RB Leipzig vs. St. Pauli Prediction, Match Preview, and Betting Tips, 9 February 2025 - bettingexpert
The Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and St. Pauli on 9 February 2025 at Red Bull Arena Leipzig is set to be an intriguing encounter. Leipzig, currently sitting 4th with 33 points, will aim to consolidate their spot in the upper tiers of the table. St. Pauli finds themselves in 13th place with 21 points and is looking to distance themselves from the relegation zone.
Leipzig’s recent form has been patchy, with a record of DLDWD, but the team, led by Marco Rose, has notable talents like Benjamin Sesko and Xavi Simons. Simons’ future has been a hot topic, but Leipzig’s sporting director, Marcel Schäfer, confirmed he’s not for sale despite interest from top clubs.
St. Pauli, under Alexander Blessin, has shown resilience with a WWLLD record in their last five matches. However, they face a daunting task, especially with top scorer Morgan Guilavogui sidelined with a broken ankle.
Given Leipzig’s attacking prowess and St. Pauli’s struggles, our match prediction is in favor of an RB Leipzig victory, with recommended bet odds at 1.63. This match is crucial for both sides as Leipzig looks to secure Champions League qualification while St. Pauli aims to avoid the drop.
RB Leipzig vs St. Pauli Prediction & Betting Tip
| RB Leipzig vs St. Pauli Prediction | |
|---|---|
| Betting Tip | Odds |
| RB Leipzig to Win | 1.63 |
- RB Leipzig’s home advantage: The match is at the Red Bull Arena, a fortress for Leipzig, enhancing their chances of winning.
- St. Pauli’s struggles away from home: They have had difficulty securing points on the road, making it less likely for them to win.
- In-form players: Players like Benjamin Sesko are expected to shine, with Leipzig having multiple threats in attack.
Given these factors, RB Leipzig is favoured to secure a vital win.
RB Leipzig vs St. Pauli Odds
| RB Leipzig vs St. Pauli Betting Odds | |
|---|---|
| Bet | Odds |
| RB Leipzig | 1.56 |
| Draw | 4.22 |
| St. Pauli | 5.47 |
The bookmakers clearly favour RB Leipzig in this match, reflecting their superior league position and home advantage. Leipzig’s consistent performance and stronger squad depth make them the logical favourites. While a draw offers decent returns, St. Pauli’s odds suggest an upset is unlikely. Given these odds, a bet on RB Leipzig to secure the win seems a prudent choice for this fixture.
RB Leipzig Team Analysis
RB Leipzig Recent Performance
RB Leipzig have had a mixed bag of results in their last five matches, showing some resilience and flair but also inconsistency. Here’s how they’ve fared:
| Home team | Away team | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Union Berlin | RB Leipzig | 0-0 (Draw) |
| Sturm Graz | RB Leipzig | 1-0 (Loss) |
| RB Leipzig | Bayer Leverkusen | 2-2 (Draw) |
| RB Leipzig | Sporting CP | 2-1 (Win) |
| Bochum | RB Leipzig | 3-3 (Draw) |
Recent Form: DLDWD
Leipzig have averaged 1.40 goals per game in their last 5 fixtures, but they’ve only kept one clean sheet during this period, indicating defensive vulnerabilities. Despite their attacking prowess, with Xavi Simons pulling the strings in midfield, they need to tighten up at the back to climb higher than their current fourth-place position.
RB Leipzig Key Players
One of RB Leipzig’s standout performers is Xavi Simons, their creative midfield maestro signed permanently from PSG. Simons has been pivotal, notching up five goals and four assists this season, and will be orchestrating their attacks from midfield.
Benjamin Sesko, their top scorer with 8 goals, will be a key figure upfront, looking to outmanoeuvre St. Pauli’s defenders.
The ever-reliable Peter Gulacsi between the sticks and veterans like Willi Orban in defence will be crucial for maintaining stability at the back.
Expected lineup for Leipzig:
- Goalkeeper: Peter Gulacsi
- Defenders: Lukas Klostermann, Willi Orban, Castello Lukeba, David Raum
- Midfielders: Antonio Nusa, Nicolas Seiwald, Amadou Haidara, Xavi Simons
- Attackers: Benjamin Sesko, Loïs Openda
RB Leipzig Suspensions & Injuries
RB Leipzig are currently dealing with several significant injuries that could impact their performance against St. Pauli. The absence of key players like Assan Ouédraogo, Benjamin Henrichs, and Xaver Schlager will likely force Marco Rose to field a slightly different lineup.
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Assan Ouédraogo | Hamstring Injury | Mid April 2025 |
| Benjamin Henrichs | Achilles tendon injury | Out for season |
| Xaver Schlager | Knee surgery | Late May 2025 |
These injuries challenge Leipzig’s depth, putting additional pressure on their ability to maintain high-performance levels. Expect younger or less experienced players to step up and prove their worth.
RB Leipzig Tactics and Formation
RB Leipzig Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 4-2-3-1
- Key Forward: Benjamin Sesko
- Midfield Trio: Nicolas Seiwald, Amadou Haidara, Xavi Simons
- Defensive Strength: Clean sheet in their last league match against Union Berlin.
- Notable Strategy: High pressing, particularly effective in the 46-60 minute interval for scoring goals.
Marco Rose’s side will likely adopt a 4-2-3-1 formation, aiming to leverage their double-pivot midfield to control the game. With Xavi Simons playing a crucial attacking role, Leipzig will look to exploit St. Pauli’s defense in the second half, where they’ve been most prolific this season. Expect them to press intensely and transition quickly to the attacking third.
St. Pauli Team Analysis
St. Pauli Recent Performance
St. Pauli have shown mixed form recently with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five matches. They’ve managed to score an average of 1.2 goals and secure two clean sheets, underlining their defensive capability.
| Home team | Away team | Result |
|---|---|---|
| St. Pauli | Augsburg | 1-1 (Draw) |
| St. Pauli | Union Berlin | 3-0 (Win) |
| FC Heidenheim | St. Pauli | 0-2 (Win) |
| Bochum | St. Pauli | 1-0 (Loss) |
| St. Pauli | Eintracht Frankfurt | 0-1 (Loss) |
Recent Form: DWWLL
Their notable victory against Union Berlin reflects their potential to upset higher-ranked teams. However, away matches remain a challenge, highlighting their inconsistency. Manager Alexander Blessin will need a strategic approach to secure a result against RB Leipzig.
St. Pauli Key Players
Leading St. Pauli’s charge will be their top scorer, Morgan Guilavogui, with 5 goals this season, though he’ll be sorely missed due to a broken ankle. They’ll need others to step up in his absence.
Jackson Irvine and James Sands have been crucial in the midfield, providing stability and support both defensively and offensively.
Expected lineup for St. Pauli:
- Goalkeeper: Nikola Vasilj
- Defenders: Hauke Wahl, Eric Smith, David Nemeth
- Midfielders: Philipp Treu, Jackson Irvine, James Sands, Lars Ritzka
- Forwards: Oladapo Afolayan, Johannes Eggestein, Noah Weisshaupt
Key individual battles include RB Leipzig’s forwards Sesko and Openda against St. Pauli’s defensive line led by Wahl.
St. Pauli Suspensions & Injuries
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Simon Zoller | Calf Injury | Mid February 2025 |
| Sascha Burchert | Groin Injury | Late February 2025 |
| Sören Ahlers | Knee Injury | Late February 2025 |
| Robert Wagner | Hip Injury | Mid February 2025 |
| Karol Mets | Tendon Injury | About a week |
| Manolis Saliakas | Hip Injury | Early March 2025 |
| Morgan Guilavogui | Broken Ankle | Early June 2025 |
St. Pauli will be without several key players against RB Leipzig, notably their top scorer Morgan Guilavogui, who is sidelined with a broken ankle. The absence of influential figures such as Simon Zoller and Manolis Saliakas could affect their attacking and defensive solidity, making it a tough challenge for the team. Their depth and determination will be tested as they aim to field a competitive side.
St. Pauli Tactics and Formation
St. Pauli’s Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: Predominantly 3-4-3
- Key Forward: Johannes Eggestein
- Midfield Duo: Jackson Irvine and James Sands
- Defensive Trio: Hauke Wahl, Eric Smith, David Nemeth
- Notable Strategy: Defensive solidity with an average of 1.2 goals conceded in the league.
St. Pauli favors a solid defensive approach, as seen with their two clean sheets in the last five games. The trio of Wahl, Smith, and Nemeth provides a strong backline, complemented by Jackson Irvine’s leadership in midfield.
With their key forward, Morgan Guilavogui, out due to a broken ankle, the team will likely rely on Eggestein to spearhead their attack. Expect St. Pauli to maintain a disciplined and cautious approach, aiming to strike on the counter-attack.
RB Leipzig vs St. Pauli Head-to-Head Statistics
| Home | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|
| RB Leipzig | St. Pauli | 4-2 |
| St. Pauli | RB Leipzig | 0-0 |
| St. Pauli | RB Leipzig | 1-0 |
| RB Leipzig | St. Pauli | 0-1 |
| St. Pauli | RB Leipzig | 1-0 |
Over their last five encounters, both teams have had their share of wins:
- RB Leipzig won their most recent meeting with a 4-2 scoreline.
- St. Pauli secured narrow victories in 2016 and twice in 2015.
- Their last draw was a goalless match in September 2024.
Expect a competitive fixture with a potentially high-scoring outcome similar to their latest clash.
Odds accurate as of 7th February 2025, 4:31 PM, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.
