Paris Saint-Germain vs. Marseille Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 16 March 2025 - bettingexpert
The upcoming clash between Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) and Marseille on 16 March 2025 is more than just a routine Ligue 1 fixture; it’s a highly anticipated showdown between the top two teams in the league. With PSG sitting comfortably in 1st place on 65 points and Marseille trailing in 2nd with 49 points, this match could further cement PSG’s dominance or signal a thrilling comeback for Marseille.
PSG recently showcased their resilience by advancing to the Champions League quarter-finals after a dramatic penalty shootout victory over Liverpool. This might leave them somewhat fatigued, which Marseille could look to exploit. Adding to the excitement are key players like Ousmane Dembele, who has netted 20 goals this season.
Marseille, under Roberto De Zerbi, are eager to break their three-game losing streak at Parc des Princes. Despite their injury woes, they’re a side that has the potential to surprise. Given the history of closely contested encounters, our match tip suggests a draw as a plausible outcome.
With Clement Turpin officiating and considering PSG’s formidable home record and Marseille’s fighting spirit, this match promises to be a compelling fixture to watch.
Recommended bet: Draw.
Paris Saint-Germain vs Marseille Prediction & Betting tip
Given the historical tendency for closely contested matches between these teams, our recommended bet is a draw. PSG is in superb form but might be fatigued following their Champions League encounter against Liverpool. Marseille’s potential to surprise, combined with their decent away scoring record, adds to the uncertainty.
| Paris Saint-Germain vs Marseille Prediction | |
|---|---|
| Betting tip | Odds |
| Draw | 5.05 |
- PSG’s recent Champions League match may impact their performance.
- Marseille is eager to break their losing streak at Parc des Princes.
- History shows recent matches between these teams have been tightly contested.
Paris Saint-Germain vs Marseille Odds
The odds strongly favor Paris Saint-Germain, reflecting their outstanding form and home advantage. However, with Marseille’s respectable away record and PSG’s potential post-Champions League fatigue, a draw is a tempting bet for those looking to capitalize on higher odds.
| Paris Saint-Germain vs Marseille Betting Odds | |
|---|---|
| Bet | Odds |
| Paris Saint-Germain | 1.43 |
| Draw | 5.05 |
| Marseille | 6.23 |
- Paris Saint-Germain enters this match as the favorite, but Marseille’s knack for scoring away makes them a value bet for an upset or a draw.
- With PSG’s top scorer Ousmane Dembele in excellent form and recent history suggesting tightly contested matches, betting on a draw offers attractive odds.
Paris Saint-Germain Team Analysis
Paris Saint-Germain Recent Performance
Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) has been in formidable form, evidenced by their recent performances and unbeaten streak in home matches. Over the last five games, they have shown their mettle both in domestic and international competitions.
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | Paris Saint-Germain | 2025-03-11 | Champions League | 0-1 (Win; Penalty: 1-4) |
| Rennes | Paris Saint-Germain | 2025-03-08 | Ligue 1 | 1-4 (Win) |
| Paris Saint-Germain | Liverpool | 2025-03-05 | Champions League | 0-1 (Loss) |
| Paris Saint-Germain | Lille | 2025-03-01 | Ligue 1 | 4-1 (Win) |
| Stade Briochin | Paris Saint-Germain | 2025-02-26 | Coupe de France | 0-7 (Win) |
PSG’s attack has been particularly potent, averaging an impressive 4.00 goals per game in their last five matches. However, their defense has shown some vulnerabilities, keeping only one clean sheet in those fixtures. Ousmane Dembele has been a standout performer, consistently finding the back of the net and contributing significantly to their goal tally.
Paris Saint-Germain Key Players
Ousmane Dembélé, PSG’s top scorer with 20 goals this season, will be a pivotal player. His duel with Marseille’s defenders, like Leonardo Balerdi, promises to be a highlight.
In midfield, João Neves and Vítinha will look to control the game against Marseille’s Pierre-Emile Højbjerg and Ismaël Bennacer.
Gianluigi Donnarumma will also be crucial in goal, expected to counter threats from Mason Greenwood and Amine Gouiri.
Expected lineup for Paris Saint-Germain:
- Goalkeeper: Gianluigi Donnarumma
- Defenders: Achraf Hakimi, Willian Pacho, Lucas Hernandez, Nuno Mendes
- Midfielders: João Neves, Fabian Ruiz, Vítinha
- Attackers: Ousmane Dembélé, Gonçalo Ramos, Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
Paris Saint-Germain Suspensions & Injuries
Paris Saint-Germain have a few injury concerns to address ahead of their clash with Marseille:
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Marquinhos | Unknown | Doubtful |
Marquinhos’s potential absence could impact PSG’s defensive stability, given his leadership and experience at the back. This means that Willian Pacho might continue to partner with Lucas Hernandez in central defence.
On the bright side, PSG have no suspensions to report, ensuring that Luis Enrique has most of his key players available for selection. This will be crucial as they look to extend their unbeaten run at Parc des Princes and maintain their position at the top of the Ligue 1 table.
Paris Saint-Germain Tactics and Formation
Paris Saint-Germain Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 4-3-3
- Key Forward: Ousmane Dembélé
- Midfield Trio: João Neves, Fabian Ruiz, Vítinha
- Defensive Strength: One clean sheet in the last five games
- Notable Strategy: High pressing and possession dominance, particularly effective in the final third
Luis Enrique seems to prefer a 4-3-3 setup, encouraging quick transitions through wide players and overlapping full-backs. Ousmane Dembélé’s pace and scoring ability make him the focal point of their attack, supported by the creativity of Vítinha and Fabian Ruiz in midfield. While their defense, led by Gianluigi Donnarumma, has the potential to be rock-solid, they might need to tighten up, especially given Marquinhos’s potential absence.
Marseille Team Analysis
Marseille Recent Performance
Marseille’s recent form has been a bit of a mixed bag, but it shows they can pull off strong performances when needed. Averaging 1.80 goals per game in their last five matches and recording two clean sheets highlights their capability both in attack and defense.
Here’s a look at Marseille’s last five matches:
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marseille | Lens | 2025-03-08 | Ligue 1 | 0-1 (Loss) |
| Marseille | Nantes | 2025-03-02 | Ligue 1 | 2-0 (Win) |
| Auxerre | Marseille | 2025-02-22 | Ligue 1 | 3-0 (Loss) |
| Marseille | Saint-Etienne | 2025-02-15 | Ligue 1 | 5-1 (Win) |
| Angers | Marseille | 2025-02-09 | Ligue 1 | 0-2 (Win) |
The team’s ability to score frequently away and hold strong defensively, despite recent ups and downs, shows promise. However, with significant injuries, players like Mason Greenwood and Adrien Rabiot will need to shine.
Marseille Key Players
Expected lineup for Marseille:
- Goalkeeper: Gerónimo Rulli
- Defenders: Derek Cornelius, Leonardo Balerdi, Geoffrey Kondogbia
- Midfielders: Luis Henrique, Ismaël Bennacer, Valentin Rongier, Quentin Merlin
- Attackers: Mason Greenwood, Adrien Rabiot, Amine Gouiri
Marseille will heavily rely on their top scorer, Mason Greenwood, who has netted 15 goals this season. His battle against PSG defenders like Achraf Hakimi and Lucas Hernandez will be crucial.
Adrien Rabiot, an ex-PSG player, will be key in midfield encounters against Vitinha and Fabian Ruiz. Expect Ismaël Bennacer to anchor the midfield, trying to thwart PSG’s advances.
In defense, Geoffrey Kondogbia’s performance will be pivotal in containing PSG’s attacking trio led by Ousmane Dembélé.
Marseille Suspensions & Injuries
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Ruben Blanco | Knee injury | Late March 2025 |
| Faris Moumbagna | Knee injury | Late March 2025 |
| Valentin Rongier | Muscle injury | A few weeks |
| Amir Murillo | Hamstring injury | Late March 2025 |
| Amine Harit | Calf injury | Late March 2025 |
| Pierre-Emile Højbjerg | Calf injury | Late March 2025 |
These injuries can significantly impact Marseille’s game, especially in midfield, where Pierre-Emile Højbjerg will be missed. The absence of key players adds extra strain on those fit to play, making strategies more complex against a strong PSG side at Parc des Princes. With missed opportunities and tactical adjustments needed from coach Roberto De Zerbi, Marseille may find it challenging to maintain their attacking and defensive fluidity.
Marseille Tactics and Formation
Marseille Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 3-4-3
- Key Forward: Amine Gouiri
- Midfield Engine: Ismaël Bennacer and Adrien Rabiot
- Defensive Strength: Two clean sheets in the last five games.
- Notable Strategy: Focus on quick transition play and controlling the midfield.
Marseille adopts a dynamic 3-4-3 formation, which provides a solid balance between defense and attack. With Amine Gouiri leading the attack, the team can exploit spaces behind PSG’s defense. The midfield partnership of Bennacer and Rabiot ensures ball retention and fluid play.
Expect Marseille to focus on rapid transitions and attempt to catch PSG off-guard with quick counter-attacks, aiming to exploit any potential fatigue from PSG’s recent Champions League exertions. Defensively, the team will look to remain compact and organized, reducing the effectiveness of PSG’s potent attacking trio.
Paris Saint-Germain vs Marseille Head-to-Head Statistics
| Paris Saint-Germain | Marseille | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marseille | Paris Saint-Germain | 2024-10-27 | Ligue 1 | 0-3 (Loss) |
| Marseille | Paris Saint-Germain | 2024-03-31 | Ligue 1 | 0-2 (Loss) |
| Paris Saint-Germain | Marseille | 2023-09-24 | Ligue 1 | 4-0 (Win) |
| Marseille | Paris Saint-Germain | 2023-02-26 | Ligue 1 | 0-3 (Loss) |
| Marseille | Paris Saint-Germain | 2023-02-08 | Coupe de France | 2-1 (Win) |
In recent meetings, PSG has dominated with four wins in their last five clashes. Marseille’s sole victory came in the Coupe de France in early 2023. The past results highlight PSG’s strong performance against Marseille, particularly in Ligue 1.
Odds accurate as of 14/03/2025 19:47, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.
