Manchester United vs. Southampton Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 16 January 2025 - bettingexpert
As Manchester United hosts Southampton at Old Trafford on January 16, 2025, at 8:00 PM for the Premier League’s 21st round, both teams face pivotal moments in their campaigns. United, sitting 13th with 23 points, aim to climb the table under coach Rúben Amorim, following a 2-2 draw against Liverpool.
In contrast, Southampton languishes at the bottom, winless in ten matches, after a demoralizing 0-5 loss to Brentford. With both West Ham and AC Milan expressing interest in Marcus Rashford, United must decide on their squad’s edge ahead of their next clash against Brighton.
Manchester United are the favourites with odds of 1.29 against Southampton’s 9.41. Key match tips suggest betting on a home win given United’s dominance in past fixtures and Southampton’s recent woes.
Referee John Brooks, known for awarding penalties in critical moments, adds an intriguing dynamism to an essential game.
Manchester United vs Southampton Prediction & Betting Tip
Our betting tip for this match is a Manchester United win.
Given Manchester United’s dominance in past encounters and Southampton’s poor form, betting on a home win seems pragmatic.
Betting Details:
| Manchester United vs Southampton Prediction | |
|---|---|
| Betting tip | Odds |
| Manchester United to win | 1.29 |
Why is this betting tip recommended?
- Form and Momentum: United have won three of their last five matches, while Southampton are winless in their last ten Premier League games.
- Statistical Edge: United have conceded fewer goals, and their average goals per match is higher (1.6) compared to Southampton (0.8).
- Past Encounters: In their last five meetings, Manchester United have not lost to Southampton, further solidifying their edge in this fixture.
These factors, combined with home advantage, make a Manchester United win the strongest prediction for this match.
Manchester United vs Southampton Odds
According to the bookmakers, Manchester United are the clear favorites to win this clash. Given their recent dominance over Southampton, it’s no surprise to see such a gap in the odds. However, it’s essential to consider all possible outcomes, especially in football, where surprises can happen.
Betting Odds Table:
| Manchester United vs Southampton Betting Odds | |
|---|---|
| Bet | Odds |
| Manchester United | 1.29 |
| Draw | 5.79 |
| Southampton | 9.41 |
| With United’s current form and squad depth, betting on a home win could be a sensible choice. However, a bet on a draw might appeal to the risk-taker, considering Southampton’s occasional resilience. |
Manchester United Team Analysis
Manchester United Recent Performance
Manchester United have had a mixed set of results in their last five matches, securing only one win against Brighton and a draw against Liverpool. Their recent form shows they have struggled, with three consecutive losses before the Liverpool game.
The Red Devils have averaged 1.60 goals per game in their last five outings but failed to keep a single clean sheet in those matches. With a defense conceding an average of 1.5 goals per match this season, there is certainly work to be done for Rúben Amorim’s squad.
| Home team | Away team | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Manchester United | Liverpool | 2-2 (Draw) |
| Leicester City | Manchester United | 3-1 (Loss) |
| Tottenham | Manchester United | 4-2 (Loss) |
| Manchester United | Chelsea | 1-2 (Loss) |
| Manchester United | Brighton | 2-0 (Win) |
In the upcoming match against Southampton, United will look to leverage their home advantage and bounce back from their recent struggles.
Manchester United Key Players
Manchester United will look to their key players to make a difference in this critical match against Southampton. With Marcus Rashford doubtful due to illness, much of the attacking responsibility will fall on Bruno Fernandes, Amad Diallo, and Rasmus Højlund. Fernandes’ vision and creativity can unlock defenses, while Højlund’s finishing prowess will be vital.
In midfield, Manuel Ugarte and Kobbie Mainoo will play essential roles in maintaining possession and transitioning play. Defensively, Matthijs de Ligt and Harry Maguire need to be solid to address their recent lack of clean sheets.
Expected lineup for Manchester United:
- Goalkeeper: Andre Onana
- Defenders: Matthijs de Ligt, Harry Maguire, Lisandro Martínez, Noussair Mazraoui
- Midfielders: Manuel Ugarte, Kobbie Mainoo, Tyrell Malacia
- Attackers: Amad Diallo, Bruno Fernandes, Rasmus Højlund
Individual battles to watch include Bruno Fernandes against Southampton’s Lesley Ugochukwu in midfield and Rasmus Højlund against Jan Bednarek in the defensive line.
Manchester United Suspensions & Injuries
Manchester United is facing several injury concerns as they head into their match against Southampton. Here’s the current injury and suspension list:
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Luke Shaw | Hamstring | Late January 2025 |
| Mason Mount | Muscle injury | Doubtful |
| Victor Lindelöf | Concussion | Doubtful |
| Marcus Rashford | Illness | Doubtful |
| Player | Suspension | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Diogo Dalot | Red card | 1 match |
The absence of Rashford, Shaw, and possibly Mount will likely affect United’s attacking options and defensive solidity. Rúben Amorim will need to rely on the depth of his squad to compensate for these key players. Rashford’s absence, in particular, could diminish their goal-scoring capability, putting more pressure on Bruno Fernandes and Rasmus Højlund to deliver.
Manchester United Tactics and Formation
Manchester United Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 4-2-3-1
- Key Forward: Rasmus Højlund
- Midfield Duo: Manuel Ugarte, Kobbie Mainoo
- Defensive Setup: Matthijs de Ligt, Harry Maguire, Lisandro Martinez
Rúben Amorim will likely set his team up in a 4-2-3-1 formation, with a focus on solidifying the midfield and utilizing Bruno Fernandes’ creative abilities.
With Diogo Dalot suspended, Noussair Mazraoui might slot in at right-back. Manuel Ugarte and Kobbie Mainoo will form a double pivot, providing both defensive cover and forward thrust.
The wily Bruno Fernandes will pull the strings in attack, supported by wingers Alejandro Garnacho and Tyrell Malacia.
In Rashford’s absence, Rasmus Højlund will lead the line, looking to capitalize on Southampton’s defensive woes, particularly during the vulnerable 76-90 minute interval.
Southampton Team Analysis
Southampton Recent Performance
Southampton’s recent form has been a tough pill to swallow for their fans, with the team managing just one win in their last five matches. This streak is reflective of a difficult season, as they sit at the bottom of the Premier League table. Ivan Jurić’s men have struggled offensively, averaging only 0.80 goals per game in their last five. However, their defense has shown some resilience, keeping two clean sheets during this period.
Here’s a snapshot of their recent results:
| Home team | Away team | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Brentford | Southampton | 1-1 (Draw) |
| Southampton | Chelsea | 1-2 (Loss) |
| Crystal Palace | Southampton | 2-0 (Loss) |
| Southampton | Everton | 0-3 (Loss) |
| Southampton | Leicester City | 1-0 (Win) |
With just six points from 20 games, Southampton has a lot of work to do to avoid relegation. Their defensive frailties, particularly in the latter stages of matches, have been a significant issue this season.
Southampton Key Players
Expected lineup for Southampton:
- Goalkeeper: Aaron Ramsdale
- Defenders: Taylor Harwood-Bellis, Jan Bednarek, Nathan Wood
- Midfielders: Yukinari Sugawara, Flynn Downes, Lesley Ugochukwu, Kyle Walker-Peters
- Attackers: Tyler Dibling, Mateus Fernandes, Paul Onuachu
Adam Armstrong, the top scorer with 2 goals, will be keen to improve his tally. His battle against Manchester United’s defense could be pivotal. Flynn Downes, if fit, will be crucial in the midfield, aiming to disrupt United’s playmakers Bruno Fernandes and Amad Diallo. Ramsdale in goal is another key figure with his ability to keep Southampton in the game, particularly given their defensive struggles.
Southampton Suspensions & Injuries
Southampton is grappling with several injuries that could significantly impact their performance. Their defensive line, in particular, looks stretched, and the absence of key players might make an already challenging match even tougher.
Here are the details:
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Gavin Bazunu | Achilles tendon injury | Mid February 2025 |
| Ross Stewart | Calf injury | Late January 2025 |
| Jack Stephens | Muscle injury | Early February 2025 |
| Flynn Downes | Leg injury | Doubtful |
| Juan Larios | Knock injury | Late January 2025 |
| Will Smallbone | Hamstring injury | Doubtful |
Currently, Southampton has no players serving suspensions:
| Player | Suspension | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| – | – | – |
The potential absence of Flynn Downes and Will Smallbone in midfield could make it difficult for Southampton to control the game against Manchester United. Additionally, the injury to Gavin Bazunu means their goalkeeping options are limited, putting extra pressure on Aaron Ramsdale.
Southampton Tactics and Formation
Southampton’s Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 4-2-3-1
- Goalkeeper: Aaron Ramsdale
- Defensive Line: Taylor Harwood-Bellis, Jan Bednarek, Nathan Wood, and Kyle Walker-Peters
- Midfield Duo: Flynn Downes and Lesley Ugochukwu
- Attacking Trio: Yukinari Sugawara, Tyler Dibling, Mateus Fernandes
- Center Forward: Paul Onuachu
Southampton prefers a balanced approach, focusing on defensive solidity with Ramsdale in goal and a central defensive partnership of Bednarek and Wood. Downes and Ugochukwu anchor the midfield, providing both defensive cover and support to the attacking trio. Sugawara and Fernandes provide width, while Dibling operates more centrally to link up with Onuachu.
Despite their defensive setup, Southampton has managed to keep two clean sheets in their last five games. Their notable strategy involves absorbing pressure and attempting to exploit through balls in the attacking phase.
Manchester United vs Southampton Head-to-Head Statistics
When analyzing the head-to-head encounters between Manchester United and Southampton over their last five meetings, it’s evident that United have had the upper hand with decisive performances.
The following table illustrates the results:
| Home | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Southampton | Manchester United | 0-3 |
| Manchester United | Southampton | 0-0 |
| Southampton | Manchester United | 0-1 |
| Manchester United | Southampton | 1-1 |
| Southampton | Manchester United | 1-1 |
These past games show dominance by Manchester United, securing three wins and two draws. United’s ability to score and maintain defensive solidity has been key. As they head into this match, they’ll be looking to replicate these past performances and secure another crucial victory.
Odds accurate as of 14/01/2025 20:01, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.
