Roma vs. Monza Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 24 February 2025 - bettingexpert
The Serie A match between Roma and Monza on 24 February 2025 is pivotal for both teams. Roma, sitting 9th in the standings with 37 points, will look to solidify their mid-table position and keep their Europa League hopes alive. They’ve been in good form, particularly after a thrilling 3-2 victory over FC Porto in the Europa League, with Paulo Dybala steering the team with two goals and raising team spirits.
Conversely, Monza is languishing at the bottom of the table with 14 points and desperately needs points to escape the relegation zone. Their recent performance has been dismal, highlighted by defensive frailties, and they haven’t won in their last five matches.
With both teams prone to conceding goals, the match tips are leaning towards “Over 2.5 goals” at odds of 1.77. Claudio Ranieri’s Roma, having scored in 76% of their matches this season, are the bookmakers’ favourites, with odds of 1.31 for a home win.
Expect a high-intensity game at Stadio Olimpico with referee Fabio Maresca overseeing the proceedings. A solid defensive performance and leveraging recent momentum could see Roma triumph in this encounter.
Roma vs Monza Prediction & Betting Tip
The recommended betting tip for this game is “Over 2.5 goals.” Given the match dynamics, this is a favorable bet.
| Roma vs Monza Prediction | |
|---|---|
| Betting Tip | Odds |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 1.77 |
- Both teams have struggled defensively, making it likely that multiple goals will be scored in this match.
- Roma tends to score consistently, having found the net in 76% of their games this season and having scored in their last 9 Serie A matches.
- Monza’s defense has been leaky, conceding an average of 1.6 goals per game this season.
Expect an open game with plenty of opportunities for goals.
Match Preview: Roma vs Monza
Match Details
- Date: October 22, 2023
- Time: 7:45 PM GMT
- Venue: Stadio Olimpico, Rome, Italy
Venue Insight: Stadio Olimpico
The iconic Stadio Olimpico in Rome provides a formidable atmosphere for visiting teams. Its history and passionate supporters can be intimidating, making it a strong fortress for Roma. The large pitch allows for expansive play, which could suit both teams’ attacking tendencies.
Key Battles
- Paulo Dybala vs Monza Defence: Dybala’s creativity and vision will be crucial for Roma. He’ll look to exploit the spaces in Monza’s leaky backline.
- Monza’s Attack vs Roma’s Defence: Given Roma’s vulnerability at the back, Monza’s forwards, especially Gianluca Caprari, will see this as an opportunity to capitalize.
Recent Form
- Roma: Mixed form with recent wins and unexpected losses. The main issue has been their defensive stability.
- Monza: Struggling to find consistency, Monza has been involved in several high-scoring games due to their defensive frailties.
Roma Team Analysis
Roma Recent Performance
Roma has been in decent form recently, securing three wins, one draw, and a single loss in their last five matches.
| Roma | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Roma | FC Porto | 3-2 (Win) |
| Parma Calcio 1913 | Roma | 0-1 (Win) |
| FC Porto | Roma | 1-1 (Draw) |
| Venezia | Roma | 0-1 (Win) |
| AC Milan | Roma | 3-1 (Loss) |
The Giallorossi have shown solid defensive capabilities with 2 clean sheets in their last 5 games.
They also exhibit good attacking form, averaging 1.40 goals per match during this period.
Claudio Ranieri has invigorated the squad, with standout performances from Paulo Dybala, fresh off a two-goal game against Porto.
Roma Key Players
Roma have several standout players to watch in their upcoming match against Monza.
Paulo Dybala, fresh from netting two goals against FC Porto, remains a key figure in the attack and is expected to add to his 8 goals this season.
Lorenzo Pellegrini, with his versatile playmaking skills, and Leandro Paredes, who controls the midfield, are critical to Roma’s strategy.
In defense, Gianluca Mancini and newcomer Evan N’Dicka will be pivotal in maintaining stability at the back.
Expected lineup for Roma:
- Goalkeeper: Mile Svilar
- Defenders: Devyne Rensch, Gianluca Mancini, Evan N’Dicka
- Midfielders: Alexis Saelemaekers, Leandro Paredes, Manu Koné, Lorenzo Pellegrini, Angeliño
- Attackers: Paulo Dybala, Eldor Shomurodov
- Key battles could include Dybala against Monza’s centralized defense and Pellegrini contesting the midfield duels.
Roma Suspensions & Injuries
Roma have a notable absence in their lineup:
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Artem Dovbyk | Muscle injury | Early March 2025 |
Artem Dovbyk, Roma’s top scorer with 8 goals, will be a significant miss due to a muscle injury. His absence may impact Roma’s attacking potency, putting more pressure on Paulo Dybala and Eldor Shomurodov to step up in the offensive department.
With no suspensions to report, Claudio Ranieri’s squad can otherwise focus on maintaining their defensive and midfield stability against Monza. The rest of the team remains available for selection, ensuring a solid lineup to tackle their upcoming fixture.
Roma Tactics and Formation
Roma Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 3-4-2-1
- Key Forward: Eldor Shomurodov
- Offensive Creators: Paulo Dybala and Lorenzo Pellegrini
- Midfield Control: Leandro Paredes and Manu Koné
- Defensive Strength: Two clean sheets in the last five games.
- Notable Strategy: High pressing and quick transitions.
Roma have carefully structured their formation to maximize both defensive solidity and attacking prowess. With Shomurodov leading the line in Dovbyk’s absence, they rely heavily on the creativity of Dybala and Pellegrini just behind the striker. The midfield, marshalled by Paredes and Koné, aims to dominate possession and break opposition lines quickly. Their defensive trio provides stability at the back, ensuring they maintain their reputation for conceding few goals recently.
Rigid defensive discipline paired with fluid attacking movements makes Roma tough to break down while always posing a threat going forward.
Monza Team Analysis
Monza Recent Performance
Monza has been struggling in its recent fixtures, reflecting its position at the bottom of the Serie A table. Their last five matches have been disappointing, showing a streak of four losses and a draw. They’ve only managed to score an average of 0.40 goals per game while recording just one clean sheet in their last five outings.
| Home team | Away team | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Monza | Lecce | 0-0 (Draw) |
| Lazio | Monza | 5-1 (Loss) |
| Monza | Verona | 0-1 (Loss) |
| Genoa | Monza | 2-0 (Loss) |
| Bologna | Monza | 3-1 (Loss) |
Their inability to find the back of the net and a shaky defense conceding an average of 1.6 goals per match summarize their struggles this season. Monza’s recent form spells trouble, especially against stronger teams like Roma, making an upset highly unlikely.
Monza Key Players
Expected lineup for Monza:
- Goalkeeper: Stefano Turati
- Defenders: Danilo D’Ambrosio, Tomás Palacios, Andrea Carboni
- Midfielders: Pedro Pereira, Kacper Urbanski, Alessandro Bianco, Georgios Kyriakopoulos
- Attackers: Dany Mota, Patrick Ciurria, Silvere Ganvoula
Monza’s key players include Dany Mota, who is their top scorer with four goals this season. His ability to find space and finish can trouble Roma’s defence. Another key player is Patrick Ciurria, who will be looking to orchestrate play from the attacking midfield position and link up with Mota.
Tomás Palacios in central defence will have a crucial role in trying to contain the likes of Paulo Dybala, making for an intriguing individual battle.
Monza Suspensions & Injuries
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Roberto Gagliardini | Muscle injury | Unknown |
| Matteo Pessina | Hamstring injury | Doubtful |
| Luca Caldirola | Hamstring injury | Doubtful |
| Samuele Birindelli | Muscle injury | Doubtful |
| Jean Daniel Akpa Akpro | Muscle injury | Early March 2025 |
| Stefano Sensi | Thigh injury | Mid March 2025 |
| Stefan Lekovic | Muscle injury | Doubtful |
| Player | Suspension | Expected return |
| ———————– | ——————– | ———————- |
| Armando Izzo | Yellow cards | 1 match suspension |
Monza’s squad is significantly impacted by injuries, with several key players suffering from various issues. Notably, Roberto Gagliardini and Matteo Pessina’s absences could hinder the midfield’s stability both defensively and offensively.
Armando Izzo’s suspension compounds these problems, reducing defensive options. These disruptions could make it challenging for Monza to field a cohesive unit against Roma.
Monza Tactics and Formation
Monza’s Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 3-4-2-1
- Key Forward: Silvere Ganvoula
- Attacking Midfield Duo: Dany Mota and Patrick Ciurria
Despite their struggles this season, Monza deploys a dynamic 3-4-2-1 formation aimed at maintaining midfield stability and providing swift counterattacks.
- Midfield Engine: Kacper Urbanski and Alessandro Bianco oversee retrieving possession and initiating forward plays, although their effectiveness has been limited recently.
- Wide Play: Pedro Pereira and Giorgos Kyriakopoulos are pivotal in stretching the opposition defense and providing crosses into the box.
- Defensive Resilience: With Danilo D’Ambrosio returning, Monza will seek to tighten their defense, although Armando Izzo’s suspension limits their depth.
Though Monza averages only 0.40 goals in their last five games, their shape allows for quick transitions, making them a potential threat on the break.
Roma vs Monza Head-to-Head Statistics
| Home | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Monza | Roma | 1-1 |
| Monza | Roma | 1-4 |
| Roma | Monza | 1-0 |
| Monza | Roma | 1-1 |
| Roma | Monza | 3-0 |
Looking back at their last five meetings, Roma has clearly been the dominant side, winning three times and drawing twice. Monza has struggled to overcome Roma, managing only two draws.
With Roma’s superior performance historically and currently, they come into this match as strong favourites, especially at home where their form is impressive. Their best performance against Monza was a decisive 4-1 win.
Monza will need to step up significantly if they hope to secure any points in this encounter.
Odds accurate as of 22/02/2025 at 19:46, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.
