Lecce vs. Roma Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips - bettingexpert
This Saturday, 29 March 2025, at 19:45, Lecce will host Roma at the Stadio Ettore Giardiniero – Via del Mare for an intriguing Serie A clash. Currently sitting 16th in the standings with 25 points, Lecce will be eager to secure a much-needed win to stave off relegation fears. Meanwhile, Roma, in 7th place with 49 points, are fighting for a spot in the Champions League, trailing the top 4 by just 4 points.
Lecce will need to overcome their recent poor form (LLDLD) and a formidable Roma side that has been in stellar form, winning their last four league matches. With Roma historically dominating this fixture, the odds are stacked in their favour.
Key player Artem Dovbyk, who leads Roma’s attack with 10 goals, will be crucial. Roma, the bookmakers’ favourite, is tipped to win this encounter.
Recommended bet: Roma to win.
Lecce vs Roma Prediction & Betting Tip
| Lecce vs Roma Prediction | |
|---|---|
| Betting tip | Odds |
| Roma to win | 1.83 |
- Roma is in excellent form, having won three of their last five matches, while Lecce hasn’t won any.
- Roma has historically dominated this fixture, securing wins in most recent encounters.
- Lecce’s current poor form and position (16th) make them vulnerable against a strong Roma side.
Backing Roma to win gives you a promising bet due to their recent performances and historical strength against Lecce.
Lecce vs Roma Odds
Here’s a quick look at the betting odds for this Serie A clash:
| Lecce vs Roma Betting Odds | |
|---|---|
| Bet | Odds |
| Lecce | 4.49 |
| Draw | 3.46 |
| Roma | 1.83 |
Roma comes into this match as the bookmaker’s favorite, which isn’t surprising given their current form and higher league standing. With Roma fighting for a top-four spot and Lecce struggling near the relegation zone, these odds reflect the likely outcome of this encounter. Betting on Roma to win appears to be a strong choice.
Lecce Team Analysis
Lecce Recent Performance
Lecce’s recent performances have been a struggle, leaving them firmly in a battle against relegation. Over their last five matches, they have failed to secure a victory, with four losses and one draw:
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genoa | Lecce | 2025-03-14 | Serie A | 2-1 (Loss) |
| Lecce | AC Milan | 2025-03-08 | Serie A | 2-3 (Loss) |
| Fiorentina | Lecce | 2025-02-28 | Serie A | 1-0 (Loss) |
| Lecce | Udinese | 2025-02-21 | Serie A | 0-1 (Loss) |
| Monza | Lecce | 2025-02-16 | Serie A | 0-0 (Draw) |
Recent Form: LLLLD
Their lack of victories is alarming, but what’s more concerning is their inability to consistently find the back of the net, averaging just 0.60 goals scored per game in their last five outings. Defensively, they’ve managed only one clean sheet in this period, indicating struggles at both ends of the pitch.
The home match against Roma will test their resolve, especially given that they have conceded most of their goals in the 31-45 minute window this season.
Lecce Key Players
Lecce will rely heavily on their key players to try and secure a much-needed victory against Roma. Leading the charge is their top scorer, Nikola Krstovic, who has notched up 10 goals this season. He’ll be the focal point of their attack, looking to exploit any weaknesses in Roma’s defense.
In the midfield, Lassana Coulibaly and Thórir Jóhann Helgason will be crucial in both breaking up Roma’s play and providing support to Krstovic up front.
Defensively, Frédéric Guilbert and Federico Baschirotto will need to be in top form to keep Roma’s potent attack at bay, especially given the threat posed by Artem Dovbyk.
Expected lineup for Lecce:
- Goalkeeper: Wladimiro Falcone
- Defenders: Frédéric Guilbert, Federico Baschirotto, Gaby Jean, Antonino Gallo
- Midfielders: Lassana Coulibaly, Thórir Jóhann Helgason, Santiago Pierotti, Medon Berisha, Tete Morente
- Forward: Nikola Krstovic
Lecce Suspensions & Injuries
Lecce has a significant concern with injuries heading into the match against Roma. Filip Marchwinski is out for the remainder of the season due to a cruciate ligament injury, which is a major loss for the team.
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Filip Marchwinski | Cruciate ligament injury | Out for season |
This injury will force Lecce to adjust their midfield strategy as Marchwinski was a key player in distributing the ball and breaking up the opposition’s play. Without him, the burden will fall more heavily on Lassana Coulibaly and Thórir Jóhann Helgason to fill the void.
Lecce Tactics and Formation
Lecce Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 4-2-3-1
- Key Forward: Nikola Krstovic
- Midfield Duo: Lassana Coulibaly and Thórir Jóhann Helgason
- Defensive Line: Single clean sheet in the last five games
Lecce stick to a 4-2-3-1 formation under Marco Giampaolo. The key forward in this setup is Nikola Krstovic, who has netted 10 goals this season. Midfield duties will primarily lie with Lassana Coulibaly and Thórir Jóhann Helgason, who are expected to shield the defense and link play.
In defense, Lecce will deploy a back four, aiming to improve their clean sheet record, which has only seen one shutout in their last five fixtures. Considering their recent struggles, Lecce will have to be wary of conceding goals in the 31-45 minute interval, their most vulnerable period.
Roma Team Analysis
Roma Recent Performance
Recent Form: LWWWW
Roma has been in impressive form, with four wins and one loss in their last five matches across all competitions. They’ve been consistent both in the league and in Europe, showcasing their strength and resilience.
With an average of 1.40 goals scored per game in their last five encounters, Roma’s attack is potent, and their defense has kept two clean sheets.
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roma | Cagliari | 2025-03-16 | Serie A | 1-0 (Win) |
| Athletic Club | Roma | 2025-03-13 | Europa League Final Stage | 3-1 (Loss) |
| Empoli | Roma | 2025-03-09 | Serie A | 0-1 (Win) |
| Roma | Athletic Club | 2025-03-06 | Europa League Final Stage | 2-1 (Win) |
| Roma | Como | 2025-03-02 | Serie A | 2-1 (Win) |
Roma’s recent form suggests a team that’s pushing hard for a strong finish this season, especially with the likes of Artem Dovbyk leading the line.
Roma Key Players
Expected lineup for Roma:
- Goalkeeper: Mile Svilar
- Defenders: Gianluca Mancini, Mats Hummels, Evan N’Dicka
- Midfielders: Alexis Saelemaekers, Manu Koné, Leandro Paredes, Angeliño
- Attackers: Matias Soule, Lorenzo Pellegrini, Artem Dovbyk
Roma’s key players include their top scorer, Artem Dovbyk, who has netted 10 goals this season. His clinical finishing will be crucial against Lecce’s defense.
Lorenzo Pellegrini, expected to start as an attacking midfielder, brings creativity and vision, making him a playmaker to watch.
In defense, Gianluca Mancini will be vital in maintaining Roma’s stability, potentially facing off against Lecce’s top scorer Nikola Krstovic.
Leandro Paredes’ experience in central midfield will be pivotal in controlling the tempo and distribution for Roma.
Roma Suspensions & Injuries
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Paulo Dybala | Hamstring Injury | Out for season |
| Devyne Rensch | Thigh injury | Early April 2025 |
| Saud Abdulhamid | Thigh injury | Doubtful |
| Anass Salah-Eddine | Foot injury | Mid April 2025 |
Injuries are mounting for Roma, affecting key players. Paulo Dybala’s hamstring injury rules him out for the season, depriving the team of one of its most flamboyant attackers. Devyne Rensch is scheduled to return in early April but will miss this match, and the fitness of both Saud Abdulhamid and Anass Salah-Eddine is in question.
These absences could impact Roma’s defensive stability and attacking options, giving Lecce a potential opening despite Roma’s historical dominance in head-to-head encounters.
Roma Tactics and Formation
Roma’s Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 3-4-2-1
- Key Forward: Artem Dovbyk
- Midfield Quartet: Alexis Saelemaekers, Manu Koné, Leandro Paredes, Angeliño
- Defensive Line: Gianluca Mancini, Mats Hummels, Evan N’Dicka
- Notable Strategy: Leveraging midfield dominance with wing-backs pushing forward.
With key injuries and suspensions, Roma relies heavily on Dovbyk up front, supported by Pellegrini and Soule to keep attacking threats alive. Defensively, the trio of Mancini, Hummels, and N’Dicka aims for solidity. Koné and Paredes hold the central midfield, creating a balance between defense and attack. Expect Roma to utilize quick transitions and maintain a compact shape, making it difficult for Lecce to break through their lines.
Lecce vs Roma Head-to-Head Statistics
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roma | Lecce | 2024-12-07 | Serie A | 4-1 (Loss) |
| Lecce | Roma | 2024-04-01 | Serie A | 0-0 (Draw) |
| Roma | Lecce | 2023-11-05 | Serie A | 2-1 (Loss) |
| Lecce | Roma | 2023-02-11 | Serie A | 1-1 (Draw) |
| Roma | Lecce | 2022-10-09 | Serie A | 2-1 (Loss) |
In their recent encounters, Roma has consistently had the upper hand over Lecce. The most notable fixture was the December 2024 clash where Roma delivered a decisive 4-1 victory. Lecce has managed two draws at home in their last five meetings with Roma, indicating their capability to occasionally disrupt Roma’s rhythm. Overall, Roma’s dominant form against Lecce could play a crucial role in the upcoming match.
Odds accurate as of 27th March 2025 19:46, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.
