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PSG vs Lille Prediction - Ligue 1 Fixtures

Paris Saint-Germain-Lille
Ligue 1
Fulltime
Paris Saint-GermainParis Saint-Germain
4 - 1
LilleLille
(HT 4-0)

PSG vs Lille prediction preview from Le Parc des Princes as both teams will look to get a decent result on the board before their midweek Champions League encounters. PSG seem irresistible at the moment, racking up 18 wins in their last 19 matches. However they face a well coached Lille outfit so this won’t be an easy game. 

Low intensity encounter possible between two teams looking ahead

France, Ligue 1, Saturday, March 1st, 20:05 (UK)

PSG are now 13 points clear at the top of the Ligue 1 table and the title is effectively secure. None of the teams below are looking a particular threat anyway but despite the prospect of an invincible domestic campaign the main priority for Les Parisians will now be a mouth-watering Champions League tie vs Liverpool. With the first leg just a few days away we should expect to see PSG put most of their eggs into that basket with rotation likely but also the possibility of a substandard performance. 

Lille travel here with a more immediate need of points but they also have a big upcoming Champions League game facing Borussia Dortmund to think about. If you offered both teams a draw right now along with a clean bill of health I’m sure either side would happily sign for it. What we could see is a relatively low intensity encounter which peters out into a low scoring affair. Lille are strong in big games anyway and with both defences proven to be two of the best in the league, there could be a lack of goals. Lille wanted to try and get this match postponed which might show their mentality of wanting to get in and out of the capital with no damage. 

We don’t know the PSG lineup but they would be more likely to start their best players in defence rather than in attack. The Ligue 1 leaders will give Lille some respect due to their performances in the Champions League and will want to get through this game with the minimum of fuss. Lille for their part, have only lost twice away from home and would be very happy to escape with a point and frustrate PSG. Under 3.5 goals could be an option but at the odds then backing under 2.5 goals looks too big considering what is coming up on the horizon for both sides.

  • PSG vs Lille Prediction: Under 2.5 goals (TRACKED BET)
  • Best Odds: 2.75
  • Bookmaker: bet365
  • Stake: 4/10 (TRACKED BET)

PSG vs Lille Prediction odds via bet365 as at 09:00, February 27th, 2024. Odds may now differ.

PSG vs Lille Team News: PSG rotation possible before the Champions League

There could definitely be a weakened XI fielded by PSG, similar to the side which started against Stade Briochin in the French Cup. The likes of Marquinhos, Vitinha, Neves and key men Dembele and Barcola are all candidates to be benched here before their huge match against Liverpool in the Champions League. Lee Kang-in is doubtful due to injury. The exact makeup of the XI is difficult to predict but no risks will be taken with anyone who is carrying a knock. 

Winger Mitchel Bakker should return from suspension and Lille lineup in either a 4-2-3-1 or 4-2-2-2 system. The likes of Edon Zhegrova and Tiago Santos are out injured long term. Midfield playmaker Remy Cabella is doubtful with a hamstring injury but has been back in training and could feature. 

PSG possible starting lineup:
Donnarumma, Hernandez, Pacho, Beraldo, Hakimi, Mayulu, Ruiz, Kvaratskhelia, Ramos, Doue

Lille possible starting lineup:
Chevalier, Gudmundsson, Diakite Alexsandro, Meunier, Andre, Bouaddi, Haraldsson, Mukau, Bakker, David

Match OPTA Stats: Both teams with strong defensive metrics

  • PSG remain unbeaten in Ligue 1 and have the best xG and xGA metrics in the division
  • Lille have obtained the third most cards of any team (57) whilst PSG have obtained the fewest (28)
  • Both teams rank in the top 3 for possession stats at 69.1% and 64.1% respectively 
  • These two teams average the lowest shots against per game (9.50 and 9.80)
  • PSG have the best defensive record in Ligue 1, conceding just 22 goals. Lille have the second best record (23 conceded)

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