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Mixed martial arts Super 6 Predictions and Correct Score Tips: OPTA Stats and BETSiE Predict Six Premier League Matches
Our Super 6 predictions and correct score tips return for Round 46 of Sky Bet’s popular free-to-play game where we head to the Premier League for a packed weekend of football.
The Super 6 correct score predictions and tips will be powered by BETSiE. What you’ll see is past underlying data used in a way to predict future scoreline probabilities. However, you can’t always blindly back the science. Therefore, the final Super 6 correct score predictions, following BETSiE’s train of thought and a selection of OPTA stats, will be provided by Josh Ingram.
Super 6 Predictions and Correct Score Tips
- Man City vs Brighton: 2-3
- Ipswich Town vs Nottingham Forest: 1-3
- Bournemouth vs Brentford: 2-1
- Arsenal vs Chelsea: 1-1
- Liverpool vs Newcastle United: 2-0
- Leicester City vs Man United: 0-3
The Football Betting Podcast, OUT NOW!
The international break is hurtling towards us as the Football Betting Podcast lineup focuses on a domestic schedule following European commitments.
Nine bets and one POD treble. Enjoy!
TIMESTAMPS:
(00:00) – Intro
(08:40) – 1ST BET: Southampton vs Wolves
(14:40) – 2ND BET: Venezia vs Napoli
(18:50) – 3RD BET: Bournemouth vs Brentford
(22:25) – 4TH BET: Bradford vs Tranmere
(27:07) – 5TH BET: Arsenal vs Chelsea
(32:13) – 6TH BET: Liverpool vs Newcastle
(36:38) – POD TREBLE
Best bets, tips, and predictions in the Premier League, Serie A, League Two and an EFL Cup final The Football Betting Podcast, powered by bettingexpert.
Our Football Betting Pod is available on both Spotify and Apple Podcasts.
Man City vs Brighton:
England, Premier League, Saturday, March 15th, 15:00 (UK)
Man City need to start picking up points sooner rather than later. No Champions League would be horrendous, as they have been a perennial Champions League club for a long time now. Our in-house projection model BETSiE gives Manchester City a 55.7% chance of beating Brighton, making them the most likely victory in the Premier League on MD29. They are still a force to be reckoned with at the Etihad, averaging 1.99 xG and 2.15 goals scored per game. Going forward, they are hard to stop, only failing to score twice at home.
Brighton games have consistently overseen goals aplenty, especially away from the Amex. Brighton have the fourth-best attack (24 goals) on the road in the competition, having failed to score only once away from home this season. They haven’t been able to add defensive stability simultaneously when they are at their free-flowing best. The visitors haven’t had a clean sheet in the past 17 meetings in all competitions.
Four of the past five games at the Etihad have produced at least three goals. The recent performances from both in regard to trying to nullify the opposition’s strengths have both struggled to do so. This has all the ingredients for it to turn into a high-scoring shootout. It’s hard to trust Man City now, and that has been consistent all season. They always struggle against teams with a strong midfield, and Brighton possesses one of those, especially if Baleba is starting.
- Super 6 Tip: Brighton
- Correct Score Prediction: 2-3
Man City vs Brighton OPTA Stats
- Manchester City have never lost a home league match against Brighton (W12 D2), winning each of the last 10 in a row. It’s the most they’ve faced an opponent at home without ever losing in their league history (14).
- Brighton are looking to complete their first ever league double over Manchester City, in what is the 15th different campaign in which they’ve met.
- Both of Brighton’s Premier League victories against Manchester City have been from behind – only Manchester United (3) have won more games against Pep Guardiola despite trailing in the competition.
Ipswich Town vs Nottingham Forest:
England, Premier League, Saturday, March 15th, 15:00 (UK)
Ipswich have struggled to win games this season. It has been tough after such a successful couple of years. They concede regularly and will do so until the season is over. A goal every 42 minutes means they would need to score two on average just to earn a point. Their defensive recruitment simply wasn’t good enough for the level. However, despite this, they have posed a threat in forward areas, scoring at least once in 64% of their games. Both teams to score – Yes has won in Ipswich’s last seven matches across all competitions. Those games have seen an average of 3.86 goals.
Nuno’s Tricky Trees were well worth their 1-0 win over the Champions and took another step closer to returning to the top table of European football. Nuno Espirito Santo has been lauded for his impact on this team, and he plays with disregard for possession; his results back that up. Nottingham Forest has the lowest average possession in the league, with 39.39%. They are also the biggest xG overperformers, scoring 45 goals from an xG of 35.96. A reason for the xG overperformance is how clinical their big number nine has been. Chris Wood is the biggest xG overperformer in the league, scoring 18 goals from a 10.83 xG. Lethal.
Forest lost its previous three fixtures on the road. Yet, Nuno Espirito Santo’s men have won their three away fixtures against teams in the bottom four (Southampton, Leicester City and Wolves) with an aggregate score of 7-1.
- Super 6 Tip: Nottingham Forest
- Correct Score Prediction: 1-3
Ipswich Town vs Nottingham Forest OPTA Stats
- Ipswich have lost just one of their last seven home league games against Nottingham Forest (W4 D2), while this is the first time they’re hosting them in the top-flight since a 1-0 loss in August 1994.
- Nottingham Forest are looking to complete the league double over Ipswich for the first time since 2016-17 in the Championship. They also won both meetings with the Tractor Boys the last time they met in the Premier League (1994-95, with Forest finishing third and Ipswich being relegated).
- Ipswich haven’t won any of their last 14 Premier League games against sides in the top three of the table since a 1-0 win against Liverpool at Anfield in January 1995 (D2 L12). Those 12 defeats in that run have come by an aggregate score of 40-3.
Bournemouth vs Brentford:
England, Premier League, Saturday, March 8th, 17:30 (UK)
BETSiE has predicted this to be the highest-scoring game of MD29, with a projected goal total of 3.63. There is a lot of attacking talent on show for both teams. It’s hard to see how this one doesn’t get close to BETSiE predictions with at least three goals. The Cherries’ last three home games and Brentford’s past two away matches have witnessed at least one goal before half-time.
Bournemouth have an xPTS (expected points) tally of 49.34. Only Liverpool (66.22) and Arsenal (56.52) rank higher on the underlying data. Statistically, they are the league’s third-best team, and it’s no surprise when you watch how they play. Their press is the best in the league, and across the top seven leagues, they are in the 90th percentile. They have had some standout performances lately, none more so than Justin Kluivert. The Dutchman has been the chief creator and the main goal-getter this season. The return of Illia Zabaryni from suspension is enough to swing the game in Bournemouth’s favour, given how strong the defensive unit is with him alongside Huijsen.
The visitors have won four consecutive fixtures on the road. Those four outings are Brentford’s only Premier League away victories this season after failing to win any of their first nine games away from the GTech Community Stadium. It may be too much for the Bees to push for Europe with how inconsistent their form has been, but they can cause the Cherries some trouble.
- Super 6 Tip: Bournemouth
- Correct Score Prediction: 2-1
Bournemouth vs Brentford OPTA Stats
- Bournemouth are winless in their last eight league games against Brentford (D2 L6) since a 1-0 home win in the Championship in August 2014.
- Brentford are unbeaten in all five of their Premier League games against Bournemouth (W3 D2), both their most games without ever losing and Bournemouth’s most games without ever winning against an opponent in the competition.
- Bournemouth have lost their last two Premier League home games – only twice have they lost three in a row in the top-flight, doing so in April 2016 and December 2019.
Arsenal vs Chelsea:
England, Premier League, Saturday, March 16th, 13:30 (UK)
Arsenal have had 15 different goalscorers this season, more than any other team in the Premier League. However, the lack of a prolific one has seen their title challenge falter in recent Premier League fixtures. This issue and the ability to fashion chances have cost them some valuable points and has meant the gap at the top has grown to 16. BETSiE has subsequently predicted that Liverpool will earn 88.5 points, giving them a 99.6% chance of winning the Premier League. Their only chance to recover the season is winning the Champions League.
The Blues know where the goal is. Chelsea has amassed 56.07xG, the second-best in the Premier League. Liverpool lead the way with an expected goal tally of 66.05. They can hurt this Arsenal team, but they will need Cole Palmer to rediscover his form from before Christmas. It’s not just goalscoring that Cole Palmer has been lacking lately. He hasn’t assisted a goal since Chelsea’s 3-0 win over Aston Villa on 1st December 2025. Despite that, he still has the league’s highest xA (expected assists) with 7.3.
Chelsea have failed to win any of their last six matches against the Gunners. They were beaten 5-0 in this fixture last season. Due to this, it’s no surprise that BETSiE has given Chelsea the lowest projected chance of victory (22.2%) among all away sides on MD29. Arsenal’s poor domestic run has meant that their average odds (1.80) for an Arsenal victory in this fixture at the Emirates Stadium have not been as high since August 2021.
- Super 6 Tip: Draw
- Correct Score Prediction: 1-1
Arsenal vs Chelsea OPTA Stats
- Arsenal are unbeaten in their last six Premier League games against Chelsea (W4 D2), their longest run without a league defeat against them since a run of 19 between 1995 and 2005.
- Chelsea have lost their last two away league games against Arsenal, going down 5-0 in this exact fixture last season. They last lost three in a row in the league at the Gunners between 2001 and 2003.
- Arsenal have won six of their last nine Premier League games against Chelsea (D2 L1) – their previous six wins against the Blues in the competition came over a 32-game period between 2004 and 2020 (D10 L16).
Liverpool vs Newcastle United:
England, Carabao Cup Final, Sunday, March 16th, 16:30 (UK)
The Reds come into this off the back of a devastating loss on penalties to PSG. They probably deserved to lose over the two legs, and it highlighted several weak points in the starting eleven and squad that will likely be addressed in the summer. Liverpool are the record winners of this competition, winning it 10 times, and are the current holders, winning it last year in extra time against Chelsea thanks to Virgil Van Dijk’s header. A big player for Liverpool in this competition this season has been Cody Gakpo. He has scored five and assisted one on their run to the final, including two goals in the 3-2 win over Brighton. The recovery from his injury means he might only be on the bench due to lacking match fitness.
Newcastle haven’t won a major honour since the 1955 FA Cup final. They have suffered through 70 years of hurt, not winning anything, losing in multiple cup finals, and collapsing in the Premier League under Kevin Keegan’s stewardship. If they had everyone fit and available, it would still be a big ask, but the absences have made this look like a more significant challenge than initially thought. The obvious miss is Anthony Gordon, who is suspended due to his own stupidity getting sent off in Newcastle’s FA Cup loss to Brighton. However, the biggest miss of the lot could well be Lewis Hall. The young Englishman has been one of if not the best left back in the country this season, so his injury is a massive blow, particularly as he would have been directly up against Salah.
The most prominent and best players typically decide finals. If Newcastle win it, then Alexander Isak would have put in a hell of a shift. Newcastle’s leading goal scorer has shown his class this season, scoring 19 Premier League goals and assisting five times. He also gave van Dijk the run around in the game at St James Park when he scored and drew 3-3. A similar story is if Mo Salah takes the game by the scruff of the neck for Liverpool. The Egyptian has 32 goals and 22 assists in 42 games across three competitions. Salah has stepped up this season, producing one of the finest seasons in Premier League history.
- Super 6 Tip: Liverpool
- Correct Score Prediction: 2-0
Leicester City vs Man United:
England, Premier League, Sunday, March 16th, 19:00 (UK)
The Foxes are comfortably one of the worst teams in the league, particularly since the experiment of bringing in the inexperienced Ruud Van Nistelrooy. The one-time Premier League Champions lack threat at the top end of the pitch, and it’s evident with them averaging just nine shots per game, the fewest in the Premier League. It is also not a particularly enjoyable opposition for them as Leicester have lost three matches against Manchester United across all competitions this season, conceding ten goals and scoring three.
Manchester United are priced at 1.79 to beat Leicester, making them the only away side who is odds-on to win this weekend. Even with this being the worst United team of the Premier League era, they will have far too much for the Foxes, especially coming off the back of an important Europa League victory. United have only scored 34 times; the Red Devils have the eighth-worst attack in the Premier League. After 28 games last season, they had scored just five more goals (39). As long as Bruno Fernandes is fit, they have a good chance against anyone. His Hattrick against La Real shows just how important he is. Bruno Fernandes has scored seven and assisted seven in the Premier League this season, meaning he has directly contributed to 41% of Manchester United’s goals.
If United fails to win, they would have dropped to a new low. Leicester have one once in their last 13 games, losing all the other 12 in that run. Particularly at home, they have struggled to show their fans any type of hope. Losing nine of 14 games, scoring just 11 and conceding 27.
- Super 6 Tip: Man United
- Correct Score Prediction: 0-3
Leicester City vs Man United OPTA Stats
- Having been unbeaten in four Premier League games against Man Utd over the 2020-21 and 2021-22 seasons (W2 D2), Leicester have lost their last three against the Red Devils in the competition without scoring.
- Manchester United have lost just one of their last eight Premier League away games against Leicester (W4 D3), going down 4-2 in October 2021.
- Manchester United have beaten Leicester three times in all competitions this season – they’ve beaten three sides four times in the same campaign before (Sheffield Wednesday 1993-94, Chelsea 2010-11, Nottingham Forest 2022-23), while the only team Leicester have lost to four times in a season is West Bromwich Albion in 1980-81.
What is SkyBet Super 6 and Super 6 Predictions?
Sky Bet unveils the engaging Super 6 February Rollover, spotlighting this weekend’s Premier League matches. This free-to-play challenge offers participants an entertaining and exciting experience, all at no cost. As long as entries are submitted before 3 PM on Saturday, 1st February, participants are in with a chance of scooping the £250,000 jackpot this weekend.
Football fans and sports prediction enthusiasts can enjoy this renowned game with numerous opportunities for prizes.
The focus throughout the different Super 6 compeitions is primarily on the Premier League each weekend. However, midweek gameweeks often concentrate on fixtures in the English Football League and the Champions League, too.
How to play Skybet’s Super 6 Challenge
Step 1: Create Your Account
First, you must have a Sky Bet account to play Sky Super 6. It doesn’t matter if you don’t have one yet—creating an account is straightforward.
Go to SkyBet, sign up for free, and you’re ready to play. Once you’ve opened your account, sign in on the Super 6 website or through their app.
Step 2: Make Your Super 6 Predictions
Now, it’s time for the interesting part—making your Super 6 predictions. Again, it’s pretty straightforward.
Pick the correct scores you think will transpire for the six chosen games. Once you’ve locked in your predictions, hit the submit button, and your six scores are ready.
Step 3: ‘Golden Goal’
Alongside the score predictions, Super 6 requires you to choose a minute for the ‘Golden Goal’; this is where you predict the minute when the first goal will be scored across the six selected games.
Your golden goal prediction becomes the tiebreaker in the event of a jackpot shared between users, ultimately deciding who takes home the prize.
Super 6 Predictions: Where does bettingexpert come in?
Central to the bettingexpert Super 6 experience is the invaluable guidance provided by our in-house predictive model, BETSiE, and our football editor, Sam Ingram. Before the commencement of each game week, BETSiE and Sam meticulously curate Super 6 tips and predictions, offering participants a strategic leg-up in their quest for correct score predictions.
BETSiE stands as the culmination of technological prowess and statistical understanding. It sifts through vast datasets, analyses team performances, scrutinises the underlying data, and considers various variables to generate predictions beyond mere chance. The Super 6 correct score grids for each fixture are borne from this data and represent the probability of each score coming to fruition at the end of 90 minutes.
Sam Ingram is there to inject a human touch into the process, infusing the predictions with expert insights and a deep understanding of the ever-evolving dynamics of the clubs involved. We can’t always mindlessly rely on the data and statistics – there are variables at play which a spreadsheet will never be able to compute.
Why are OPTA Stats used in bettingexpert’s Super 6 Predictions and Correct Score Tips?
As you can see, we use OPTA Stats for each Premier League Super 6 fixture. If you’re unaware, OPTA is a sports data provider that collects and analyses detailed statistics from various sporting events.
The OPTA match stats offer a comprehensive and objective overview of an upcoming football match, enabling us Super Six players a statistical insight into the performance of players and teams that might assist in correct score predictions.
OPTA’s data is widely used in the football industry for performance analysis, scouting, and enhancing the overall understanding of the game. The inclusion of OPTA stats here aims to compliment BETSiE and Sam’s work and equip readers with a more well-rounded view of the six fixtures.
The fundamentals to consider when predicting Correct Scores
Successfully betting on correct scores demands a holistic approach that combines statistical analysis, team dynamics, and a keen understanding of the ever-changing variables in football. You can elevate your correct score betting by strategically selecting fixtures, conducting in-depth team analysis, and considering various influencing factors.
Remember that patience and consistency are essential in such a dynamic market where it’s guaranteed that you will lose much more than you win. Considering this, a pragmatic staking system is required, as refining your strategies based on ongoing learning and analysis will contribute to long-term success in this challenging betting market. The bettingexpert team have highlighted ten areas which require your focus if you are going to be able to have an edge over the bookmaker:
- Strategic Fixture Selection
- In-Depth Team Analysis
- Over/Under Goal Analysis
- Assessing Motivation and Match Importance
- Recent Form
- League-Specific Trends
- Managerial Tactics
- Weather Conditions
- Player Form and Key Performers
- Historical Data and Trends
It must be noted that correct score predictions and betting is extremely difficult, displayed in the high odds attached to correct score markets in any given fixture. It is likely, for most, that this will not be a viable strategy long term. However, correct score betting does provide an extra layer of excitement to a match, and may enhance your viewing.
SAFER GAMBLING
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