Monza vs. Parma Calcio 1913 Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 15 March 2025 - bettingexpert
Monza will welcome Parma Calcio 1913 to the U-Power Stadium on 15 March 2025 at 14:00 for a crucial Serie A clash. Both teams find themselves entrenched in a relegation battle, with Monza languishing at the bottom of the table in 20th place with just 14 points, while Parma sits slightly better off in 17th position with 24 points.
Monza, coached by Alessandro Nesta, hasn’t tasted victory in their last eight matches, and they’ll be desperate to turn their fortunes around at home. Parma, managed by Cristian Chivu, has had mixed results recently, securing just one win in their last five fixtures but also collecting crucial points in tense relegation skirmishes.
With both sides averaging 1.7 goals conceded per match this season, a tight defensive game could be on the cards. Parma, who won their most recent encounter against Monza 2-1, enters this match as slight favorites according to bookmakers.
Given the current form and historical performances, betting on a draw could offer potential value. However, Monza will try to leverage their home advantage to possibly upset the odds.
Referee Gianluca Manganiello will oversee the match, and fans can expect a fiercely contested game as both teams battle to secure essential points for survival.
Monza vs Parma Calcio 1913 Prediction & Betting Tip
Our recommended betting tip for this crucial relegation battle between Monza and Parma Calcio 1913 is to bet on a draw. Given the form and head-to-head statistics, it seems the most balanced outcome.
| Monza vs Parma Calcio 1913 Prediction | |
|---|---|
| Betting tip | Odds |
| Draw | 3.07 |
- Both teams have been struggling with form, and a draw aligns with their recent performances.
- Historically, matches between Monza and Parma often end in tight contests, including their previous 1-1 draw at Monza’s home ground.
- Both sides average 1.7 goals conceded per match this season, pointing towards a balanced and potentially low-scoring encounter.
Monza vs Parma Calcio 1913 Odds
With this crucial relegation battle approaching, the odds for Monza vs Parma Calcio 1913 illustrate the tight nature of the contest:
| Monza vs Parma Calcio 1913 Betting Odds | |
|---|---|
| Bet | Odds |
| Monza | 3.00 |
| Draw | 3.07 |
| Parma Calcio 1913 | 2.50 |
Parma Calcio 1913 is the bookmaker’s favourite, but not by a large margin. A draw also offers appealing odds, reflecting the balanced, yet tough, nature of this game.
Both teams are grappling with form issues, making this a game where every point counts. Considering both sides’ struggle for consistency, bettors might find value in backing a draw.
Monza Team Analysis
Monza Recent Performance
Monza has been struggling this season, and their recent performances have been disappointing. The team has registered three losses and a draw in their last five games, currently sitting at the bottom of the Serie A table. Here’s a look at their recent matches:
| Home team | Away team | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Inter | Monza | 3-2 (Loss) |
| Monza | Torino | 0-2 (Loss) |
| Roma | Monza | 4-0 (Loss) |
| Monza | Lecce | 0-0 (Draw) |
| Lazio | Monza | 5-1 (Loss) |
Recent Form: LLLDL
Monza has only managed to secure 1 clean sheet and has scored an average of 0.60 goals per game in their last five matches. Their defense has been porous, conceding an average of 1.7 goals per match this season, which certainly hasn’t helped their cause. Despite their defensive frailties, they will look to leverage their home advantage in this upcoming clash against Parma.
Monza Key Players
Key players for Monza will indeed have to perform to their utmost if they wish to turn their poor form around. Leading the attack will be Dany Mota, who has scored 4 goals this season and will need to find his shooting boots again. Keita Baldé’s pace and creativity will be crucial up front, especially when linking up with Mota.
Midfield dynamism will be provided by Gaetano Castrovilli, whose passing and vision can unlock the defensive lines of Parma. Defenders Armando Izzo and Danilo D’Ambrosio will be vital in shoring up Monza’s porous defense.
Expected lineup for Monza:
- Goalkeeper: Stefano Turati
- Defenders: Pedro Pereira, Armando Izzo, Danilo D’Ambrosio
- Midfielders: Samuele Birindelli, Kevin Zeroli, Alessandro Bianco, Gaetano Castrovilli, Georgios Kyriakopoulos
- Forwards: Keita Baldé, Dany Mota
Monza Suspensions & Injuries
Monza is grappling with a significant injury crisis that could severely affect their performance against Parma. Here are the key players who are sidelined:
| Player | Injury | Expected Return |
|---|---|---|
| Roberto Gagliardini | Hamstring Injury | Unknown |
| Luca Caldirola | Hamstring Injury | Doubtful |
| Jean Daniel Akpa Akpro | Muscle Injury | Doubtful |
| Stefano Sensi | Thigh Injury | Late March 2025 |
| Andrea Carboni | Physical Discomfort | Doubtful |
| Patrick Ciurria | Nose Surgery | Late March 2025 |
These absences will undoubtedly hamper Monza’s ability to put forth a cohesive and competitive side. Coach Alessandro Nesta will need to strategize efficiently to navigate these challenges.
Monza Tactics and Formation
Monza Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 3-5-2
- Key Forwards: Keita Baldé, Dany Mota
- Midfield Five: Samuele Birindelli, Kevin Zeroli, Alessandro Bianco, Gaetano Castrovilli, Giorgos Kyriakopoulos
- Defensive Line: Pedro Pereira, Armando Izzo, Danilo D’Ambrosio
- Goalkeeper: Stefano Turati
Monza has managed only one clean sheet in their last five games and will need to tighten up defensively against Parma. The 3-5-2 formation allows them to crowd the midfield and control the centre of the park, hoping to deliver the ball to their key forwards quickly.
Nesta’s strategy has been focused on a strong midfield presence to both defend and attack. Expect Monza to use wing-backs to stretch the field and provide width. Given their injury struggles, organizing a cohesive unit will be a priority.
Parma Calcio 1913 Team Analysis
Recent Performance
| Home team | Away team | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Parma Calcio 1913 | Torino | 2-2 (Draw) |
| Udinese | Parma Calcio 1913 | 1-0 (Loss) |
| Parma Calcio 1913 | Bologna | 2-0 (Win) |
| Parma Calcio 1913 | Roma | 0-1 (Loss) |
| Cagliari | Parma Calcio 1913 | 2-1 (Loss) |
Parma has had a mixed bag of performances recently with a form of DLWLL. Their defense has secured just one clean sheet in the last five matches, while scoring an average of 1.00 goals per game. Their notable victory against Bologna provided a much-needed confidence boost, but defeats against Roma and Udinese have hampered their momentum. As they face Monza, Parma will look to stabilize their form and capitalize on the struggling opposition.
Parma Calcio 1913 Key Players
Parma’s strength lies in their balanced squad, and key players will be vital in their clash against Monza.
Expected lineup for Parma Calcio 1913:
- Goalkeeper: Zion Suzuki
- Defenders: Enrico Del Prato, Lautaro Valenti, Botond Balogh, Emanuele Valeri
- Midfielders: Pontus Almqvist, Anas Haj Mohamed, Hernani, Matteo Cancellieri
- Attackers: Ange-Yoan Bonny, Mateo Pellegrino
Ange-Yoan Bonny, the team’s top scorer with 5 goals, will be critical upfront. His duel against Monza’s defenders, like Armando Izzo, will be one to watch.
Matteo Cancellieri and Hernani will need to control the midfield to stifle Monza’s creators. The backline, highlighted by Lautaro Valenti, should focus on marking Dany Mota, Monza’s top scorer.
Parma Calcio 1913 Suspensions & Injuries
Parma Calcio 1913 is facing a slew of suspensions and injuries that could significantly impact their performance in the upcoming match against Monza.
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Mateusz Kowalski | Cruciate ligament injury | Out for season |
| Alessandro Circati | Cruciate ligament injury | Out for season |
| Yordan Osorio | Muscle injury | Doubtful |
| Gabriel Charpentier | Cruciate ligament injury | Out for season |
| Valentin Mihaila | Muscle injury | Doubtful |
| Milan Djuric | Knock injury | Doubtful |
| Adrian Benedyczak | Ankle injury | Late March 2025 |
| Player | Suspension | Expected return |
| ———————- | —————————– | ——————– |
| Alessandro Vogliacco | Yellow cards | 1 match left |
| Simon Sohm | Yellow cards | 1 match left |
| The absences of key players like Mateusz Kowalski, Alessandro Circati, and Gabriel Charpentier, all sidelined for the season, will be a major blow to Parma’s defensive and attacking capabilities. The suspensions of Alessandro Vogliacco and Simon Sohm further deplete the squad, adding to Coach Cristian Chivu’s selection headaches. |
Parma Calcio 1913 Tactics and Formation
Parma Calcio 1913 Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 4-3-3
- Key Forward: Ange-Yoan Bonny
- Midfield Trio: Pontus Almqvist, Anas Haj Mohamed, Hernani
- Defensive Structure: Four-man backline with Valenti and Balogh at center-back.
- Notable Strategy: High pressing game focused on quick transitions from defense to attack, particularly effective in the first 30 minutes of each half.
Their attacking setup leverages the pace and creativity of Ange-Yoan Bonny, often isolating him against defenders. In midfield, Almqvist and Hernani are crucial for ball distribution and providing defensive cover. Despite their defensive vulnerabilities (conceding 1.7 goals on average), they aim to control the game’s tempo from midfield to maximize their scoring chances.
Monza vs Parma Calcio 1913 Head-to-Head Statistics
| Home | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Parma Calcio 1913 | Monza | 2-1 |
| Monza | Parma Calcio 1913 | 1-1 |
| Parma Calcio 1913 | Monza | 0-0 |
The encounters between Monza and Parma Calcio 1913 have been relatively tight, with Parma edging Monza 2-1 in their last clash on 28 December 2024.
Over the last three meetings, the sides have shared a fairly balanced head-to-head record, leading to an exciting and evenly poised match-up this weekend.
Odds accurate as of 13.03.2025 14:01, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.
