X

18+ | Wagering and T&Cs apply | Play Responsibly | Commercial content | Advertising disclosure

English
Decimal odds
Analysis | Tuesday, June 11, 2024 2:01 PM (Revised at: Wednesday, July 10, 2024 9:53 PM)

Euro 2024 Match, Team and Table Projections - BETSiE Predicts: Updated 11th July

Euro 2024 Match, Team and Table Projections - BETSiE Predicts: Updated 11th July
Harry Kane of England looks on at England v Iceland ahead of Euro 2024 - Andrew Orchard sports photography / Alamy Stock Photo

Euro 2024 is upon us and our in-house tipping sensation, BETSiE is ready to preview events. Using a unique blend of data, BETSiE’s Euro 2024 match, tournament and team projections will look at every side’s chances in Germany.

BETSiE projects the entire Euro 2024 tournament, taking into account the results of tournament qualification and previous international tournaments.

BETSiE considers the following match data:

  • Goals For / Against
  • Shots For / Against
  • Shots on Target For / Against

However, not all goals, shots or shots on target are equal. Each goal, shot and shot on target has an adjusted value.

Based on the match data detailed above, expected scores are calculated for each match played. Each team is then assigned an average expected goals for and against.

Once expected goals for each club have been determined, BETSiE plugs them into the Euro 2024 schedule and predicts scores for each upcoming game at Euro 2024 and the probability of each nation winning, drawing or losing each match.

Expected match points are then assigned to each team in each upcoming match. BETSiE then compiles the expected results with results of matches already played and simulates the remainder of the tournament 500,000 times to determine the probability of each team qualifying from their group, winning their group, reaching the final and winning the tournament.


But First, bettingexpert’s Free Euro 2024 Betting Guide is out NOW!

The bettingexpert Euro 2024 Betting Guide

WHAT WILL YOU FIND IN THE GUIDE?

Our guide takes a different approach to any other tournament preview. The analysis and insight you’ll find in the document is based on our in-house betting data which goes back decades. This betting data is on the following markets:

  • Match Result (1X2)
  • Handicap Betting
  • Total Goals (Over/Under 2.5)

Using this as a foundation, we’ve split the guide into several different sections:

  • 8 historical tournament  analysis articles
  • 24 team-by-team articles
  • BETSiE projections for every team and group
  • Unique analysis from our experts including exclusive quotes from Mikael Silvestre and John Barnes

For a free copy of the Euro 2024, click the button below:

Download the guide


Euro 2024 Team Projections

Below is a list of every team competing at Euro 2024 with their projected likelihood of finishing in each position.

Last updated 11th July 2024.

Nation Win Euros
Spain 54.70%
England 45.30%

Euro 2024 BETSiE Best Bets

Below are the best bets for each match at Euro 2024 based on BETSiE projections and historical tournament betting trends.

Final Odds as at 11pm, July 10th

MATCH SELECTION ODDS BOOKMAKER UNITS RESULT P/L
Germany vs Scotland Scotland +1.5 (AH) 2 Pinnacle 4 LOST -4
Hungary vs Switzerland Draw (1X2) 3.25 bet365 1 LOST -1
Spain vs Croatia Spain Win (1X2) 1.98 Betsson 2 WON 1.96
Italy vs Albania Albania +1.25 (AH) 1.91 888sport 4 HALF WON 1.82
Poland vs Netherlands Poland +1 (AH) 1.91 bet365 3 PUSH 0
Slovenia vs Denmark Slovenia +0.75 (AH) 1.88 Pinnacle 4 WON 3.52
Serbia vs England Serbia +1.25 (AH) 1.84 bet365 2 HALF WON 0.84
Romania vs Ukraine Ukraine Win (1X2) 2.05 Betsson 1 LOST -1
Belgium vs Slovakia Under 2.75 goals 1.89 Pinnacle 3 WON 2.67
Austria vs France Austria +1 (AH) 2.07 Unibet 2 PUSH 0
Turkey vs Georgia Georgia +0.75 (AH) 2 Pinnacle 2 LOST -2
Portugal vs Czechia Czechia +1 (AH) 2.1 Pinnacle 3 PUSH 0
Croatia vs Albania Albania +1 (AH) 2.14 Pinnacle 3 WON 3.42
Germany vs Hungary Hungary +1.5 (AH) 2.11 Pinnacle 4 LOST -4
Scotland vs Switzerland Under 2.25 goals 1.917 Pinnacle 3 HALF WON 1.3755
Slovenia vs Serbia Under 2.25 goals 2.14 Pinnacle 1 HALF WON 0.57
Denmark vs England Under 2.5 goals 1.72 Unibet 2 WON 1.44
Spain vs Italy Under 2.5 goals 1.71 Unibet 3 WON 2.13
Slovakia vs Ukraine Under 2.25 goals 1.98 Pinnacle 1 LOST -1
Poland vs Austria Draw (1X2) 3.5 Unibet 1 LOST -1
Netherlands vs France Netherlands +0.5 (AH) 1.76 bet365 2 WON 1.52
Georgia vs Czechia Gerogia +0.75 (AH) 1.94 Pinnacle 2 WON 1.88
Turkey vs Portugal Under 2.75 goals 1.92 bet365 3 HALF LOSS -1.5
Belgium vs Romania Under 2.75 goals 1.95 Pinnacle 2 WON 1.9
Germany vs Switzerland Switzerland +0.75 (AH) 1.99 Pinnacle 4 WON 3.96
Scotland vs Hungary Under 2.5 goals 2.2 Betway 3 WON 3.6
Croatia vs Italy Croatia +0.25 (AH) 1.91 Betsson 2 HALF WON 0.91
Albania vs Spain Albania +1.5 (AH) 2.06 Betsson 3 WON 3.18
England vs Slovenia Under 2.75 goals 1.88 bet365 1 WON 0.88
Denmark vs Serbia Under 2.5 goals 1.85 bet365 1 WON 0.85
Netherlands vs Austria Netherlands Win (1X2) 2.22 Betsson 2 LOST -2
France vs Poland Poland +1.5 (AH) 1.68 Pinnacle 2 WON 1.36
Slovakia vs Romania Under 2.25 goals 1.83 bet365 1 HALF WON 0.415
Ukraine vs Belgium Under 2.5 goals 1.98 bet365 1 WON 0.98
Czechia vs Turkey Draw (1X2) 3.4 Betsson 1 LOST -1
Georgia vs Portugal Georgia +1.5 (AH) 2.1 Betsson 1 WON 1.1
Germany vs Denmark Denmark +1 )AH) 1.81 bet365 2 LOST -2
Switzerland vs Italy Italy -0.25 (AH) 2.09 Pinnacle 1 LOST -1
Spain vs Georgia Georgia +2 (AH) 1.71 Betsson 2 LOST -2
England vs Slovakia Under 2.5 goals 1.8 888sport 1 WON 0.8
Portugal vs Slovenia Slovenia +1.25 (AH) 1.95 bet365 1 WON 0.95
France vs Belgium Belgium +0.5 (AH) 1.97 bet365 1 LOST -1
Romania vs Netherlands Romania +1.25 (AH) 1.83 bet365 2 LOST -2
Austria vs Turkey Turkey +0.5 (AH) 1.96 Unibet 2 WON 1.92
Spain vs Germany Germany +0 (AH) 2 Pinnacle 1 PUSH 0.000
Portugal vs France Portugal +0.25 (AH) 1.88 bet365 1 HALF WON 0.44
Netherlands vs Turkey Turkey +1 (AH) 1.87 Pinnacle 1 PUSH 0
England vs Switzerland England -0.25 (AH) 1.89 Pinnacle 1 HALF LOSS -0.5
France vs Spain France +0 (AH) 2.14 Pinnacle 1 LOST -1
England vs Netherlands England +0 (AH) 1.8 Pinnacle 1 WON 0.8
Spain vs England England +0.25 (AH) 1.9 bet365 1
TOTAL STAKES 99 TOTAL P/L 19.1905
ROI% 19.4%

SAFER GAMBLING

At bettingexpert, we always take a safe approach to gambling. We’ll never bet more than we can afford or chase losses. For more advice, head to our Safer Gambling hub.

Like the article:4

LATEST COMMENTS

No comments yet
Chat