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Mixed martial arts Super 6 Predictions and Correct Score Tips: OPTA Stats and BETSiE Predict
Our Super 6 predictions and correct score tips return for Round 51 of Sky Bet’s popular free-to-play game where we head to the Premier League for a packed weekend of football.
The Super 6 correct score predictions and tips will be powered by BETSiE. What you’ll see is past underlying data used in a way to predict future scoreline probabilities. However, you can’t always blindly back the science. Therefore, the final Super 6 correct score predictions, following BETSiE’s train of thought and a selection of OPTA stats, will be provided by Josh Ingram.
Super 6 Predictions and Correct Score Tips
- Leeds vs Swansea City: 3-0
- Burnley vs Bristol City: 1-0
- Sunderland vs Millwall: 2-0
- Norwich vs West Brom: 1-2
- Portsmouth vs Blackburn: 1-1
- Cardiff vs Sheffield Wednesday: 2-2
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Nottingham Forest vs Everton:
England, Premier League, Saturday, April 12th, 15:00 (UK)
Nottingham Forest aim to bounce back from their 2-1 defeat at the hands of Aston Villa. Forest desire Champions League football, currently they have a five-point advantage over 6th. They have the third-best home record in the division. So, this weekend is an ideal opportunity to get back on track. Everton, in 15th, sit 15 points above the drop – maybe they’re effectively on the beach, especially away from Goodison Park.
Everton have been rejuvenated since David Moyes’ return. The Toffees have only lost two games in 12 Premier League outings, drawing six and winning four. Moyes’ Everton have performed in the polar opposite fashion compared to how they were at the start of the season, with 8/12 games overseeing BTTS-Yes winners.
BETSiE views this being a very close game, predicting 1.12 goals for the hosts and 0.87 goals for Everton. This is BETSiE’s second lowest goal differential of this round of fixtures with just 0.24 goals. It’s also the lowest goal total for the weekend, projecting just 1.99 goals. BETSiE has handed Forest the slight edge with the probability to win at 43.1%, 27.5% for the draw, and an Everton win at 29.4%.
Nottingham Forest at home are a horrible team to face. Nuno’s men are unbeaten in nine games in a row at the Trent ground. Seven of Forest’s nine wins at home this season have been nil. They welcome an Everton team that are not great travellers. The Toffees possess the fourth-worst away record in the Premier League, collecting just 15 points, having not won the last three away games and lost the most recent away in the Merseyside derby 1-0.
- Super 6 Tip: Nottingham Forest
- Correct Score Prediction: 1-0
Nottingham Forest vs Everton OPTA Stats
- Nottingham Forest have won seven of their last nine Premier League home games (D2), more than their previous 24 beforehand (W6 D7 L11). The Tricky Trees have also kept a clean sheet in each of their last four at the City Ground, last recording more in a row at home in the top-flight in May 1980 under Brian Clough (8).
- 45.5% of Everton’s Premier League goals this season have come via set pieces (15/33). Only in 2023-24 (52.5%) and 2006-07 (46.2%) have they scored a higher proportion of their goals from set plays.
- Everton have won three of their last four away league games against Nottingham Forest (D1), as many as they had in their previous 29 visits to the City Ground (D6 L20).
Southampton vs Aston Villa:
England, Premier League, Saturday, April 12th, 15:00 (UK)
Ivan Juric has gone. He will go down as one of the worst managers the Premier League has ever seen results-wise. But, in fairness, the squad he inherited isn’t good enough. It lacks top-flight quality throughout the ranks. That’s is evident when looking at the defensive numbers. Southampton have conceded 74 goals at a rate of 2.39 per90. The goal rate goes up when playing at home to 2.67 goals conceded per game. The Saints have lost 12 games at home, with six being to nil. Southampton have conceded over 2.5 goals in 17 games so far.
Aston Villa, in the away corner, conceded a deflating third goal in the dying embers of the Champions League Quarter-Final first leg. The next goal in the tie is huge. A 2-1 defeat would have been far more palatable. In the season’s early stages, Villa struggled after midweek European games. However, following January recruitment, they put up a decent 1-0 win away at Brentford which was sandwiched between two Club Brugge fixtures. Regardless of rotation, they should win this comfortably. Villa are closing in on the now coveted fifth position for a return back to Europe, so that is a massive incentive to win this one.
The BETSiE projections for the game are closer than I anticipated, with the Saints projected 1.12 goals and the Villians with 1.94 goals; a projected goal difference of 0.82. It’ll be difficult for many to envisage Southampton scoring herewith Villa improving defensively of late. Of course, rotation could play a part in it being a closer game. BETSiE hands a Villa 57% probability of winning this one, a draw at 19.3% and a Saints win at 23.7%. I would say that’s generous for the Saints, as they have shown very little this season.
- Super 6 Tip: Aston Villa
- Correct Score Prediction: 0-3
Southampton vs Aston Villa OPTA Stats
- Aston Villa have won their last four Premier League games against Southampton by an aggregate score of 7-0. In their league history, only against Stoke (1905-1923), Sunderland (1983-1990) and Hull (1988-2010) have they won five in a row without conceding.
- Southampton have lost 25 of their 31 Premier League games this season (W2 D4), the joint-most league defeats in a single campaign in their history, also losing 25 times in their last top-flight campaign (2022- 23).
- Southampton have lost 12 of their 15 Premier League games at St. Mary’s this season (W1 D2); it’s their joint-most home defeats in a single league campaign in their history, also losing 12 in 2022-23 in the Premier League.
Arsenal vs Brentford:
England, Premier League, Saturday, April 12th, 17:30 (UK)
Arsenal head into the weekend on the back of their best game in the Champions League since their run to the final in 2006. They were exceptional to a man against Madrid and now have one foot in the semi-final.
The Gunners’ title chances have vanished domestically. However, they can do something special in Europe. So, their sole focus should be on winning their first Champions League title. Yet, it’s hard to know how far Mikel Arteta goes with his rotation for this home game against Brentford. Honestly, I think his main aim should be on that second leg. Rest all key players for this one.
This has to be the best time for Brentford to play Arsenal. It is an occupied Arsenal team that will be focused on that second leg, considering they are 11 points behind Liverpool. The Bees could have easily returned four points from their last two games. The loss at Newcastle was thanks to a flukey cross-come-shot from Sandro Tonali, and they couldn’t convert against Chelsea. Thomas Frank makes it so awkward for teams when they play his side. They can hurt a changed Arsenal eleven with their quality in forward areas.
BETSiE has predicted this one will have the second lowest total goal for the weekend, with 2.5 goals – Arsenal contributing 1.76 and Brentford 0.74. BETSiE doesn’t see this being a close encounter, with a whole goal separating the teams. Hence why, Arsenal is given a 61.8% chance of winning with a draw at 20.9% and a Bees win at 17.3%. When looking at these numbers, you must remember the context for this match with what Arsenal are juggling at the moment.
- Super 6 Tip: Draw
- Correct Score Prediction: 1-1
Arsenal vs Brentford OPTA Stats
- Having beaten Arsenal 2-0 in their first ever Premier League match in August 2021, Brentford have now lost five of their last six against the Gunners in the competition (D1)
- Since the start of December, Arsenal have conceded just 12 goals in their 18 Premier League games. They’ve only conceded more than once in one of these games, a 2-2 home draw against Aston Villa.
- Brentford have scored 51 goals from 359 shots in the Premier League this season, a conversion rate of 14.2% – the highest of any side in the division this term. On the other hand, the Bees have conceded 47 goals from 548 shots faced, a rate of 8.6%, with only Nottingham Forest (8.5%) conceding a lower ratio of goals to shots faced in the competition in 2024-25.
Chelsea vs Ipswich Town:
England, Premier League, Sunday, April 13th, 14:00 (UK)
Chelsea have Conference League commitments on Thursday against Legia Warsaw, which shouldn’t impact them too much. The best kind of opponent for a team with a midweek game is one destined for the drop. Chelsea should have too much quality for the Tractor Boys. The Blues’ home record in recent weeks has been what’s kept them moving steadily in the Premier League table. The five home wins on the spin are crucial, as they haven’t won in eight away games. Stamford Bridge is the joint third hardest place to visit across the top flight. Maresca has his team playing their best stuff at home, averaging 1.87 goals a game and only failing to score in one game – 31 marchdays ago on the opening weekend.
Ipswich lost to Wolves at the weekend in a crucial relegation six-pointer. The gap is now 12 points between the two, and it’s all but confirmed relegation. It has been the same old story for the Tractor boys all season with holding onto leads. They lead the Premier League with the unwanted accolade of most points dropped from winning positions (25). Defensively, there is no solidity. They crumble when they concede, hence why they only have two clean sheets from 31 games. The only saving grace is Liam Delap. The young Englishman has shown his quality. It’s not easy to score 12 goals in a team that has only registered 31 strikes in total. Hence why many are circling for his signature.
BETSiE sees this as an empathic win for Chelsea, projecting the Blues to score 2.54 goals and Ipswich 0.92; the second-biggest differential and second-highest goal total for the weekend. Therefore, the chance of Chelsea scooping all three points is significant. Their win percentage sits at 72.2%, with the Tractor Boys afforded a measly 13.2% chance.
- Super 6 Tip: Chelsea
- Correct Score Prediction: 2-1
Chelsea vs Ipswich Town OPTA Stats
- Chelsea have won each of their last five Premier League games at Stamford Bridge by an aggregate score of 11-2. The Blues last won more successive home league matches in July 2020 under Frank Lampard (6).
- Ipswich have lost 19 of their 31 Premier League games this season (W4 D8). Defeat to Chelsea would make 2024-25 the fourth earliest into a league campaign that they have hit 20 defeats (32 games), after 1954-55 (28), 1963-64 (30), and 1994-95 (31).
- Chelsea have kept a clean sheet in four of their last five Premier League games, as many as their previous 29 beforehand. The Blues are looking to record three successive league shutouts for the first time since February 2023 under Graham Potter.
Liverpool vs West Ham:
England, Premier League, Sunday, April 13th, 14:00 (UK)
Complacency has seemingly crept in for the Reds last week at the Cottage. In fairness, it was to be expected with such a big lead (12 points). It has now been cut to 11. Liverpool will want to get back to winning ways after their first league defeat in 26 games. As ever, Anfield has been a fortress. Of their 15 games at home, 12 have been victories.
West Ham aren’t playing for anything. They are lucky there isn’t a relegation scrap, as they would be in trouble. Since Graham Potter took charge, the Hammers have managed just three wins in 11. They are winless in four. It’s evident Potter is taking this chance to learn about his squad and how best to utilise it. In fairness, the fans haven’t been overly critical. As they can see, it’s still a hangover from the dismal football Lopetegui was serving up.
The lack of quality up top and the constant change in that position has meant they have lacked cutting edge. The overall play is better with the number of larger passing sequences being up. Since Potter took charge, West Ham has averaged 15.4 sequences of nine plus passes. It is more than Julen Lopetegui, who had 12 and 10 under David Moyes last season.
This is the game where BETSiE has the largest goal difference between the two at 1.7 goals. Liverpool are heavy favourites – BETSiE projects the Reds net 2.60 goals and the Hammers just 0.90, hence why BETSiE gives Liverpool a 72.8% chance of winning and just 12.9% for West Ham. The visitors haven’t gone to Anfield and avoided defeat since December 2016.
- Super 6 Tip: Liverpool
- Correct Score Prediction: 3-0
Liverpool vs West Ham OPTA Stats
- Liverpool have lost just one of their last 57 home games against West Ham in all competitions
(W42 D14), winning each of their last nine in a row. - Since doing the Premier League double over Liverpool in 2015-16, West Ham have won just
one of their last 17 against them in the competition (D3 L13), picking up a 3-2 home win in
November 2021. - Liverpool have beaten West Ham 5-1 in the EFL Cup and 5-0 in the Premier League already this
season. No English top-flight team has ever scored 5+ goals against another three times in the
same season before.
Newcastle United vs Man United:
England, Premier League, Sunday, April 13th, 16:30 (UK)
Newcastle are on cloud nine, still riding the high of their Carabao Cup win. The home side here have been buoyed with two wins in the Premier League since. Newcastle narrowly dispatched the Bees, before swatting aside a poor Leicester team in an empathic fashion. It’s four wins in a row now, and they should make it five. Despite St James Park only being the seventh toughest place to go in the division, it will be rocking for this one. It’s hard to see how they don’t kick on from here and clinch a Champions League place, especially seeing the game in hand they possess.
Any aspirations of a wave of form towards European qualification from Man United’s league finish went a long time ago. The Red Devils’ main ambition is to win the Europa League. So, these fixtures are almost irrelevant, especially with it being right in the middle of their two-legged affair with Lyon. United don’t travel well, winning just 4/15 away games – two of which were against the bottom two. Ruben Amorim has struggled since arriving and will guide United to their worst-ever finish.
BETSiE has Newcastle as favourites, projecting them to score 1.73 goals and United 1.12 goals. It’s hard to see where those United goals come from. If it’s not Fernandes, no one else looks likely to score. They lack any type of threat at the top end of the pitch. Bruno is their top scorer with eight and top creator with nine assists. They rely on him to do everything in the final third. He needs help, and opponents know this so they can focus on Fernandes and it really nullifies United.
- Super 6 Tip: Newcastle United
- Correct Score Prediction: 3-1
Newcastle United vs Man United OPTA Stats
- Following their 2-0 win at Old Trafford in December, Newcastle are looking to complete their first league double over Manchester United since the 1930-31 campaign.
- Newcastle have won four of their last five meetings with Manchester United in all competitions (L1), as many as they had in their previous 41 (D9 L28).
- Only Leicester City (14) and Everton (13) have failed to score in more different Premier League games this season than Manchester United (12), who have drawn a blank in their last two in the league. It’s the most times the Red Devils have failed to score in a single league season since 1989-90 (16).
What is SkyBet Super 6 and Super 6 Predictions?
Sky Bet unveils the engaging Super 6 February Rollover, spotlighting this weekend’s Premier League matches. This free-to-play challenge offers participants an entertaining and exciting experience, all at no cost. As long as entries are submitted before 3 PM on Saturday, 1st February, participants are in with a chance of scooping the £250,000 jackpot this weekend.
Football fans and sports prediction enthusiasts can enjoy this renowned game with numerous opportunities for prizes.
The focus throughout the different Super 6 compeitions is primarily on the Premier League each weekend. However, midweek gameweeks often concentrate on fixtures in the English Football League and the Champions League, too.
How to play Skybet’s Super 6 Challenge
Step 1: Create Your Account
First, you must have a Sky Bet account to play Sky Super 6. It doesn’t matter if you don’t have one yet—creating an account is straightforward.
Go to SkyBet, sign up for free, and you’re ready to play. Once you’ve opened your account, sign in on the Super 6 website or through their app.
Step 2: Make Your Super 6 Predictions
Now, it’s time for the interesting part—making your Super 6 predictions. Again, it’s pretty straightforward.
Pick the correct scores you think will transpire for the six chosen games. Once you’ve locked in your predictions, hit the submit button, and your six scores are ready.
Step 3: ‘Golden Goal’
Alongside the score predictions, Super 6 requires you to choose a minute for the ‘Golden Goal’; this is where you predict the minute when the first goal will be scored across the six selected games.
Your golden goal prediction becomes the tiebreaker in the event of a jackpot shared between users, ultimately deciding who takes home the prize.
Super 6 Predictions: Where does bettingexpert come in?
Central to the bettingexpert Super 6 experience is the invaluable guidance provided by our in-house predictive model, BETSiE, and our football editor, Sam Ingram. Before the commencement of each game week, BETSiE and Sam meticulously curate Super 6 tips and predictions, offering participants a strategic leg-up in their quest for correct score predictions.
BETSiE stands as the culmination of technological prowess and statistical understanding. It sifts through vast datasets, analyses team performances, scrutinises the underlying data, and considers various variables to generate predictions beyond mere chance. The Super 6 correct score grids for each fixture are borne from this data and represent the probability of each score coming to fruition at the end of 90 minutes.
Sam Ingram is there to inject a human touch into the process, infusing the predictions with expert insights and a deep understanding of the ever-evolving dynamics of the clubs involved. We can’t always mindlessly rely on the data and statistics – there are variables at play which a spreadsheet will never be able to compute.
Why are OPTA Stats used in bettingexpert’s Super 6 Predictions and Correct Score Tips?
As you can see, we use OPTA Stats for each Premier League Super 6 fixture. If you’re unaware, OPTA is a sports data provider that collects and analyses detailed statistics from various sporting events.
The OPTA match stats offer a comprehensive and objective overview of an upcoming football match, enabling us Super Six players a statistical insight into the performance of players and teams that might assist in correct score predictions.
OPTA’s data is widely used in the football industry for performance analysis, scouting, and enhancing the overall understanding of the game. The inclusion of OPTA stats here aims to compliment BETSiE and Sam’s work and equip readers with a more well-rounded view of the six fixtures.
The fundamentals to consider when predicting Correct Scores
Successfully betting on correct scores demands a holistic approach that combines statistical analysis, team dynamics, and a keen understanding of the ever-changing variables in football. You can elevate your correct score betting by strategically selecting fixtures, conducting in-depth team analysis, and considering various influencing factors.
Remember that patience and consistency are essential in such a dynamic market where it’s guaranteed that you will lose much more than you win. Considering this, a pragmatic staking system is required, as refining your strategies based on ongoing learning and analysis will contribute to long-term success in this challenging betting market. The bettingexpert team have highlighted ten areas which require your focus if you are going to be able to have an edge over the bookmaker:
- Strategic Fixture Selection
- In-Depth Team Analysis
- Over/Under Goal Analysis
- Assessing Motivation and Match Importance
- Recent Form
- League-Specific Trends
- Managerial Tactics
- Weather Conditions
- Player Form and Key Performers
- Historical Data and Trends
It must be noted that correct score predictions and betting is extremely difficult, displayed in the high odds attached to correct score markets in any given fixture. It is likely, for most, that this will not be a viable strategy long term. However, correct score betting does provide an extra layer of excitement to a match, and may enhance your viewing.
SAFER GAMBLING
At bettingexpert, we always take a safe approach to gambling. We’ll never bet more than we can afford or chase losses. For more advice, head to our Safer Gambling hub.
