Toulouse vs. Monaco Prediction and Betting Tips - bettingexpert
This Ligue 1 clash between Toulouse and Monaco is shaping up to be quite an intriguing matchup. Both teams are vying for European positions, with Toulouse hoping to close the gap on the top half and Monaco targeting Champions League places. Positioned 8th, Toulouse is 10 points behind 4th-placed Monaco.
The form book shows Toulouse’s recent inconsistency (WWLDL) against Monaco’s somewhat better run (WLDWL). Referee Marc Bollengier will oversee the match at the scenic Stadium Municipal.
Key injuries to Toulouse, including top scorer Zakaria Aboukhlal, might impact them severely. Meanwhile, Monaco’s star winger Takumi Minamino, fresh off a new contract, and goal machine Mika Biereth, make them strong favourites. Notably, Monaco has netted 15 goals in their last four games.
The recommended bet is a draw or Toulouse to cover a +1 handicap with intriguing odds of 4.2. Both teams’ defensive vulnerabilities and goal-scoring powers promise a lively contest where Monaco is slightly ahead.
| Toulouse vs Monaco Prediction | |
|---|---|
| Betting tip | Odds |
| Draw – Toulouse (+1) (EH) | 4.2 |
- Toulouse has shown erratic form recently, making them a wildcard in this fixture.
- Both teams have conceded goals regularly, averaging 1.3 and 1.1 goals respectively, suggesting vulnerabilities at the back.
- Monaco’s better overall form and offensive firepower mean they are unlikely to lose but might still face a tough fight.
Toulouse will be looking to take advantage of their home ground and claw back some points, while Monaco will aim to maintain their push for Champions League spots.
Toulouse vs Monaco Odds
| Toulouse vs Monaco Betting Odds | |
|---|---|
| Bet | Odds |
| Toulouse | 3.17 |
| Draw | 3.55 |
| Monaco | 2.15 |
Monaco enters as the bookmakers’ favorite with odds of 2.15, reflecting their superior league position and recent form. Toulouse, while boasting home advantage, sits at longer odds of 3.17. A draw, which might appeal to punters given the competitive nature of both sides, is valued at 3.55.
Expect a closely contested match, with Monaco’s recent goal-scoring prowess making them likely to edge it. However, Toulouse’s resilience could lead to a surprise outcome.
Toulouse Team Analysis
Toulouse Recent Performance
| Home team | Away team | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Angers | Toulouse | 0-4 (Win) |
| Le Havre | Toulouse | 1-4 (Win) |
| Toulouse | Paris Saint-Germain | 0-1 (Loss) |
| Auxerre | Toulouse | 2-2 (Draw) |
| Toulouse | Guingamp | 0-2 (Loss) |
Toulouse has had an inconsistent run in their last five matches with two wins, one draw, and two losses, reflecting a WWLDL form.
Recent matches saw Toulouse displaying decent offensive flair, with an average of 2.00 goals scored per game. However, they have only one clean sheet in their last five outings, indicating defensive vulnerabilities. Despite sitting in 8th position with 33 points, Toulouse’s mixed performance highlights their struggle to maintain consistency. Facing Monaco, they’ll need to tighten their defense while capitalizing on their scoring opportunities to stand a chance.
Toulouse Key Players
Toulouse’s hopes in this match will largely hinge on the performances of some key players. With their top scorer, Zakaria Aboukhlal, unavailable due to a thigh injury, the pressure falls on others to step up offensively. Cristhian Cásseres Jr. and Vincent Sierro will be pivotal in the midfield, both for defensive responsibilities and providing the necessary support to the forwards. Defensively, Charlie Cresswell and Mark McKenzie need to form a resilient backline to counter Monaco’s threatening attack.
Expected lineup for Toulouse:
- Goalkeeper: Kjetil Haug
- Defenders: Djibril Sidibe, Charlie Cresswell, Mark McKenzie
- Midfielders: Rafik Messali, Vincent Sierro, Cristhian Cásseres Jr., Gabriel Suazo
- Attackers: Aron Dönnum, Shavy Babicka, Frank Magri
Individual battles to watch include Toulouse’s attackers trying to break through Monaco’s defense, especially the tussle between Frank Magri and Monaco defender Thilo Kehrer.
Toulouse Suspensions & Injuries
Toulouse is facing a challenging situation with several key players sidelined due to injuries. The list of injuries is particularly concerning as it includes their top scorer and other significant contributors.
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Niklas Schmidt | Cruciate ligament injury | Out for season |
| Rasmus Nicolaisen | Ankle injury | Late March 2025 |
| Guillaume Restes | Thigh injury | Mid March 2025 |
| Joshua King | Muscle injury | About 1-2 weeks |
| Zakaria Aboukhlal | Thigh injury | Mid March 2025 |
These absences will undoubtedly impact Toulouse’s depth and versatility on the field, especially with Zakaria Aboukhlal being their main goal threat. The team will need others to step up if they hope to secure points against Monaco.
Toulouse Tactics and Formation
Toulouse Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 3-4-3
- Key Forward: Frank Magri
- Midfield Duo: Vincent Sierro and Cristhian Cásseres Jr.
- Defensive Set-up: Charlie Cresswell as central back leader
- Notable Strategy: Utilizing wing-backs for width and pressing high up the field
Given Toulouse’s recent form and injury list, Coach Carles Martínez will likely focus on a balanced approach. Expect Toulouse to deploy a 3-4-3 formation, with an emphasis on versatile midfield play and sharp wing-back involvement. Frank Magri, supported by Shavy Babicka and Aron Dönnum, will be key in the attacking third. The central defensive trio, led by Charlie Cresswell, is tasked with maintaining solidity and organization at the back to counter Monaco’s strong offensive capabilities.
Monaco Team Analysis
Monaco Recent Performance WLDWL
Monaco have had a mixed bag of results lately, having won twice, lost twice, and drawn once in their last five matches. Their performance has seen them scoring at an impressive rate, with an average of 2.8 goals per game. However, they’ve only managed one clean sheet in these fixtures, highlighting some defensive vulnerabilities.
| Home team | Away team | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Monaco | Reims | 3-0 (Win) |
| Lille | Monaco | 2-1 (Loss) |
| Benfica | Monaco | 3-3 (Draw) |
| Monaco | Nantes | 7-1 (Win) |
| Monaco | Benfica | 0-1 (Loss) |
Despite the ups and downs, Monaco’s attacking prowess remains evident, making them a formidable side. The team’s ability to score late in matches, particularly in the 76-90 and 46-60 minute intervals, is a key strength to watch out for.
Monaco Key Players
Expected lineup for Monaco:
- Goalkeeper: Radoslaw Majecki
- Defenders: Vanderson, Thilo Kehrer, Christian Mawissa, Caio Henrique
- Midfielders: Maghnes Akliouche, Lamine Camara, Moatasem Al-Musrati, Takumi Minamino
- Attackers: Breel Embolo, Mika Biereth
Monaco’s top scorer, Mika Biereth, is certainly someone to watch. With 10 goals to his name, he poses a serious threat to any defense. Breel Embolo is another powerhouse in attack, forming a dynamic partnership with Biereth up front. In midfield, Maghnes Akliouche and Takumi Minamino will be key in controlling the tempo and creating opportunities. A key battle to look forward to is Biereth against Toulouse’s defensive trio, with Biereth’s prowess truly testing their skills.
Monaco Suspensions & Injuries
Injuries
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Folarin Balogun | Shoulder injury | Mid March 2025 |
| Jordan Teze | Muscle injury | About 1-2 weeks |
| Soungoutou Magassa | Head injury | About 1-2 weeks |
| Aleksandr Golovin | Groin injury | About 1-2 weeks |
Suspension
| Player | Suspension | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Denis Zakaria | Yellow cards | Next match |
Monaco will be missing some key players due to injuries, including Folarin Balogun and Aleksandr Golovin, which may impact their offensive and midfield strength. The suspension of Denis Zakaria could weaken their midfield stability. Despite these setbacks, Monaco’s depth should allow them to manage and maintain their performance levels.
Monaco Tactics and Formation
Monaco’s Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 4-4-2
- Key Forwards: Mika Biereth and Breel Embolo
This formation offers attacking flexibility, with Biereth and Embolo providing a potent front-line pair. - Midfield Configuration:
- Right Midfielder: Maghnes Akliouche
- Left Midfielder: Takumi Minamino
- Central Midfielders: Lamine Camara and Moatasem Al-Musrati
The midfield is built to support both defensive duties and quick transitions to attack, aided by the box-to-box energy of Al-Musrati and the composure of Camara. - Defensive Lineup:
- Right Back: Vanderson
- Left Back: Caio Henrique
- Center Backs: Thilo Kehrer and Christian Mawissa
With just one clean sheet in the last five games, Monaco’s defense needs to tighten up. - Notable Strategy: Monaco tends to score late goals, particularly in the 76-90 minute interval, highlighting their enduring attacking threat throughout the match.
Toulouse vs Monaco Head-to-Head Statistics
Let’s dive into the recent encounters between Toulouse and Monaco:
| Home | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Monaco | Toulouse | 2-0 |
| Monaco | Toulouse | 1-2 |
| Toulouse | Monaco | 1-2 |
| Monaco | Toulouse | 1-2 |
| Toulouse | Monaco | 0-2 |
The head-to-head record shows that Monaco has typically had the upper hand, winning three of the last five matchups.
However, Toulouse has managed two victories, showing potential to challenge Monaco despite their lower league position.
Expect a competitive clash at Stadium Municipal.
Odds accurate as of 03.05.2025 19:46, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.
