Bernardo Sopai to win (1X2)
This fight presents an intriguing dynamic, with Bernardo Sopaj as the favorite for good reason, but the wide betting line feels unwarranted. Sopaj is a well-rounded fighter with solid takedowns, strong top control, and an ability to showcase his skills effectively when fresh. His fight against Vinicius Oliveira demonstrated these attributes, as he had strong moments in the first two rounds. However, it also exposed one of his biggest flaws—cardio. Sopaj looked significantly gassed out after the first two rounds, which led to a loss of focus. The critical moment came when, visibly distracted and fatigued, he was knocked out by a flying knee while looking at the clock. While this could be chalked up to nerves and adrenaline in his UFC debut, it highlighted a need for improved stamina and composure.
In this matchup, Sopaj likely has the edge in most departments against Ricky Turcios. Turcios is a wild card—he’s well-rounded and extremely difficult to control. Even when taken down, he scrambles back up, often frustrating opponents. On the feet, his style is awkward and unpredictable, which can pose a challenge for those looking to implement a structured game plan. His cardio is exceptional, allowing him to relentlessly press forward, even in later rounds. However, his striking accuracy is notably poor; his wild, unorthodox approach often leads to missed opportunities and wasted energy.
For Sopaj, the key to victory lies in staying calm and composed, especially if the fight goes into deeper waters. If he can manage his energy levels and avoid getting flustered, he has the tools to win maybe even knockout Ricky.