RB Leipzig vs Mainz 05 Prediction and Betting Tips - bettingexpert
As we head into the 24th round of the Bundesliga, RB Leipzig and Mainz 05 are poised for an exciting clash at Red Bull Arena Leipzig. Both teams are currently tied with 38 points, occupying the 5th and 6th positions in the league standings, respectively. This match holds significant importance as the teams battle for a stronger position in the top half of the table.
RB Leipzig, under the guidance of Marco Rose, have been resilient in their recent outings, displaying solid defensive performances with four clean sheets in their last five games. Benjamin Sesko, their top scorer with 10 goals, will be key alongside Xavi Simons, who is reportedly on Liverpool’s radar as a potential replacement for Mohamed Salah. Despite a host of injuries, Leipzig is favoured by bookmakers to edge out a victory.
Mainz 05, managed by Bo Henriksen, have also shown commendable form, especially in defence, maintaining four clean sheets in their last five matches. Jonathan Burkardt, with 13 goals, leads their attacking line. Mainz will need another strong defensive display to contain Leipzig’s attacking threats.
Given the home advantage and their slight edge in quality, our prediction leans toward a 2-1 win for RB Leipzig. Betting tips favour Leipzig to win, reflecting their motivation and stronger tactical setup. A tight contest is expected, with both teams pushing hard to secure crucial points.
RB Leipzig vs Mainz 05 Prediction & Betting Tip
Our recommended betting tip for this match is for RB Leipzig to win. This prediction is based on the recent form of both teams and key match facts that could sway the outcome in Leipzig’s favor.
| RB Leipzig vs Mainz 05 Prediction | |
|---|---|
| Betting tip | Odds |
| RB Leipzig to win | 1.91 |
Here are some key reasons backing this prediction:
- Home advantage: Leipzig will be buoyed by the support at Red Bull Arena Leipzig.
- Defensive resilience: With four clean sheets in their last five games, Leipzig’s defense is solid.
- Key players: With attackers like Benjamin Sesko and Xavi Simons, Leipzig has the firepower to clinch a win.
Given these factors, a Leipzig victory seems likely, with a predicted scoreline of 2-1. This could be an engaging match considering the strengths and weaknesses of both sides, but with Leipzig’s recent performances, they look set to come out on top.
RB Leipzig Team Analysis
RB Leipzig Recent Performance
RB Leipzig’s recent form has been quite solid, with the team demonstrating a strong defensive setup and consistent performances.
| Home team | Away team | Result |
|---|---|---|
| RB Leipzig | Wolfsburg | 1-0 (Win) |
| RB Leipzig | FC Heidenheim | 2-2 (Draw) |
| Augsburg | RB Leipzig | 0-0 (Draw) |
| RB Leipzig | St. Pauli | 2-0 (Win) |
| Union Berlin | RB Leipzig | 0-0 (Draw) |
Recent Form: WDDWD
RB Leipzig’s defense has been rock-solid, keeping four clean sheets in their last five matches. Despite their defensive resilience, they haven’t been particularly prolific in front of goal, averaging just 1 goal per game in the same span. This stability at the back ensures they stay competitive, and with attackers like Xavi Simons and Benjamin Sesko, they have the capability to secure crucial wins. Their last match against Wolfsburg, a 1-0 victory, underscores their defensive fortitude and ability to grind out results.
RB Leipzig Key Players
RB Leipzig’s key players will be pivotal in the upcoming match.
- Xavi Simons: Highly rated and recently linked with a potential move to Liverpool. His creativity and vision make him a crucial playmaker.
- Benjamin Sesko: With 10 goals this season, he is Leipzig’s top scorer. His ability to find the net will be vital.
- Peter Gulacsi: Expected to start in goal following Maarten Vandevoordt’s recent run; his experience and shot-stopping abilities will be needed.
Expected Lineup for RB Leipzig:
- Goalkeeper: Peter Gulacsi
- Defenders: Nicolas Seiwald, Willi Orban, Castello Lukeba
- Midfielders: Ridle Baku, Amadou Haidara, Kevin Kampl, David Raum, Xavi Simons
- Forwards: Benjamin Sesko, Loïs Openda
Look out for key individual battles, particularly Sesko against Mainz’s robust defensive line including Moritz Jenz.
RB Leipzig Suspensions & Injuries
RB Leipzig has several injury concerns and a suspension that could impact their performance against Mainz 05. Here’s a detailed look:
Injuries:
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Assan Ouédraogo | Hamstring Injury | Mid April 2025 |
| Benjamin Henrichs | Achilles tendon injury | Out for season |
| Xaver Schlager | Knee surgery | Mid April 2025 |
| Antonio Nusa | Knee injury | Late March 2025 |
| Yussuf Poulsen | Muscle injury | About a week |
| Christoph Baumgartner | Illness | A few days |
| Christoph Baumgartner | Yellow cards | 1 match suspension |
These absences, particularly of key players like Henrichs and Baumgartner, might affect Leipzig’s defensive stability and midfield creativity. Coach Marco Rose will need to rely on squad depth to maintain performance levels.
RB Leipzig Tactics and Formation
RB Leipzig Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 3-5-2
- Key Forward: Benjamin Šeško
- Midfield Creativity: Xavi Simons
- Defensive Line: Nicolas Seiwald, Willi Orban, and Castello Lukeba
Leipzig employs a dynamic 3-5-2 formation, which allows them to dominate in the midfield while maintaining a solid defensive core.
Key Forward:
- Benjamin Šeško, with 10 goals, spearheads the attack.
Midfield Creativity:
- Xavi Simons, highly coveted by top European clubs, provides creativity and flair.
Defensive Line:
- Nicolas Seiwald, Willi Orban, and Castello Lukeba have been performing consistently, leading to four clean sheets in the last five games.
Notable Strategy:
- They often score the most goals between the 46-60-minute mark, which shows their ability to regroup and attack strongly post-halftime.
Given their recent form and tactical setup, expect Leipzig to employ high pressing, quick transitions, and strong wing play.
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Mainz 05 Team Analysis
Mainz 05 Recent Performance
- Recent Form: WWDLW
- Average Goals Scored: 1.20
- Clean Sheets in Last 5 Games: 4
Mainz 05 have showcased solid form in their recent fixtures, securing three wins, a draw, and one loss in their last five outings. Their defensive strength is evident with four clean sheets, signaling a resilient backline.
With an average of 1.20 goals scored per match, Mainz 05’s attack is spearheaded by Jonathan Burkardt. As they prepare to face RB Leipzig, their form and ability to maintain defensive solidity will be crucial.
Mainz 05 Key Players
Mainz 05 enter this clash with some key players who could make a significant impact. Jonathan Burkardt stands out as their main offensive threat, having scored 13 goals this season. He will be crucial in breaking down a strong RB Leipzig defense that has kept four clean sheets in their last five matches.
Nadiem Amiri, a dynamic midfielder, has been pivotal in linking play and could be the creative spark Mainz needs to unlock Leipzig’s defense.
Expected lineup for Mainz 05:
- Goalkeeper: Robin Zentner
- Defenders: Danny da Costa, Moritz Jenz, Andreas Hanche-Olsen
- Midfielders: Anthony Caci, Kaishu Sano, Nadiem Amiri, Silvan Widmer, Paul Nebel, Jae-Sung Lee
- Forward: Jonathan Burkardt
Keep an eye on the duel between Burkardt and RB Leipzig’s central defender Willi Orban—it could be decisive.
Mainz 05 Suspensions & Injuries
Mainz 05 will need to navigate some absences in their squad as they head into this crucial clash against RB Leipzig. The team has both suspensions and injuries to contend with, which could impact their performance.
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Stefan Bell | Hamstring Injury | Late March 2025 |
| Phillipp Mwene | Ankle Injury | Late March 2025 |
| Dominik Kohr | Yellow cards | 1 match left |
Mainz 05 Tactics and Formation
Mainz 05 Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 5-4-1
- Key Forward: Jonathan Burkardt
- Midfield Duo: Kaishu Sano and Nadiem Amiri
- Defensive Strength: Four clean sheets in the last five games.
- Notable Strategy: Utilizing wing-backs for both offensive and defensive duties.
Mainz 05 will likely set up with a defensive 5-4-1 formation aimed at frustrating RB Leipzig’s attacking efforts. Jonathan Burkardt will spearhead the attack, relying on quick transitions and counter-attacks.
Midfielders Kaishu Sano and Nadiem Amiri will be crucial in maintaining possession and linking play. Expect Mainz to rely on their wing-backs, Anthony Caci and Silvan Widmer, to provide width and support on both ends of the pitch.
Their notable strategy includes maintaining a compact defense and utilizing their wing-backs to exploit any space left by Leipzig’s wide players.
RB Leipzig vs Mainz 05 Head-to-Head Statistics
In their last five encounters, both RB Leipzig and Mainz 05 have shared their wins fairly equally, showing a competitive edge between them. Here’s a look at how these matches played out:
| Home | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Mainz 05 | RB Leipzig | 0-2 |
| RB Leipzig | Mainz 05 | 0-0 |
| Mainz 05 | RB Leipzig | 2-0 |
| RB Leipzig | Mainz 05 | 0-3 |
| Mainz 05 | RB Leipzig | 1-1 |
Overall, it has been a mixed bag of results, with each side securing crucial victories. The most recent game in October saw RB Leipzig claim a solid 2-0 away win.
This type of history makes for an intriguing matchup, as both teams are currently tied on points and will be eager to edge ahead. Expect a fiercely contested game at the Red Bull Arena Leipzig.
Odds accurate as of 27 February 2025 at 14:31, and are subject to change.
Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.
