Monaco vs. Marseille Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 12 April 2025 - bettingexpert
As Ligue 1 continues its race for international spots, the clash between Monaco and Marseille on 12 April 2025 at Stade Louis II holds immense significance. At 16:00, two of France’s football heavyweights face off in Round 29. Monaco sits 3rd in the league with 50 points, closely trailing 2nd place Marseille, who have 52 points.
Monaco, under the tactical guidance of Adi Hütter, has shown strong home form, winning their last five matches at Stade Louis II. Their charge is led by top scorer Mika Biereth, who has netted 12 goals so far. Despite recent slips, including a 2-1 loss to Brest, their spirits will be high following their victory over Nice and their impressive 3-0 win against Reims.
Marseille, managed by Roberto De Zerbi, are experiencing a dip in form with four losses in their last five matches, putting their Champions League qualification hopes in jeopardy. The injuries to key defenders like Luiz Felipe have not helped their cause. Yet, the presence of Mason Greenwood and Neal Maupay in attacking positions presents a constant threat.
According to bookmakers, Monaco is the slight favourite, but given the close standings, a draw is highly recommended as a bet. Benoit Bastien will be overseeing the match, known for his low average of red cards this season.
Expect a thrilling affair marked by high stakes and ambitions as both teams battle for crucial points.
Monaco vs Marseille Prediction & Betting tip
For the upcoming match between Monaco and Marseille, a draw appears to be the safest bet given the close standings and both teams’ current form. Although Monaco has a slight edge in the bookmakers’ odds, Marseille’s determination to stay in the top spots and their recent performances suggest a tightly contested affair.
| Monaco vs Marseille Prediction | |
|---|---|
| Betting tip | Odds |
| Draw | 3.79 |
- Balance in the Standings: With only two points separating Monaco (3rd place) and Marseille (2nd place), both teams are highly motivated to avoid a loss.
- Recent Performances: Monaco has shown resilience with their home form, but Marseille’s determination and past ability to snatch results away from home make a draw plausible.
- Defense and Attack: Both teams have managed clean sheets in their recent matches, and with both sides keen on securing positions high up the table, a cautious approach could lead to a stalemate.
Monaco vs Marseille Odds
The bookmakers have set the odds for this exciting Ligue 1 clash between Monaco and Marseille, reflecting the close contest expected between these two top sides vying for crucial points.
| Monaco vs Marseille Betting Odds | |
|---|---|
| Bet | Odds |
| Monaco | 2.02 |
| Draw | 3.79 |
| Marseille | 3.29 |
Monaco is slightly favoured to win given their strong home record and recent form. However, Marseille’s determination to secure a Champions League spot adds to the potential for a closely fought encounter.
Given the odds, a draw is seen as a valuable option, presenting a good potential return for a tightly contested match.
Monaco Team Analysis
Monaco’s Recent Performance ()
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brest | Monaco | 2025-04-05 | Ligue 1 | 2-1 (Loss) |
| Monaco | Nice | 2025-03-29 | Ligue 1 | 2-1 (Win) |
| Angers | Monaco | 2025-03-15 | Ligue 1 | 0-2 (Win) |
| Toulouse | Monaco | 2025-03-07 | Ligue 1 | 1-1 (Draw) |
| Monaco | Reims | 2025-02-28 | Ligue 1 | 3-0 (Win) |
Monaco’s recent form has been quite strong, with a record of 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last five matches. Notably, they have shown prowess in both defense and attack, keeping two clean sheets and averaging 1.8 goals per game during this period.
Despite a recent slip against Brest, Monaco bounced back with solid victories over Nice and Angers. Their defense, led by goalkeeper Philipp Köhn, has been resilient, and key player Mika Biereth has been instrumental, scoring consistently to lead the team’s attacking efforts.
Monaco’s ability to score frequently, especially in the final 15 minutes of matches, could be crucial against Marseille.
Monaco Key Players
Monaco’s lineup will be spearheaded by the prolific Mika Biereth, who has netted 12 goals in just 10 appearances since his January transfer. With Biereth alongside Breel Embolo up front, they’re expected to pose significant challenges to Marseille’s defense, especially in the final stages of the match where Monaco excels.
Midfield dynamo Denis Zakaria will be crucial in controlling the game’s tempo, supported by Lamine Camara and Maghnes Akliouche. Takumi Minamino adds creative flair to the left.
Defensively, Philipp Köhn between the sticks, flanked by Thilo Kehrer and Wilfried Singo at the back, will aim to keep Marseille at bay.
Expected lineup for Monaco:
- Goalkeeper: Philipp Köhn
- Defenders: Vanderson, Thilo Kehrer, Wilfried Singo, Caio Henrique
- Midfielders: Maghnes Akliouche, Denis Zakaria, Lamine Camara, Takumi Minamino
- Forwards: Mika Biereth, Breel Embolo
Monaco Suspensions & Injuries
Monaco will have to navigate this crucial match without some of their key players due to both suspensions and injuries.
| Player | Suspension | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Mawissa | Yellow cards | 1 match (Round 30) |
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Jordan Teze | Muscle injury | Back in training |
| Soungoutou Magassa | Head injury | Back in training |
| Kassoum Ouattara | Calf injury | Mid April 2025 |
Mawissa’s suspension will force a reshuffle in the defense, and the injuries to Teze, Magassa, and Ouattara further stress the team’s depth. However, the potential return of Teze and Magassa could provide a late boost. Monaco’s squad depth will be tested, especially in defence, as they aim to maintain their strong home form at Stade Louis II.
Monaco Tactics and Formation
Monaco Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 4-4-2
- Key Forwards: Mika Biereth and Breel Embolo
- Midfield Setup:
- Right midfielder: Maghnes Akliouche
- Central midfielders: Denis Zakaria and Lamine Camara
- Left midfielder: Takumi Minamino
- Defensive Line:
- Right back: Vanderson
- Centre backs: Thilo Kehrer and Wilfried Singo
- Left back: Caio Henrique
- Goalkeeper: Philipp Köhn
Defensive Strength:
Monaco has kept two clean sheets in their last five matches, showcasing solid defensive capabilities.
Key Tactical Notes:
- Monaco tends to score most of their goals between the 76th and 90th minutes, highlighting their strong finish in matches.
- Despite losing to Brest recently, their overall home form remains strong, with five consecutive wins prior.
- Adi Hütter’s side often relies on creating overloads in wide areas, utilizing the pace and skill of Akliouche and Minamino to create scoring opportunities for Biereth and Embolo.
Marseille Team Analysis
Marseille Recent Performance
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marseille | Toulouse | 2025-04-06 | Ligue 1 | 3-2 (Win) |
| Reims | Marseille | 2025-03-29 | Ligue 1 | 3-1 (Loss) |
| PSG | Marseille | 2025-03-16 | Ligue 1 | 3-1 (Loss) |
| Marseille | Lens | 2025-03-08 | Ligue 1 | 0-1 (Loss) |
| Marseille | Nantes | 2025-03-02 | Ligue 1 | 2-0 (Win) |
Marseille’s recent form has been a mixed bag, with their last five matches encapsulating the highs and lows of their season. With a record of WLLLW, they’ve gathered 6 points from a possible 15.
- Recent Form: WLLLW
- Average goals scored in last 5 games: 1.4
- Clean sheets in last 5 games: 1
Marseille recently bounced back with a win over Toulouse after suffering three consecutive defeats. Notably, they struggled defensively, conceding 9 goals across those three losses. However, their attack, led by Mason Greenwood, remains potent, as evidenced by their 3-2 victory against Toulouse.
Two goals scored in the interval of 61-75 minutes have highlighted their tendency to strike in the second half. Despite their inconsistent form, strong performances in the upcoming matches can help Marseille solidify their position in the higher echelons of the Ligue 1 table.
Marseille Key Players
Expected lineup for Marseille:
- Goalkeeper: Gerónimo Rulli
- Defenders: Amir Murillo, Geoffrey Kondogbia, Derek Cornelius
- Midfielders: Luis Henrique, Ismaël Bennacer, Valentin Rongier, Quentin Merlin
- Attackers: Mason Greenwood, Adrien Rabiot
- Forward: Neal Maupay
Marseille’s attack will be spearheaded by Mason Greenwood, their top scorer with 16 goals this season. His duel with Monaco’s centre-backs Thilo Kehrer and Wilfried Singo will be pivotal. Greenwood’s ability to find space and finish clinically could be the deciding factor.
In midfield, Ismaël Bennacer’s creativity and Valentin Rongier’s tenacity could help control the game, while Adrien Rabiot’s versatility makes him a key asset both offensively and defensively. Keep an eye on Geoffrey Kondogbia in defense, whose experience will be crucial in keeping Monaco’s potent attack at bay.
Marseille Suspensions & Injuries
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Ruben Blanco | Knee injury | Mid April 2025 |
| Valentin Rongier | Muscle injury | A few weeks |
| Luiz Felipe | Hamstring injury | Mid April 2025 |
| Leonardo Balerdi | Sprained knee injury | Early May 2025 |
| Amine Gouiri | Strain injury | About 1-2 weeks |
Injuries might affect Marseille’s depth and game plan significantly. Valentin Rongier’s absence in midfield could be particularly felt, as he plays a critical role in both defense and attack. The defensive line, missing Luiz Felipe and Leonardo Balerdi, will rely heavily on Geoffrey Kondogbia to maintain stability.
Moreover, Ruben Blanco’s injury leaves them with limited options between the sticks if further issues arise. Despite these setbacks, the team will be determined to perform well and not let absences derail their momentum. Getting key players back soon will be crucial for their push in the league.
Marseille Tactics and Formation
Marseille’s Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 3-4-2-1
- Key Forward: Neal Maupay
- Attacking Midfielders: Mason Greenwood, Adrien Rabiot
- Midfield Line: Luis Henrique, Ismaël Bennacer, Valentin Rongier, Quentin Merlin
Marseille deploys a three-man defensive line anchored by Geoffrey Kondogbia, who will need to step up in the absence of key players like Luiz Felipe and Leonardo Balerdi.
The midfield is packed with talent, relying on the creativity and dynamism of Ismaël Bennacer and Valentin Rongier, although Rongier’s fitness is in doubt.
For the attack, Neal Maupay is the central figure up front, supported by the playmaking abilities of Greenwood and Rabiot, aiming to exploit Monaco’s defense, particularly during the 61-75-minute interval where Marseille has been prolific.
Monaco vs Marseille Head-to-Head Statistics
Let’s break down the last five encounters between Monaco and Marseille:
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marseille | Monaco | 2024-12-01 | Ligue 1 | 2 – 1 (Win) |
| Marseille | Monaco | 2024-01-27 | Ligue 1 | 2 – 2 (Draw) |
| Monaco | Marseille | 2023-09-30 | Ligue 1 | 3 – 2 (Win) |
| Marseille | Monaco | 2023-01-28 | Ligue 1 | 1 – 1 (Draw) |
| Monaco | Marseille | 2022-11-13 | Ligue 1 | 2 – 3 (Loss) |
In these recent encounters, both teams have displayed a competitive edge, managing wins, losses, and draws in a balanced manner. Monaco’s slight edge at home could play a role in this upcoming match.
Odds accurate as of 04.10.2025 16:02, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.
