Southampton vs. Newcastle Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 25 January 2025 - bettingexpert

Southampton faces Newcastle in a crucial Premier League clash at St. Mary’s Stadium on 25 January 2025. The Saints are languishing at the bottom of the league, struggling with just six points and desperately needing a change in fortunes to avoid relegation. Despite a recent coaching change, their form remains poor with just one win this season.

Newcastle, on the other hand, sits in 6th place, eyeing European qualification with a tally of 38 points. Eddie Howe’s side has been in exceptional form, winning four of their last five matches. Alexander Isak, their standout player, has netted 15 goals this season and poses a significant threat to Southampton’s shaky defense.

Referee Samuel Barrott oversees the encounter, where high-scoring games seem likely given both teams’ recent patterns. Bookmakers tip Newcastle as clear favourites, and a great bet would be to wager on Over 3 Goals given Southampton’s defensive vulnerabilities and Newcastle’s attacking prowess.

Overall, expect a goal-fest where spirited but struggling Southampton try to claw something back from a rampant Newcastle side.

Given the dynamics of the upcoming match between Southampton and Newcastle, the smart money is on a high-scoring affair. Our recommended tip is "Over 3 Goals," considering the defensive vulnerabilities of Southampton and the strong attacking form of Newcastle.

Southampton vs Newcastle Prediction
Betting tip	Odds
Over 3 Goals	1.72

• Southampton has been involved in high-scoring games lately, with their last five matches featuring at least three goals.
• Newcastle’s recent matches have also seen plenty of action, with their powerful offense averaging 2.20 goals per game over their last five outings.
• Historically, three of the last five head-to-head encounters between these sides have resulted in matches with at least three goals.

This match is poised to be a goal-fest, making the "Over 3 Goals" bet a smart choice for both value and excitement.

Southampton vs Newcastle Odds

When it comes to betting, Newcastle is the clear favourite to come out on top in this clash.

Southampton vs Newcastle Betting Odds
Bet	Odds
Southampton	6.85
Draw	5.07
Newcastle	1.40

With Southampton languishing at the bottom of the table and Newcastle eyeing a spot in the top four, it’s not surprising to see the bookmakers heavily favouring the Magpies. Given Newcastle’s winning streak and Southampton’s ongoing struggles, the odds reflect the difference in form and league positions. If you’re looking for a safer bet, a win for Newcastle seems the logical choice.

Southampton Team Analysis

Southampton Recent Performance

Southampton’s recent form has been quite turbulent, having secured just one win in their last five matches. Here’s a quick look at their last five results:

Home team	Away team	Result
Nottingham Forest	Southampton	3-2 (Loss)
Manchester United	Southampton	3-1 (Loss)
Southampton	Swansea	3-0 (Win)
Southampton	Brentford	0-5 (Loss)
Crystal Palace	Southampton	2-1 (Loss)

Recent Form: LLWLL

Southampton has struggled significantly in the Premier League, managing just six points and sitting at the bottom of the table. They’ve averaged 1.40 goals per game in their last five outings but have only kept one clean sheet during that period. Defensive lapses have been a recurring issue, underscored by a high number of goals conceded. Despite their challenges, they will be keen to turn things around at St. Mary’s Stadium.

Southampton Key Players

Southampton’s top scorer, Cameron Archer, may only have 2 goals this season, but his ability to exploit defensive lapses could be crucial. Accompanied by Adam Armstrong, the duo could provide offensive sparks in an otherwise underperforming team.

Jan Bednarek’s experience in defense will be vital, especially after his recent goal against Nottingham Forest. However, his occasional errors need to be minimized.

Additionally, Aaron Ramsdale’s goalkeeping skills will be on full display against Newcastle’s potent attack led by Alexander Isak.

Expected lineup for Southampton:

• Goalkeeper: Aaron Ramsdale
• Defenders: James Bree, Jan Bednarek, Taylor Harwood-Bellis
• Midfielders: Yukinari Sugawara, Flynn Downes, Mateus Fernandes, Kyle Walker-Peters, Joe Aribo
• Forwards: Cameron Archer, Adam Armstrong

Southampton Suspensions & Injuries

Southampton is facing several injury challenges going into the match against Newcastle, which could impact their already struggling campaign.

Player	Injury	Expected return
Gavin Bazunu	Achilles tendon injury	Mid February 2025
Ross Stewart	Calf injury	Doubtful
Jack Stephens	Muscle injury	Early February 2025
Tyler Dibling	Ankle injury	Doubtful

These injuries deplete Southampton’s options, especially in goalkeeping and defense. Gavin Bazunu’s absence will put additional pressure on Aaron Ramsdale.
Ross Stewart and Jack Stephens’ doubtful returns compound these issues, further thinning their defensive roster. Against a robust Newcastle attack, this lack of depth could be problematic for Ivan Jurić’s side.

Southampton Tactics and Formation

Southampton Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: Expected to line up in a 3-4-2-1 formation.
• Forward Focus: Cameron Archer and Adam Armstrong, with Archer also playing a dual role in attacking midfield.
• Midfield Dynamics: A central trio of Flynn Downes, Mateus Fernandes, and Joe Aribo provide both defensive cover and creative spark.
• Defensive Strategy:
  • Despite a leaky defense, their recent games saw a key moment with Jan Bednarek scoring his first goal since April 2022.
  • Bednarek, Harwood-Bellis, and James Bree form a central defensive trio aimed at solidifying the backline.
• Notable Strategy:
  • Southampton have a habit of starting strong but struggling to maintain leads, with recent matches showing an inclination to concede in the latter stages. Ivan Jurić’s side must tighten their defensive structure to secure a positive result against a high-flying Newcastle side.

Newcastle Team Analysis

Newcastle Recent Performance LWWWW

Newcastle have been in sparkling form recently, chalking up four straight wins before a surprising defeat last time out. Their attacking prowess is evident, having netted an impressive average of 2.20 goals per game across their last five encounters, while maintaining a solid defensive record with two clean sheets.

Home team	Away team	Result
Newcastle	Bournemouth	1-4 (Loss)
Newcastle	Wolverhampton	3-0 (Win)
Newcastle	Bromley	3-1 (Win)
Arsenal	Newcastle	0-2 (Win)
Tottenham	Newcastle	1-2 (Win)

These fixtures highlight Newcastle’s ability to perform both at home and on the road. They’re sitting comfortably in 6th place, signaling a consistent and formidable outfit under Eddie Howe’s leadership.

Newcastle Key Players

Newcastle’s squad boasts several standout performers this season, led by their top scorer Alexander Isak, who has netted an impressive 15 goals. Another key player to watch is Bruno Guimarães, who orchestrates the midfield with vision and precision.

Expected lineup for Newcastle:

• Goalkeeper: Martin Dubravka
• Defenders: Valentino Livramento, Fabian Schär, Dan Burn, Lewis Hall
• Midfielders: Bruno Guimarães, Sandro Tonali, Joelinton
• Attackers: Jacob Murphy, Alexander Isak, Anthony Gordon

Key individual battles will include Isak against Southampton’s central defense, and the midfield clash featuring Guimarães against Flynn Downes. These matchups could be decisive in determining the flow and outcome of the game.

Newcastle Suspensions & Injuries

Player	Injury	Expected return
Jamaal Lascelles	Cruciate ligament	Doubtful
Nick Pope	Knock	Doubtful
Callum Wilson	Hamstring	Early February 2025
Harvey Barnes	Muscle	Mid February 2025

Newcastle is grappling with several key injuries ahead of their clash against Southampton. The absence of Callum Wilson, a prolific goal-scorer when fit, limits their attacking options. Jamaal Lascelles’ doubtful return weakens their defensive depth, while Nick Pope’s knock raises concerns about their goalkeeping reliability.

Harvey Barnes’ muscle injury also robs them of a versatile attacking option on the wing. These injuries could influence Eddie Howe’s tactical decisions and may impact Newcastle’s consistency and defensive solidity during the match.

Newcastle Tactics and Formation

Newcastle’s Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-3-3
• Key Forward: Alexander Isak

Newcastle, under the coaching of Eddie Howe, will be setting up in their familiar 4-3-3 formation. The attacking line will be spearheaded by the prolific Alexander Isak, who has netted 15 goals this season and is crucial for their offensive threat.

Midfield Trio:

• Bruno Guimarães
• Sandro Tonali
• Joelinton

This trio provides the perfect blend of creativity, control, and physical presence in the midfield, ensuring they can dominate possession and exploit defensive gaps.

Defensive Strength:

• Two clean sheets in the last five games.

Notable Strategy:

• Strong away form, specifically exploiting weaknesses with quick counter-attacks, having won their last four away games. This will be pivotal against a Southampton defense that has conceded 50 goals this season.

Southampton vs Newcastle Head-to-Head Statistics

Assuming the teams have not played against each other before, we don’t have any past encounters to analyze. Therefore, there are no historical records to fill into a table format.

With no previous head-to-head stats to delve into, it’s essential to focus on the current form and stats for a comprehensive match preview.

Odds accurate as of 23.01.2025 15:01, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any {bookmaker}.