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Horse Racing Super 6 Predictions and Correct Score Tips: OPTA Stats and BETSiE Predict Six Premier League Matches
The Festive Season is upon so we’ve prepared our Super 6 predictions and correct score tips for Round 25 of Sky Bet’s popular free-to-play game which looks at matchday 17 of the Premier League.
With a little help from our in-house projection model BETSiE, our correct score predictions look at what will be an intriguing weekend in the Premier League. However, given the randomness of a regular Premier League matchday, we will rely on some tipping knowledge. With all of our best tipsters enjoying the Christmas equivalent of being on the beach, Chief Editor Daniel Jenkins has filled in this week.
Super 6 Predictions and Correct Score Tips
- Brentford vs Nottingham Forest: 4-2
- West Ham vs Brighton: 2-2
- Ipswich vs Newcastle: 1-1
- Crystal Palace vs Arsenal: 1-3
- Fulham vs Southampton: 2-0
- Spurs vs Liverpool: 2-3
Brentford vs Nottingham Forest: Bees to Continue Stinging at Home
England, Premier League, Saturday, December 21st, 15:00 (UK)
The sequence goes: Atletico Madrid, PSG, Brentford, Real Madrid and then Athletic Bilbao.
Is that the list of invitees to some commercially-driven preseason tournament in Asia? Is that the career path of a technically gifted Spanish midfielder who suffered a serious injury in Paris and chose to recuperate with some guaranteed game time in West London before reaching new heights?
No, it’s actually an ordered list of the teams with the best home records in Europe’s top five leagues this season.
The Bees are flying in front of their home supporters – even if they can’t quite replicate their performances on the road – and will this week welcome a Nottingham Forest side suffering from altitude sickness as they sit in 4th place approaching the halfway point of the season.
An impressive achievement but still, Brentford should keep this train moving at the Gtech. Five consecutive home wins in the Premier League is no easy feat. The win over Bournemouth in November was the only one of those five matches in which they failed to score four or more goals – they bagged a paltry three. We’re backing them to get another quadruple here.
- Super 6 Tip: Brentford
- Correct Score Prediction: 4-2
Brentford vs Nottingham Forest OPTA Stats
- Brentford are unbeaten in all four of their Premier League meetings with Nottingham Forest (W2 D2),winning both home games against them in the competition.
- Brentford have won their last five Premier League home games, netting at least three goals each time (20 in total). The Bees last won six consecutive home league games in January 2020, while only between December 1929 and February 1930 have they scored 3+ goals in six in a row at home.
- There have been 40 goals scored in Brentford’s eight home Premier League games so far this season (F26 A14), with the average of five currently the highest goals-per-game average at a venue in a single Premier League campaign in the competition’s history.
West Ham vs Brighton: The Only Sack at the London Stadium is Santa’s
England, Premier League, Saturday, December 21st, 15:00 (UK)
Eye-catching results have masked what is becoming a rather difficult season for Brighton. In four matches against Tottenham, Arsenal and the Manchester clubs, the Seagulls took 10 points. In their matches against the current bottom four, they took a total of four points.
Brighton have failed to keep a clean sheet since that 1-0 win at Newcastle in October. We can expect the Hammers to get at least one on the score sheet. Brighton have also found the net in all of their away games this campaign so we should see both teams to score.
BETSiE is giving us a projected goal difference of 0.16 in the hosts’ favour. That’s the third-smallest difference of the weekend behind Leicester vs Wolves and Brentford vs Forest.
I like the score draw here. 2-2 is Brighton’s joint-most frequent scoreline in the Premier League this campaign.
- Super 6 Tip: Draw
- Correct Score Prediction: 2-2
West Ham vs Brighton OPTA Stats
- Brighton are unbeaten in all seven of their Premier League away games against West Ham (W2 D5), both the most they’ve faced an opponent on the road without ever losing and the most West Ham have faced an opponent at home without ever winning in the competition.
- West Ham United have picked up 10 points in their last five home Premier League matches (W3 D1 L1), as many as they had in their previous 11 games at the London Stadium (W2 D4 L5).
- Brighton have won five of their nine Premier League games against sides starting the day in the top half of the table this season (D2 L2). By contrast, they’ve won just one of their seven games against teams in the bottom half of the table (D4 L2).
Ipswich vs Newcastle: Inconsistent Newcastle Undone After Midweek Cup Win
England, Premier League, Saturday, December 21st, 15:00 (UK)
BETSiE has this down as one of the most one-sided matches in the Premier League this weekend. The 0.87 goal difference in Newcastle’s favour puts them as the big favourites in our projections but this side is hard to call. The Magpies are capable of beating Arsenal and drawing with Manchester City one week and slumping to defeats against West Ham and Fulham the next.
They now face an Ipswich side buoyed by that 2-1 win over Wolves last weekend. Kieran McKenna’s side are still awaiting that first Premier League win at home this season and we fear the wait may go on. Still, three 1-1 draws at Portman Road make for good reading for Super 6 players. Another one here looks good value as new Newcastle set one eye on a trophy with an EFL Cup semi-final to come in a few weeks.
- Super 6 Tip: Draw
- Correct Score Prediction: 1-1
Ipswich vs Newcastle OPTA Stats
- Newcastle have lost just one of their eight Premier League meetings with Ipswich (W4 D3), going down 1-0 at Portman Road in April 2001.
- Both of Ipswich’s Premier League wins this season have come away from home, with the Tractor Boys still winless in eight at Portman Road this term (D4 L4). Only two teams have failed to win any of their first eight home games in a Premier League campaign and managed to avoid relegation – Middlesbrough in 2000-01 (first 8) and Brighton in 2020-21 (first 10).
- Ipswich have scored fewer second half goals than any other side in the Premier League this season (5). However, three of these strikes have been a 90th minute equaliser (v Southampton), 72nd minute equaliser (v Aston Villa) and a 90th minute winner (v Wolves).
Crystal Palace vs Arsenal: A Repeat of Midweek?
England, Premier League, Saturday, December 21st, 17:30 (UK)
Sometimes we can take a step into the unknown with a Premier League fixture. A newly-promoted club, a new manager or a host of freshly-signed players can make previous results feel inconsequential. We shouldn’t have that problem here given that Arsenal and Crystal Palace warmed up for this Premier League clash with an EFL Cup quarter-final tie against each other on Wednesday.
The Gunners won the match 3-2 courtesy of a hat-trick from forgotten man Gabriel Jesus. An early Christmas miracle and Jesus’ first goals since October. He’ll now be looking to grab his first Premier League goal since January. Expect a more settled Arsenal backline featuring Gabriel and William Saliba to keep Palace out too.
- Super 6 Tip: Arsenal
- Correct Score Prediction: 0-3
Crystal Palace vs Arsenal OPTA Stats
- Crystal Palace have lost their last four Premier League meetings with Arsenal, having lost just one of their previous eight against the Gunners (W2 D5).
- Arsenal have lost just two of their last 19 away league games against Crystal Palace (W10 D7), with both defeats coming in the Premier League by a 3-0 scoreline (April 2017, April 2022).
- Arsenal kept nine clean sheets in 10 Premier League away games between February and September, but since then have conceded in each of their last six on the road. The Gunners last had a longer run without an away shutout between August and December 2019 (7).
Fulham vs Southampton: No Holiday at the Cottage for Managerless Saints
England, Premier League, Sunday, December 22nd, 14:00 (UK)
Can it be the dawn of a new era if we’re not really sure what to call the era? As the search goes on for Southampton’s new permanent manager, caretaker boss Simon Rusk must prepare this side for a busy festive period. A spirited 2-1 defeat to Liverpool in the EFL Cup in midweek was certainly an improvement on Sunday’s capitulation against Tottenham. Still, improvement is needed as the Saints prepare to face West Ham and Crystal Palace before 2024 is up.
Before that, it’s a trip to West London to take on a Fulham side that looks about as comfortably mid-table as a Premier League club can be. They’ve faced Spurs, Brighton, Arsenal and Liverpool in their last four fixtures and remained unbeaten. Marco Silva will expect three points here.
- Super 6 Tip: Fulham
- Correct Score Prediction: 2-0
Fulham vs Southampton OPTA Stats
- Fulham did the Premier League double over Southampton the last time the sides met in 2022-23, having won just one of their previous nine against Saints in the competition (D4 L4).
- Southampton have lost eight of their last 10 Premier League away games against London sides, with the exceptions being a 1-0 win at Chelsea (February 2023) and a 3-3 draw at Arsenal (April 2023).
- No side have won fewer points away from home than Southampton in the Premier League this season (1). Indeed, Saints are winless in their last 15 on the road in the top-flight (D3 L12).
Tottenham vs Liverpool: Slot’s Men have the Firepower
England, Premier League, Sunday, December 15th, 16:30 (UK)
The biggest match of the weekend looks set to be a cracker. The only guarantee from a Tottenham match is entertainment and that doesn’t look like it will change as they welcome the league leaders to North London.
The last eight league meetings between Tottenham and Liverpool have seen both teams score. There has been an average of 4.0 goals in those eight fixtures too with the sides playing out a 4-2 win for the Reds when they last met at Anfield in May. Expect thrills, spills and three points for Arne Slot’s men.
- Super 6 Tip: Liverpool
- Correct Score Prediction: 2-3
Tottenham vs Liverpool OPTA Stats
- Tottenham won this exact fixture 2-1 last season, last winning consecutive home league games against Liverpool between 2008 and 2012 (a run of five).
- Liverpool have lost just two of their last 23 Premier League games against Tottenham (W15 D6) and have scored at least once in each of their last 17 against Spurs.
- Victory for Liverpool will see them top of the Premier League table at Christmas for the first time since 2020-21. However, the Reds have only won the title in one of the last seven top-flight campaigns in which they’ve been top at Christmas, doing so in 2019-20.
Sky Bet’s Super 6
What is SkyBet Super 6 and Super 6 Predictions?
Sky Bet unveils the engaging Super 6 Christmas Rollover, spotlighting this weekend’s Premier League matches. This free-to-play challenge offers participants an entertaining and exciting experience, all at no cost. As long as entries are submitted before 3 PM on Saturday, 21st December, participants are in with a chance of scooping the £1,000,000 jackpot.
Football fans and sports prediction enthusiasts can enjoy this renowned game with numerous opportunities for prizes.
The focus throughout the different Super 6 compeitions is primarily on the Premier League each weekend. However, midweek gameweeks often concentrate on fixtures in the English Football League and the Champions League, too.
How to play Skybet’s Super 6 game
Step 1: Create Your Account
First, you must have a Sky Bet account to play Sky Super 6. It doesn’t matter if you don’t have one yet—creating an account is straightforward.
Go to SkyBet, sign up for free, and you’re ready to play. Once you’ve opened your account, sign in on the Super 6 website or through their app.
Step 2: Make Your Super 6 Predictions
Now, it’s time for the interesting part—making your Super 6 predictions. Again, it’s pretty straightforward.
Pick the correct scores you think will transpire for the six chosen games. Once you’ve locked in your predictions, hit the submit button, and your six scores are ready.
Step 3: ‘Golden Goal’
Alongside the score predictions, Super 6 requires you to choose a minute for the ‘Golden Goal’; this is where you predict the minute when the first goal will be scored across the six selected games.
Your golden goal prediction becomes the tiebreaker in the event of a jackpot shared between users, ultimately deciding who takes home the prize.
Super 6 Predictions: Where does bettingexpert come in?
Central to the bettingexpert Super 6 experience is the invaluable guidance provided by our in-house predictive model, BETSiE, and our football editor, Sam Ingram. Before the commencement of each game week, BETSiE and Sam meticulously curate Super 6 tips and predictions, offering participants a strategic leg-up in their quest for correct score predictions.
BETSiE stands as the culmination of technological prowess and statistical understanding. It sifts through vast datasets, analyses team performances, scrutinises the underlying data, and considers various variables to generate predictions beyond mere chance. The Super 6 correct score grids for each fixture are borne from this data and represent the probability of each score coming to fruition at the end of 90 minutes.
Sam Ingram is there to inject a human touch into the process, infusing the predictions with expert insights and a deep understanding of the ever-evolving dynamics of the clubs involved. We can’t always mindlessly rely on the data and statistics – there are variables at play which a spreadsheet will never be able to compute.
Why are OPTA Stats used in bettingexpert’s Super 6 Predictions and Correct Score Tips?
As you can see, we use OPTA Stats for each Premier League Super 6 fixture. If you’re unaware, OPTA is a sports data provider that collects and analyses detailed statistics from various sporting events.
The OPTA match stats offer a comprehensive and objective overview of an upcoming football match, enabling us Super Six players a statistical insight into the performance of players and teams that might assist in correct score predictions.
OPTA’s data is widely used in the football industry for performance analysis, scouting, and enhancing the overall understanding of the game. The inclusion of OPTA stats here aims to compliment BETSiE and Sam’s work and equip readers with a more well-rounded view of the six fixtures.
The fundamentals to consider when predicting Correct Scores
Successfully betting on correct scores demands a holistic approach that combines statistical analysis, team dynamics, and a keen understanding of the ever-changing variables in football. You can elevate your correct score betting by strategically selecting fixtures, conducting in-depth team analysis, and considering various influencing factors.
Remember that patience and consistency are essential in such a dynamic market where it’s guaranteed that you will lose much more than you win. Considering this, a pragmatic staking system is required, as refining your strategies based on ongoing learning and analysis will contribute to long-term success in this challenging betting market. The bettingexpert team have highlighted ten areas which require your focus if you are going to be able to have an edge over the bookmaker:
- Strategic Fixture Selection
- In-Depth Team Analysis
- Over/Under Goal Analysis
- Assessing Motivation and Match Importance
- Recent Form
- League-Specific Trends
- Managerial Tactics
- Weather Conditions
- Player Form and Key Performers
- Historical Data and Trends
It must be noted that correct score predictions and betting is extremely difficult, displayed in the high odds attached to correct score markets in any given fixture. It is likely, for most, that this will not be a viable strategy long term. However, correct score betting does provide an extra layer of excitement to a match, and may enhance your viewing.
SAFER GAMBLING
At bettingexpert, we always take a safe approach to gambling. We’ll never bet more than we can afford or chase losses. For more advice, head to our Safer Gambling hub.
