Arsenals’ current unbeaten run to 15 league matches (W10, D5) – their longest run without defeat under Mikel Arteta.
The Hammers’ season has been turbulent, but there has been a visible uptick in performance under Graham Potter despite the results. They have won just one of their six competitive games with him in charge. Over that period, the Hammers scored an average of one goal per game, conceding 1.67. Another blow for West Ham going away to the Emirates is that they will be without one of their leading men, Lucas Paqueta, who is out injured. It could be a tough afternoon for the Hammers, who are projected to score just 0.71 goals by BETSiE, the lowest tally among all the away teams on this matchday.
- Super 6 Tip: Arsenal
- Correct Score Prediction: 1-0
Arsenal vs West Ham OPTA Stats
- Arsenal have won 37 Premier League games against West Ham – they’ve only beaten Everton (38) more often in the competition, while it’s the most defeats the Hammers have suffered against a side.
- Arsenal have scored more goals from crosses than any other side in the Premier League this season (13), with both of Mikel Merino’s strikes against Leicester coming via a cross. However, just 8.5% of West Ham’s goals conceded this term has come from a cross (4/47), with only Brighton having a lower share (7.9%).
- Arsenal are unbeaten in their last 15 Premier League games, their longest run since a run of 16 between December 2010 and April 2011. The Gunners are also unbeaten in 15 home league games, last having a longer run between August 2018 and April 2019 (16).
Ipswich Town vs Tottenham Hotspur:
England, Premier League, Saturday, February 22nd, 15:00 (UK)
The Tractor Boys put in a valiant effort at Villa Park, playing over half the game with a red card. Once again, Liam Delap found the net and took his tally to ten. The main difference between Town and their relegation rivals is that Ipswich Town has a clinical striker. Despite this, they have struggled to create chances, as Ipswich have the worst xG in the Premier League with 22.64. However, they have managed to score four more goals (23) than Southampton (19). It might be a tight, drab affair between these two in East Anglia, but it’s not often been a place laden with goals. Only five out of 13 games at Portman Road this season have witnessed three goals or more. That’s the second-lowest record behind Bournemouth’s home games (4/12).
The main difference for Spurs in the coming weeks is that they should start getting vital players back. None more so than Guglielmo Vicario – he has kept back-to-back Premier League clean sheets three months apart from each other. The Italian shot-stopper’s absence has been noticeable due to the quality drop-off between him and his understudies. During his time out injured, Tottenham have only managed to keep two clean sheets in 12 league games. Despite Portman Roads’ poor goal totals, goal averages increase when Spurs are involved. BETSiE has the projected goal total for this match at 3.04, the highest projected tally for matchday 26, alongside Manchester City vs Liverpool.
- Super 6 Tip: Draw
- Correct Score Prediction: 1-1
Ipswich Town vs Tottenham Hotspur OPTA Stats
- No side has won fewer games (1) or scored fewer goals (9) at home in the Premier League this season than Ipswich Town. Since beating Chelsea in December, they’ve lost their last three at Portman Road by an aggregate score of 10-1.
- Only Everton (63%) have scored a higher share of their Premier League goals this season in the first half of games than Ipswich (61% – 14/23). Meanwhile, Tottenham have conceded a higher share of their goals in the opening 45 minutes than any other side (57% – 21/37).
- Only Chris Wood (43.9%) has scored a higher share of his team’s goals in the Premier League this season than Ipswich’s Liam Delap (43.5% – 10/23). Delap’s 10 goals this season is the joint second most by an Ipswich player in a single Premier League campaign, behind only Marcus Stewart in 2000-01 (19).
Southampton vs Brighton:
England, Premier League, Saturday, February 22nd, 15:00 (UK)
Southampton this season has the exact recipe for relegation as Ipswich: extremely porous at the back and very blunt at the top end of the pitch. Southampton are averaging 3.2 shots on target per game in the Premier League. Only Leicester (3.1 per game) have had fewer. They don’t work the keeper enough. One of the reasons for this is they don’t possess any out-and-out goalscorers. BETSiE does project the Saints to end the season with 18 points. From now on, they should average 0.69 points per game, almost twice as many as they have collected so far (0.36). It would be no great surprise for them to fall short of that, as it’s hard to see where the next goal comes from, let alone win. The risk of appointing Ivan Juric has not worked; in his 10 games in charge, he has only won twice, one of which was an FA Cup game against Championship Swansea City.
Brighton aren’t exactly solid in defence on the road; they have conceded 24 times; only Leicester City (32) and Wolves (30) have a worse record. Seven of those were at the hands of high-flying Nottingham Forest. Since then, though, Fabian Hurzeler has masterminded two excellent performances back-to-back against Chelsea in the FA Cup and the Premier League. The 3-0 win was a sensational dominant performance. Kaoru Mitoma scored a third goal in his last five Premier League appearances last Friday against Chelsea, as many as in the 33 before that. The Japanese international has stepped up since Brighton rebuffed the offer from Saudi Arabia.
- Super 6 Tip: Brighton
- Correct Score Prediction: 0-3
Southampton vs Brighton OPTA Stats
- Six of Brighton’s nine Premier League wins this season have been against sides starting the day in the top half of the table. Indeed, they’ve got a 46% win rate (6/13) against sides in the top 10 this term compared to 25% against sides in the bottom half (3/12), drawing both games against sides in the relegation zone.
- Only Tottenham (21) have dropped more points from winning positions than Southampton (20) in the Premier League this season, with Saints also winning a league-low one point from behind this term.
- Brighton are unbeaten in all six of their Premier League away games against Southampton (W2 D4) – they’ve only visited West Ham (8) more without ever losing in the competition, while Saints have only hosted Nottingham Forest (7) more often without success.
Aston Villa vs Chelsea:
England, Premier League, Saturday, February 22nd, 17:30 (UK)
Aston Villa have just locked in two draws in a row, but both points aren’t the same. The point to ten-man Ipswich Town was two dropped in their hunt for Europe, but the tie against Liverpool in midweek was well-earned. They should have too much for this Chelsea side. Aston Villa could end up frustrating the Blues as Villa is the most fouled team in the Premier League, forcing an average of 13.2 per game. Petulance could be on the cards as the visitors attract bookings: 71, to be exact, the most in the Premier League. Villa will use this to their advantage and showed against Liverpool that they can exploit teams with set pieces and second phases for dead balls. They have a plethora of attacking talent, and Marcus Rashford has already shown flashes of his brilliance; he has a real chance to find the net in this one.
There is a general mood of discontent surrounding Chelsea at the moment; a large part of that is due to how abject they have performed in recent weeks. The only chance for a trophy now is the Conference League, which they haven’t been overly interested in this season. They are slight favourites to earn all three points despite failing to win any of their last six away matches across all competitions. Even in their recent wins, they haven’t convinced. An overreliance on Cole Palmer has become apparent, with his recent performances below his typical lofty standards, and subsequently, the team has faltered.
- Super 6 Tip: Aston Villa
- Correct Score Prediction: 2-0
Aston Villa vs Chelsea OPTA Stats
- Chelsea have scored just two goals in their last five Premier League away matches (D2 L3), having scored nine in their two away games before this run (5-1 vs Southampton, 4-3 vs Spurs). In these last five away games, the Blues have underperformed their expected goals by 4.8 (2 goals, 6.8 xG).
- Aston Villa have lost just one of their last 22 Premier League home games played on Saturdays (W16 D5), a 2-0 loss to Arsenal in August this season which was also a 5.30pm kick-off.
- Aston Villa’s Marcus Rashford has scored four goals in eight home Premier League appearances against Chelsea, doing so for Manchester United in 2016-17 (one goal), 2019-20 (two) and 2022-23 (one).
Newcastle vs Nottingham Forest:
England, Premier League, Sunday, February 23th, 14:00 (UK)
Despite Isak performing at a world-class level, Newcastle are scoring an average of 1.67 goals per Premier League home game, which is 0.91 fewer than last season. St James’ Park hasn’t been the cauldron it usually is, as Eddie Howe’s men possess the ninth-best home record in the league with just 20 points from a possible 36. Despite Cup success, League form has nosedived with three losses in four. The display they served up away at the Etihad was their worst all season, second-best in every aspect, and looked well off the pace of a side that yearns for Champions League football next season.
Nottingham Forest lost for the second time this season to Marco Silva; he has his fellow compatriot’s number. A slight blip in their form with two losses in their last three, even if the win was a 7-0 home win. Nottingham Forest is the most significant expected points overperformers in the Premier League, 47 from an xPTS of 37.21. One of the main reasons they consistently overachieve their underlying points is that Chris Wood has reached 20 goal involvements in a single campaign in the competition for the first time (18 goals/2 assists). However, he’s overperforming his xG by 6.76, the highest positive differential in the league, and his xA (Expected Assists) by 1.64. When your main goal-getter is overperforming to such a degree, it will fire you up the Premier League table.
- Super 6 Tip: Draw
- Correct Score Prediction: 2-2
Newcastle vs Nottingham Forest OPTA Stats
- Nottingham Forest have netted the opening goal in more Premier League games than any other side in 2024-25 (19). However, when they’ve gone 1-0 down they have lost five out of six games, coming back to win the other 2-1 against Aston Villa in December.
- Nottingham Forest sit third in the Premier League, although they have faced more shots (342) than they’d had themselves (318). On record since 2003-04, only two sides have finished in the top-four positions when they’ve had a negative differential between shots taken and faced – Everton in 2004-05 (faced 142 more) and Spurs in 2021-22 (faced 1 more).
- Newcastle United have lost three of their last four Premier League matches (W1), more than in their previous 12 combined (W8 D2 L2). The Magpies haven’t lost more than two league games in a row since December/January in 2023-24 (four).
Man City vs Liverpool:
England, Premier League, Sunday, February 23th, 16:30 (UK)
Manchester City are average odds of 2.80 to win here, meaning it is the first time they have been the underdogs at home this season. They’ve never been as big of a price at home under Pep Guardiola in the Premier League. At one point in their tie against Madrid, City were 2-0 up in the first leg but ended up losing by 6-3 on aggregate. Their deficiencies have been evident this season. They have been so open in the middle of the pitch, and this is where Liverpool can potentially win the match. The main positive is that Liverpool has failed to win any of their last eight league games at the Etihad Stadium, drawing four. Their last win in this fixture came in 2015.
Liverpool are the highest-scoring team in the Premier League with 62 goals, eight more than Manchester City, who have scored the second most. Anytime Aren Slot’s Liverpool steps on the pitch at present, there are always goals, especially with how they have struggled to keep clean sheets in recent weeks. The Reds have conceded five goals in the last three Premier League games, including two away at Everton and Aston Villa. If there are goals for the Reds, Mo Salah will no doubt chip in as he has done all season. Liverpool’s star man already has 24 goals and 15 assists and is on course to be the most productive player in a single season in history.
- Super 6 Tip: Liverpool
- Correct Score Prediction: 1-2
Man City vs Liverpool OPTA Stats
- In just six Premier League matches in 2025, Manchester City have scored 20 goals from only 81 shots, a league-high conversion rate of 24.7% this calendar year. Their shot conversion between August and December this season was only 9.6%.
- Following their 2-0 win at Anfield in December, Liverpool are looking to complete the Premier League double over Manchester City for just the third time (also 2005-06 and 2015-16).
- Since Christmas, only Liverpool and Arsenal have won more points in the Premier League than Manchester City (17 – W5 D2 L1). In their eight games beforehand, City picked up only four points (W1 D1 L6).
What is SkyBet Super 6 and Super 6 Predictions?
Sky Bet unveils the engaging Super 6 February Rollover, spotlighting this weekend’s Premier League matches. This free-to-play challenge offers participants an entertaining and exciting experience, all at no cost. As long as entries are submitted before 3 PM on Saturday, 1st February, participants are in with a chance of scooping the £250,000 jackpot this weekend.
Football fans and sports prediction enthusiasts can enjoy this renowned game with numerous opportunities for prizes.
The focus throughout the different Super 6 compeitions is primarily on the Premier League each weekend. However, midweek gameweeks often concentrate on fixtures in the English Football League and the Champions League, too.
How to play Skybet’s Super 6 Challenge
Step 1: Create Your Account
First, you must have a Sky Bet account to play Sky Super 6. It doesn’t matter if you don’t have one yet—creating an account is straightforward.
Go to SkyBet, sign up for free, and you’re ready to play. Once you’ve opened your account, sign in on the Super 6 website or through their app.
Step 2: Make Your Super 6 Predictions
Now, it’s time for the interesting part—making your Super 6 predictions. Again, it’s pretty straightforward.
Pick the correct scores you think will transpire for the six chosen games. Once you’ve locked in your predictions, hit the submit button, and your six scores are ready.
Step 3: ‘Golden Goal’
Alongside the score predictions, Super 6 requires you to choose a minute for the ‘Golden Goal’; this is where you predict the minute when the first goal will be scored across the six selected games.
Your golden goal prediction becomes the tiebreaker in the event of a jackpot shared between users, ultimately deciding who takes home the prize.
Super 6 Predictions: Where does bettingexpert come in?
Central to the bettingexpert Super 6 experience is the invaluable guidance provided by our in-house predictive model, BETSiE, and our football editor, Sam Ingram. Before the commencement of each game week, BETSiE and Sam meticulously curate Super 6 tips and predictions, offering participants a strategic leg-up in their quest for correct score predictions.
BETSiE stands as the culmination of technological prowess and statistical understanding. It sifts through vast datasets, analyses team performances, scrutinises the underlying data, and considers various variables to generate predictions beyond mere chance. The Super 6 correct score grids for each fixture are borne from this data and represent the probability of each score coming to fruition at the end of 90 minutes.
Sam Ingram is there to inject a human touch into the process, infusing the predictions with expert insights and a deep understanding of the ever-evolving dynamics of the clubs involved. We can’t always mindlessly rely on the data and statistics – there are variables at play which a spreadsheet will never be able to compute.
Why are OPTA Stats used in bettingexpert’s Super 6 Predictions and Correct Score Tips?
As you can see, we use OPTA Stats for each Premier League Super 6 fixture. If you’re unaware, OPTA is a sports data provider that collects and analyses detailed statistics from various sporting events.
The OPTA match stats offer a comprehensive and objective overview of an upcoming football match, enabling us Super Six players a statistical insight into the performance of players and teams that might assist in correct score predictions.
OPTA’s data is widely used in the football industry for performance analysis, scouting, and enhancing the overall understanding of the game. The inclusion of OPTA stats here aims to compliment BETSiE and Sam’s work and equip readers with a more well-rounded view of the six fixtures.
The fundamentals to consider when predicting Correct Scores
Successfully betting on correct scores demands a holistic approach that combines statistical analysis, team dynamics, and a keen understanding of the ever-changing variables in football. You can elevate your correct score betting by strategically selecting fixtures, conducting in-depth team analysis, and considering various influencing factors.
Remember that patience and consistency are essential in such a dynamic market where it’s guaranteed that you will lose much more than you win. Considering this, a pragmatic staking system is required, as refining your strategies based on ongoing learning and analysis will contribute to long-term success in this challenging betting market. The bettingexpert team have highlighted ten areas which require your focus if you are going to be able to have an edge over the bookmaker:
- Strategic Fixture Selection
- In-Depth Team Analysis
- Over/Under Goal Analysis
- Assessing Motivation and Match Importance
- Recent Form
- League-Specific Trends
- Managerial Tactics
- Weather Conditions
- Player Form and Key Performers
- Historical Data and Trends
It must be noted that correct score predictions and betting is extremely difficult, displayed in the high odds attached to correct score markets in any given fixture. It is likely, for most, that this will not be a viable strategy long term. However, correct score betting does provide an extra layer of excitement to a match, and may enhance your viewing.
SAFER GAMBLING
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