Scotland vs Portugal Prediction, Match Preview & Betting Tips
On 15 October 2024, Scotland will face Portugal in a crucial UEFA Nations League A clash at Hampden Park. This fourth-round matchup sees Scotland languishing at the bottom of Group 1 without a single point, while Portugal sits comfortably at the top with a perfect record of nine points.
Scotland, under the guidance of Steve Clarke, seeks redemption amidst a string of poor results, reflected by their recent ‘LLLD’ form. They will be without several key players due to injuries, affecting their lineup significantly.
Portugal, led by Roberto Martinez and spearheaded by Cristiano Ronaldo, come into this match brimming with confidence following a 3-1 victory over Poland. Ronaldo’s goal-scoring prowess has been pivotal, and with Bruno Fernandes pulling the strings in midfield, Portugal looks dominant.
Given the form and injuries plaguing Scotland, our match prediction favours a Portugal win, recommended by bookmakers at 1.63 odds. Expect a competitive match with Portugal likely to secure the three points to cement their top spot in the group.
Scotland vs. Portugal Prediction & Betting Tip
Our recommended betting tip: Portugal to win.
This choice is underpinned by Portugal’s excellent form and Scotland’s ongoing struggles in the tournament.
| Scotland vs. Portugal Prediction | |
|---|---|
| Betting tip | Odds |
| Portugal to win | 1.63 |
- Scotland has not secured any points in the tournament and has shown weak defensive performances.
- Portugal is the clear favorite with a perfect record so far, indicating their dominance in this group.
- Cristiano Ronaldo, with 3 goals in the tournament, is in scintillating form and likely to influence the game significantly.
Given these factors, Portugal is expected to continue their winning streak and secure the three points necessary to maintain their top spot.
Scotland vs Portugal Odds
The bookmakers’ odds heavily favor Portugal in this matchup, reflecting their impressive form in the UEFA Nations League.
| Scotland vs. Portugal Betting Odds | |
|---|---|
| Bet | Odds |
| Scotland | 5.59 |
| Draw | 4.32 |
| Portugal | 1.55 |
Scotland Team Analysis
Scotland has struggled in their recent matches, failing to secure a win in the last five games and recording only one draw. Their recent form is represented as LLLLD, highlighting their difficulties in the tournament. Here’s a rundown of their last five results:
| Home team | Away team | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Croatia | Scotland | 2-1 (Loss) |
| Portugal | Scotland | 2-1 (Loss) |
| Scotland | Poland | 2-3 (Loss) |
| Scotland | Hungary | 0-1 (Loss) |
| Scotland | Switzerland | 1-1 (Draw) |
Scotland has averaged 1.00 goal scored per game over these matches. Defensively, they have not managed to keep a clean sheet, indicating issues at the back. With their low points tally and frequent injuries, they face a tough challenge against Portugal. Their previous encounter against Croatia ended in a controversial VAR decision, disallowing a potential equalizer for Scotland.
Scotland Key Players
Scotland’s key players for this fixture include Scott McTominay, their top scorer with 2 goals in the tournament so far. His ability to drive forward from midfield will be essential against a Portuguese side.
Ryan Christie, operating from the left wing, will also be pivotal in creating chances. His pace and trickery can trouble Portugal’s defense, potentially drawing fouls and creating set-piece opportunities.
Defensively, Andrew Robertson will be crucial both in his usual defensive duties and in providing width going forward.
Expected lineup for Scotland:
- Goalkeeper: Craig Gordon
- Defenders: Tony Ralston, Grant Hanley, John Souttar, Andrew Robertson
- Midfielders: Billy Gilmour, Kenny McLean, Scott McTominay, Ryan Christie, Ben Doak
- Forward: Lyndon Dykes
Watch out for the battle between Lyndon Dykes and Portugal’s Ruben Dias, a duel that could shape the game’s outcome.
Scotland Suspensions & Injuries
Injury woes are a major concern for Scotland going into their match against Portugal, with several key players sidelined. The absence of someone like John McGinn, who usually commands the midfield, could be particularly impactful. Additionally, the injuries to defenders mean a reshuffled backline, potentially affecting the team’s overall defensive cohesion.
| Player | Injury | Expected Return |
|---|---|---|
| Lewis Ferguson | Cruciate ligament injury | Mid-December 2024 |
| Nathan Patterson | Lack of fitness | A few days |
| Aaron Hickey | Hamstring injury | A few days |
| Jack Hendry | Knee injury | Mid-November 2024 |
| Scott McKenna | Muscle injury | Late October 2024 |
| John McGinn | Hamstring injury | Late October 2024 |
| Greg Taylor | Calf injury | A few weeks |
| Angus Gunn | Rib injury | Doubtful |
On the brighter side, there are no suspensions for Steve Clarke to worry about. This injury list, however, may force the coach to rely heavily on his squad’s depth, potentially giving some less-experienced players a chance to shine.
Scotland Tactics and Formation
Scotland Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 4-2-3-1
- Key Forward: Lyndon Dykes
- Midfield Trio: Billy Gilmour, Kenny McLean, Scott McTominay
- Defensive Line: Anthony Ralston, John Souttar, Grant Hanley, Andrew Robertson
- Notable Strategy: Utilizing Scott McTominay as an attacking midfielder to exploit gaps in the opposition’s defense
Steve Clarke’s side will likely adopt a 4-2-3-1 formation, focusing on a well-balanced approach for both defense and attack. Lyndon Dykes will spearhead the forward line, supported by an attacking midfield trio aiming to provide creativity and goal-scoring opportunities. With injuries affecting several key players, Scotland’s tactical adaptability will be crucial. The team will need to rely heavily on their midfield for both defensive cover and initiating counter-attacks.
Portugal Team Analysis
- Recent Form: WWWLW
- Average Goals Scored (Last 5 Games): 2.60
- Clean Sheets (Last 5 Games): 1 Portugal has been in excellent form, winning four out of their last five matches. This impressive run includes victories against Croatia, Poland, and Scotland. Cristiano Ronaldo, who has scored three goals in this tournament, has been pivotal in leading Portugal’s attack.
Portugal Key Players
Expected lineup for Portugal:
- Goalkeeper: Diogo Costa
- Defenders: Diogo Dalot, Ruben Dias, Renato Veiga, Nuno Mendes
- Midfielders: Bruno Fernandes, Ruben Neves, Bernardo Silva
- Forwards: Diogo Jota, Cristiano Ronaldo, Rafael Leão
Portugal’s key players in this match will undoubtedly be Cristiano Ronaldo, who has scored three goals in this tournament so far, and Bruno Fernandes, known for his playmaking abilities. Ruben Dias will be crucial in defense, as he will need to neutralize the threat posed by Scotland’s Lyndon Dykes. In midfield, the battle between Ruben Neves and Scotland’s Scott McTominay is one to watch, given their importance to their respective teams. Key contributions from Rafael Leão and Diogo Jota can also be game-changing, providing the necessary support to Ronaldo in attack.
Portugal Suspensions & Injuries
In the lead-up to their clash against Scotland, Portugal faces a few injury concerns but no suspensions. Key players will be missing, which might impact their squad depth and rotation options.
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Gonçalo Ramos | Ankle injury | Early November 2024 |
| William Carvalho | Achilles tendon injury | Late November 2024 |
| Pedro Gonçalves Pote | Hamstring injury | Early November 2024 |
| Gonçalo Inácio | Muscle injury | Late October 2024 |
Portugal Tactics and Formation
Portugal’s Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 4-3-3
- Key Forward: Cristiano Ronaldo
- Midfield Trio: Bruno Fernandes, Rúben Neves, Bernardo Silva
- Defensive Strength: One clean sheet in the last five games.
- Notable Strategy: High pressing with emphasis on quick transitions.
Portugal, under the guidance of Roberto Martinez, typically sets up in a 4-3-3 formation, aiming to control the game through their midfield maestro, Bruno Fernandes. With Cristiano Ronaldo leading the attack and supported by the pace and creativity of Rafael Leão and Diogo Jota, they look to exploit any gaps in Scotland’s defense.
Defensively, the pairing of Ruben Dias and Renato Veiga adds stability, while Diogo Dalot and Nuno Mendes provide width and support on the flanks. Key to their strategy is efficient ball movement and exploiting their physical prowess during attacking phases, especially around the 61-75 minute mark.
Scotland vs Portugal Head-to-Head Statistics
When it comes to head-to-head encounters between Scotland and Portugal, the records clearly favor Portugal. The teams have met three times, with Portugal emerging victorious on each occasion. Here’s a look at their last 3 meetings:
| Home | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Portugal | Scotland | 2-1 |
| Scotland | Portugal | 1-3 |
| Portugal | Scotland | 2-0 |
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