Lecce vs. Venezia Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 6 April 2025 - bettingexpert

It’s crunch time in Serie A as 17th-placed Lecce host 19th-placed Venezia at Stadio Ettore Giardiniero – Via del Mare. Both teams are fighting tooth and nail to escape the relegation zone, making this clash a vital fixture in the broader narrative of the season.

Lecce, under the stewardship of Marco Giampaolo, are struggling to find their form, having lost their last five matches. Their defense has been particularly leaky, conceding an average of 1.6 goals per game this season. On their home turf, they’ll be hoping to turn the tide, especially with Nikola Krstovic spearheading their attack.

In contrast, Venezia, managed by Eusebio Di Francesco, have displayed more resilience. Despite having a string of draws recently, their defense stands strong with three clean sheets in the last five games. The side’s momentum, especially in attacking play, makes them strong contenders for victory.

With referee Marco Piccinini officiating, a game known for its tight scorelines could see fewer goals. The recommended bet is for Venezia to win, given Lecce’s defensive issues and inconsistency at home. This match, featuring significant stakes, could shape the relegation battle in Serie A.

Lecce vs Venezia Prediction & Betting tip

Lecce vs Venezia Prediction
Betting tip	Odds
Venezia to Win	3.38

• Defensive Issues: Lecce has conceded an average of 1.6 goals per match this season, highlighting their defensive frailties.
• Clean Sheets: Venezia has managed three clean sheets in their last five games, showcasing their defensive resilience.
• Momentum: Despite recent draws, Venezia has shown strong form compared to Lecce’s five consecutive losses.

Given these factors, Venezia seems more likely to come out on top in this crucial relegation battle.

Lecce vs Venezia Odds

Lecce vs Venezia Betting Odds
Bet	Odds
Lecce	2.28
Draw	3.05
Venezia	3.38

Lecce comes into this match as the bookmaker’s favorite, but their poor form and defensive issues make this hardly a sure bet. With five consecutive losses, their odds of 2.28 reflect cautious optimism.

On the other hand, Venezia, despite being in 19th place, offers some value at 3.38. Their solid defensive record in recent matches and overall resilience might make them a dark horse in this crucial encounter. Even a draw, at 3.05, seems a reasonable possibility given both teams’ struggles.

Lecce Team Analysis

Lecce Recent Performance

Home team	Away team	Date	Competition	Result
Lecce	Roma	2025-03-29	Serie A	0-1 (Loss)
Genoa	Lecce	2025-03-14	Serie A	2-1 (Loss)
Lecce	AC Milan	2025-03-08	Serie A	2-3 (Loss)
Fiorentina	Lecce	2025-02-28	Serie A	1-0 (Loss)
Lecce	Udinese	2025-02-21	Serie A	0-1 (Loss)

Lecce’s recent form has been abysmal, with five consecutive losses. This dreadful streak has seen them struggle defensively, conceding an average of 1.6 goals per game this season, and failing to keep any clean sheets in their last five matches.

Offensively, they have not fared much better, averaging only 0.60 goals per match during this period. Despite their challenges, Nikola Krstovic continues to be a bright spot, being their top scorer with 10 goals this season. Their current 17th position with 25 points emphasizes the urgency for a turnaround in form.

Lecce Key Players

Nikola Krstovic stands out as Lecce’s primary attacking threat, having netted 10 goals this season. His performance will be crucial in breaking Venezia’s stout defense, which has achieved three clean sheets in their last five matches.
Key battles to watch include Krstovic vs Venezia’s central back Jay Idzes, as this could significantly impact the game’s outcome.
For Lecce, the midfield dynamics will be driven by Ylber Ramadani and Thorir Helgason, who are essential in controlling the tempo and providing service to the forwards.

Expected lineup for Lecce:

• Goalkeeper: Wladimiro Falcone
• Defenders: Frédéric Guilbert, Federico Baschirotto, Kialonda Gaspar, Antonino Gallo
• Midfielders: Lassana Coulibaly, Thorir Helgason, Santiago Pierotti, Ylber Ramadani, Jesper Karlsson
• Forward: Nikola Krstovic

Lecce Suspensions & Injuries

Lecce is dealing with a significant injury blow, as Filip Marchwinski is out for the season due to a cruciate ligament injury. His absence will impact the team’s midfield depth and creativity.

Player	Injury	Expected return
Filip Marchwinski	Cruciate ligament injury	Out for season

This injury limits Coach Marco Giampaolo’s options in the midfield, potentially hampering Lecce’s ability to control games and deliver quality balls to their forward, Nikola Krstovic. The squad will need to adapt quickly to fill this crucial gap.

Lecce Tactics and Formation

Lecce Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-2-3-1
• Key Forward: Nikola Krstovic
• Midfield Duo: Lassana Coulibaly, Thórir Jóhann Helgason
• Defensive Line: Frederic Guilbert, Federico Baschirotto, Kialonda Gaspar, Antonino Gallo
• Goalkeeper: Wladimiro Falcone

Lecce’s recent form shows they’re struggling defensively, as evidenced by five consecutive losses. However, Coach Marco Giampaolo sticks with a 4-2-3-1 formation to maintain balance.

Krstovic, with 10 goals, remains their main attacking threat. The midfield duo of Coulibaly and Helgason will be critical in transitioning from defense to attack. The back four, marshaled by Baschirotto, need to tighten up to avoid conceding easy goals.

Expect Lecce to play cautiously, focusing on solid defense and looking for opportunities to counter-attack swiftly through their wingers, Pierotti and Karlsson.

Venezia Team Analysis

Venezia Recent Performance

Venezia’s recent form has been marked by four draws and a single loss in their last five matches. Despite not securing a win, they have managed to keep clean sheets in three of those games, showing solid defensive resilience. However, their attacking output has been a concern, with an average of only 0.20 goals scored per match during this period.

Home team	Away team	Date	Competition	Result
Venezia	Bologna	2025-03-29	Serie A	0-1 (Loss)
Venezia	Napoli	2025-03-16	Serie A	0-0 (Draw)
Como	Venezia	2025-03-08	Serie A	1-1 (Draw)
Atalanta	Venezia	2025-03-01	Serie A	0-0 (Draw)
Venezia	Lazio	2025-02-22	Serie A	0-0 (Draw)

Venezia has shown a struggling attack but a robust defense, conceding only three goals in their last five matches. Their inability to convert opportunities into goals remains a concern. Their defensive form will be crucial against Lecce’s attack.

Venezia Key Players

Expected lineup for Venezia:

• Goalkeeper: Ionut Andrei Radu
• Defenders: Joël Schingtienne, Jay Idzes, Fali Candé
• Midfielders: Alessio Zerbin, Kike Pérez, Hans Nicolussi Caviglia, Gianluca Busio, Mikael Egill Ellertsson
• Forwards: Gaetano Oristanio, Daniel Fila

Key players for Venezia include top scorer Joel Pohjanpalo, who has scored 6 goals this season. Though he hasn’t featured in their last lineup, he could still play a significant role if he returns.
In midfield, Gianluca Busio has been vital with his ability to manage the game’s tempo. Defensively, the trio of Schingtienne, Idzes, and Candé have been rock solid, evident from Venezia’s three clean sheets in the last five games.

Watch out for individual battles such as Pohjanpalo against Lecce’s central defenders, which could determine the game’s outcome.

Venezia Suspensions & Injuries

Player	Injury	Expected return
Michael Svoboda	Knee injury	Unknown
Filip Stankovic	Hamstring injury	Doubtful
Mirko Marić	Physical discomfort	Mid April 2025
Alfred Duncan	Physical discomfort	Doubtful

Venezia’s injury list includes key figures like Michael Svoboda and Filip Stankovic, whose absences could impact their defensive solidity. Mirko Marić and Alfred Duncan are also dealing with physical issues.

With multiple players doubtful or returning late, coach Eusebio Di Francesco will need to manage his resources carefully. This may limit Venezia’s depth and options, particularly as they look to improve their attacking output.

Venezia Tactics and Formation

Venezia Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 3-5-2
• Key Forward: Daniel Fila
• Midfield Engine Room: Alessio Zerbin, Kike Pérez, Hans Nicolussi Caviglia, Gianluca Busio, Mikael Egill Ellertsson
• Defensive Robustness: Three clean sheets in the last five games
• Notable Strategy: Compact defensive setup with three center-backs; reliance on wing-backs to provide width in attack

Venezia’s 3-5-2 formation is designed to maximize defensive solidity while allowing for quick transitions. In the attacking phase, Fila and Oristanio will look to exploit Lecce’s defensive vulnerabilities, particularly aiming to score during counter-attacks. The midfield five provide a balanced mix of defensive cover and attacking support, with Caviglia orchestrating from the central position. The wing-backs play a crucial role in providing width and delivering crosses, while the three central defenders aim to stymie Lecce’s forward moves. Venezia’s recent run of draws underlines their defensive strengths but highlights the need for added creativity up front.

Lecce vs Venezia Head-to-Head Statistics

Home team	Away team	Date	Competition	Result
Venezia	Lecce	2024-11-25	Serie A	0-1 (Loss)
Lecce	Venezia	2021-05-20	Serie B Promotion Playoff	1-1 (Draw)
Venezia	Lecce	2021-05-17	Serie B Promotion Playoff	1-0 (Win)
Venezia	Lecce	2021-03-16	Serie B	2-3 (Loss)
Lecce	Venezia	2020-12-05	Serie B	2-2 (Draw)

Both teams have had competitive encounters over the past few years. Less than 2.5 goals have been scored in 80% of their last five meetings, indicating tight, low-scoring affairs. Lecce holds a slight edge with two wins in these matchups, while Venezia has one win and two draws.

Odds accurate as of 04.04.2025 11:31, and are subject to change.
Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any {bookmaker}.