Brendan Allen vs Kyle Daukaus Preview and Predictions | UFC Vegas 4 - bettingexpert

Brendan Allen-Kyle Daukaus

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24-year old Brendan Allen makes his third UFC walk when he faces undefeated debutant Kyle Daukaus at 185 lbs, on the main card of UFC Vegas 4. Both fighters are very young and are looking to do some damage in the middleweight division. Who wins, and what betting markets have value for this fight?

by Adam Lykkesteen, Jun 23, 2020, at 1.32 pm.

Brendan “All In” Allen got his UFC contract after winning his fight on DWCS with a first-round submission. He has fought two times in the UFC and has won both times, inside the distance. Allen is well-rounded, but his grappling is something to behold, having 8 submission wins on his professional resume. His opponent, Kyle Daukaus (9-0), is undefeated as a professional MMA fighter.

Method of Victory Brendan Allen | Kyle Daukaus 5 knockouts | 0 knockouts 8 submissions | 8 submissions 1 decision | 1 decision

This will be Kyle’s first fight in the UFC, and it will be interesting to see if he can compete at the highest level of MMA. Both men are in their twenties, with Daukaus being 27-years old and Allen being only 24-years old.

Kyle Daukau’s Last Three Fights

WIN	Nolan Norwood	CFFC 81 – Cage Fury Fighting Championships 81 Feb / 01 / 2020	Submission (Brabo Choke)	2	4:36
WIN	Stephen Regman	CFFC 78 – Cage Fury Fighting Championships 78 Sep / 21 / 2019	Submission (Brabo Choke)	2	0:50
WIN	Michael Lombardo	Dana White’s Contender Series – Season 3, Episode 2 Jun / 25 / 2019	Decision (Unanimous)	3	5:00

Brendan Allen’s Last Three Fights

WIN	Tom Breese	UFC Fight Night 169 – Benavidez vs. Figueiredo Feb / 29 / 2020	TKO (Elbows and Punches)	1	4:47
WIN	Kevin Holland	UFC on ESPN 6 – Reyes vs. Weidman Oct / 18 / 2019	Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)	2	3:38
WIN	Aaron Jeffery	Dana White’s Contender Series – Season 3, Episode 4 Jul / 16 / 2019	Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)	1	3:23

Valued Betting Markets

Over/under 1.5 rounds

Both fighters have very high finish rates and have 16 finishes under the 1.5 round mark combined. Currently, the over is priced at odds 2.25. It could be worth a punt!

Bookies have Daukaus as a very big underdog at odds 3.41, meaning he has an implied probability of 29% Just last weekend we saw a young, undefeated contender get beaten badly by Austin Hubbard with more experience. Expect some money to come in on Allen from the casual bettors, which could give some great value on the underdog.

Fight Prediction

While Daukaus is an undefeated prospect in the 185 lbs division, he lacks well-roundedness in terms of striking, as he has yet to get a knockout on his record. In the UFC, you can’t be a one-trick pony and expect to get far, and that is what we saw last weekend. Since Allen is such a good grappler himself, I see him nullifying Kyle’s grappling and finishing him on the feet to get a performance of the night bonus. I predict Brendan Allen to get the knockout here.

UFC VEGAS 4 ODDS

Dustin Poirier (1.47) vs. Dan Hooker (2.57)
Mike Perry (1.33) vs. Mickey Gall (3.40)
Brendan Allen (1.36) vs. Kyle Daukaus (3.25)
Gian Villante (2.87) vs. Maurice Greene (1.44)
Aspen Ladd (N/A) vs. Sara McMann (N/A)
Luis Peña (1.36) vs. Khama Worthy (3.25)
Philipe Lins (1.90) vs. Tanner Bosser (1.90)
Sean Woodson (1.40) vs. Kyle Nelson (3.00)

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