UFC: Luis Peña vs Khama Worthy Preview and Predictions | UFC Vegas 4 - bettingexpert

Luis Peña vs Khama Worthy Preview

TUF contestant Luis Peña makes his sixth UFC appearance in just 2 years this weekend when he takes on Khama Worthy on the prelims of UFC Vegas 4. Who wins?

by Bettingexpert Sports Staff, Jun 22, 2020, at 2.55 pm.

After being a contestant on The Ultimate Fighter season 27, Luis Peña burst onto the scene with a first-round submission win over Richie Mullen on the season finale. Peña would go on to compete once more in 2018, losing a close split-decision to Mike Trizano in November. In 2020, Peña has competed in the UFC six times, with a record of 4-2. He faces Khama Worthy this Sunday and tries to make it 5-2. Khama Worthy is coming off a huge underdog win against Devonte Smith, in his UFC debut. He was a 7.00 underdog in that fight and managed to get a first-round knockout against his former teammate. Worthy is on a six-fight win streak heading into his fight with Peña.

Luis Peña’s Last Three Fights

WIN	Steve Garcia	UFC Fight Night 169 – Benavidez vs. Figueiredo Feb / 29 / 2020	Decision (Unanimous)	3	5:00
LOSS	Matt Frevola	UFC Fight Night 161 – Jedrzejczyk vs. Waterson Oct / 12 / 2019	Decision (Split	3	5:00
WIN	Matt Wiman	UFC Fight Night 154 – Moicano vs. The Korean Zombie Jun / 22 / 2019	TKO (Punches	3	1:14

Khama Worthy’s Last Three Fights

WIN	Devonte Smith	UFC 241 – Cormier vs. Miocic 2 Aug / 17 / 2019	TKO (Punches	1	4:15
WIN	Adam Ward	247 FC – Brawl In The Burgh Jul / 27 / 2019	KO (Punches	3	0:13
WIN	Joey Munoz	247 FC – Steeltown Throwdown Apr / 06 / 2019	Decision (Unanimous	3	5:00

Peña vs Worthy Betting Considerations

Luis Peña is as technical as they come, and perhaps a future contender in the UFC’s lightweight division. At 26 years of age, he is still evolving tremendously and has six fights in the UFC already. Worthy is seven years older than Peña and has six losses on his record. In fights with a seven-year gap between fighters, we tend to see the youngster walk away as the victor 65% of the time.

Worthy’s win in the UFC was impressive, but picking Worthy to get another knockout against a slick and technical fighter like Peña isn’t what we recommend. If Worthy want’s to win this fight, it might be via knockout. However, Peña has the composure and grappling to take this fight on the judges’ scorecards. Peña has the physical attributes on his side, and is also superior in striking, judging from the numbers.

       Striking statistics                Luis Peña | Khama Worthy      3.32 strikes landed per minute | 4.94 strikes landed per minute      46% striking accuracy | 41% striking accuracy      2.47 strikes absorbed per minute | 3.53 strikes absorbed per minute      51% striking defense | 44% striking defense

Prediction Time!

Peña is the younger and more technical fighter out of the two, and we think that will help him in this fight. Worthy usually goes out there looking for knockouts, and if he does that against Luis Peña he will probably come up short. Peña has the grappling to punish Worthy for overcommitting to punches and has been the more active fighter of the two. Worthy will be in for a long night if he goes out headhunting against Peña. We predict Luis Peña gets the win in this fight.

UFC Vegas 4 Odds

Dustin Poirier (1.47) vs. Dan Hooker (2.57)
Mike Perry (1.33) vs. Mickey Gall (3.40)
Brendan Allen (1.36) vs. Kyle Daukaus (3.25)
Gian Villante (2.87) vs. Maurice Greene (1.44)
Aspen Ladd (N/A) vs. Sara McMann (N/A)
Luis Peña (1.36) vs. Khama Worthy (3.25)
Philipe Lins (1.90) vs. Tanner Bosser (1.90)
Sean Woodson (1.40) vs. Kyle Nelson (3.00)

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