Monza vs. Lecce Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 16 February 2025 - bettingexpert

Monza find themselves in a challenging position as they host Lecce at the U-Power Stadium on 16 February 2025. This Serie A clash is particularly crucial for the home side, who are currently bottom of the league with just 14 points from 24 games. Lecce, sitting in 15th place with 25 points, will see this as an opportunity to pull further away from the relegation zone.

The match will be officiated by Giuseppe Collu. Monza’s recent form has been dismal, with their last five results reading DLLLL. However, they’ve brought in reinforcements like Keita Balde to bolster their squad and hopefully improve their standing.

Lecce, on the other hand, have shown resilience in away matches and rely on a structured defensive setup coupled with quick counterattacks. Their form is slightly better with a DDWLL record in their last five games.

Considering the teams’ recent performances and Monza’s defensive vulnerabilities, our prediction leans towards a Lecce victory. The recommended bet is on Lecce to win, with odds of 3.30 reflecting their potential to exploit Monza’s weaknesses.

This fixture is essential for both sides but especially for Monza, who are increasingly desperate to amass points and avoid relegation.

Monza vs Lecce Prediction & Betting Tip

Considering Monza’s poor form and defensive vulnerabilities, along with Lecce’s resilience in away matches, our recommended betting tip is a Lecce victory. The odds of 3.30 reflect Lecce’s capability of exploiting Monza’s weaknesses and capitalizing on counterattacks.

Monza vs Lecce Prediction
Betting Tip	Odds
Lecce to Win	3.30

• Lecce have shown resilience in away matches, managing to grind out results against stronger teams.
• Monza have struggled at home, with a record of one win and nine losses in their last ten games.
• Recent interactions between the teams have been closely contested, with Lecce often capitalizing on Monza’s defensive errors.

The match on 16 February 2025 at the U-Power Stadium will be crucial, especially for Monza, who need to improve their form drastically to avoid relegation.

Monza vs Lecce Odds

This match presents interesting betting odds, with Monza as the bookmaker’s favourite despite their poor form. Here’s a breakdown of the odds:

Monza vs Lecce Betting Odds
Bet	Odds
Monza	2.12
Draw	3.00
Lecce	3.30

Lecce’s odds of 3.30 make them an enticing underdog bet, especially given Monza’s struggles and Lecce’s resilience in away matches. Monza being the favourite at 2.12 seems optimistic, considering their winless streak and current position at the bottom of the league table. A draw at 3.00 also holds potential, given the close encounters historically between these sides.

Monza Team Analysis

Monza Recent Performance

Monza’s recent form has been disappointing, with no wins in their last five matches. They have only managed to score 0.80 goals on average per game and have not kept any clean sheets in this period, highlighting their defensive vulnerabilities.

Home team	Away team	Result
Monza	Lecce	0-0 (Draw)
Lazio	Monza	5-1 (Loss)
Monza	Verona	0-1 (Loss)
Genoa	Monza	2-0 (Loss)
Bologna	Monza	3-1 (Loss)

Monza has struggled at home, contributing to their current position at the bottom of the league table. Alessandro Nesta’s side will need their recent addition, Kacper Urbański, to step up and bring some fresh energy to the team. Despite recruiting experienced players like Keita Balde and several winter window signings, Monza’s on-field performance hasn’t shown much improvement.
They have scored in 75% of their home matches this season, but their defense remains a significant concern. Avoiding relegation will require a significant turnaround in both performance and results.

Monza Key Players

Monza will certainly lean heavily on their top scorer, Dany Mota, who has netted 4 goals this season. His performance will be crucial as they look to exploit any gaps in Lecce’s defense. Alongside him, recent signing Keita Balde, who offers experience and versatility, could be a game-changer if he adapts quickly.
In midfield, Kacper Urbanski, one of the nine winter window signings, will need to drive Monza forward and create opportunities for the attackers.
Despite their struggles, goalkeeper Stefano Turati will need to be on top of his game against Lecce’s threatening quick counterattacks.

Expected lineup for Monza:

• Goalkeeper: Stefano Turati
• Defenders: Danilo D’Ambrosio, Armando Izzo, Andrea Carboni
• Midfielders: Pedro Pereira, Kacper Urbanski, Alessandro Bianco, Georgios Kyriakopoulos
• Attackers: Dany Mota, Patrick Ciurria, Silvere Ganvoula

Monza Suspensions & Injuries

Monza will be missing several key players due to various injuries, which could seriously impact their performance against Lecce:

Player	Injury	Expected return
Roberto Gagliardini	Muscle injury	Unknown
Matteo Pessina	Hamstring injury	Doubtful
Luca Caldirola	Hamstring injury	Late February 2025
Samuele Birindelli	Muscle injury	Late February 2025
Jean Daniel Akpa Akpro	Muscle injury	Doubtful
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The absences of regular starters like Gagliardini and Pessina, who are instrumental in midfield, will be deeply felt. Additionally, the defensive unit will miss Caldirola and Birindelli, leaving notable gaps. Coach Alessandro Nesta will need to rely on the squad’s depth to address these setbacks.

Monza Tactics and Formation

Monza Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 3-4-3
• Key Forward: Dany Mota
• Midfield Pair: Pedro Pereira, Kacper Urbanski
• Defensive Setup: Three central defenders with Danilo D’Ambrosio, Armando Izzo, and Andrea Carboni
• Key Strategy: Using width to stretch play, with attacking midfielders pushing forward

Coach Alessandro Nesta aims to stabilize Monza’s defense given their recent struggles. The 3-4-3 formation focuses on maintaining a solid backline while providing width through wing-backs Pedro Pereira and Giorgos Kyriakopoulos.

With Dany Mota leading the attack, supported by Patrick Ciurria and Silvere Ganvoula, Monza will look to capitalize on counterattacks despite recent injuries. Frequent substitutions may be expected to manage player fatigue and maintain tactical discipline throughout the match.

Lecce Team Analysis

Lecce Recent Performance

Lecce’s recent form has been a mixed bag of results. They have shown some resilience, managing one win, two draws, and two losses in their last five matches. This streak is encapsulated by their performances, such as the solid draw against Monza and the impressive 3-1 away victory over Parma.

Home team	Away team	Result
Monza	Lecce	0-0 (Draw)
Lecce	Bologna	0-0 (Draw)
Parma Calcio 1913	Lecce	1-3 (Win)
Lecce	Inter	0-4 (Loss)
Cagliari	Lecce	4-1 (Loss)

Lecce have scored an average of 1.40 goals per match in their last five games while keeping one clean sheet. Nikola Krstovic has been pivotal, being the top scorer with 7 goals. Giampaolo’s team relies on a structured defensive setup, which has seen them concede fewer in some matches but remain vulnerable in others.

Lecce Key Players

Nikola Krstovic stands out as Lecce’s most pivotal player, leading the goal-scoring charts with 7 goals. His clinical finishing will be crucial against Monza’s vulnerable defense. In midfield, the trio of Lassana Coulibaly, Balthazar Pierret, and Thórir Jóhann Helgason provides a solid structure and creativity, which Lecce relies on to transition from defense to attack.

Defensively, Frédéric Guilbert and Federico Baschirotto are key to keeping Monza’s forwards at bay, particularly Dany Mota, who is Monza’s top scorer.

Expected lineup for Lecce:

• Goalkeeper: Wladimiro Falcone
• Defenders: Gaby Jean, Frédéric Guilbert, Federico Baschirotto, Antonino Gallo
• Midfielders: Thórir Jóhann Helgason, Balthazar Pierret, Lassana Coulibaly
• Attackers: Santiago Pierotti, Nikola Krstovic, Tete Morente

Lecce Suspensions & Injuries

Player	Injury	Expected return
Filip Marchwinski	Cruciate ligament injury	Out for season

Currently, Lecce does not have any players suspended for this match.
The absence of Filip Marchwinski, who is out for the season with a cruciate ligament injury, could impact Lecce’s midfield depth and rotation options. His injury means more responsibility falls on the shoulders of Thórir Jóhann Helgason, Balthazar Pierret, and Lassana Coulibaly to maintain consistency in the middle of the park.
However, Lecce’s recent solid performances show they have managed well in his absence. Their midfield resilience is key to transitioning swiftly from defense to attack, making their structured approach vital against Monza.

Lecce Tactics and Formation

Lecce’s Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-2-3-1
• Key Forward: Nikola Krstovic, who is their top scorer with 7 goals.
• Defensive Line: Gaby Jean, Frédéric Guilbert, Federico Baschirotto, and Antonino Gallo.
• Midfield Trio: Thórir Jóhann Helgason, Balthazar Pierret, and Lassana Coulibaly.

Lecce relies on a structured defensive setup coupled with quick counterattacks. Their 4-2-3-1 formation allows for a solid backline, complemented by Pierret and Coulibaly’s ability to transition swiftly.

With Krstovic upfront, Lecce aims to capitalize on Monza’s defensive vulnerabilities, especially in transition plays. This strategic approach has proven effective, evidenced by their ability to secure points even against tougher opponents.

Monza vs Lecce Head-to-Head Statistics

Home	Away	Result
Monza	Lecce	0-0
Lecce	Monza	2-1
Lecce	Monza	1-1
Monza	Lecce	1-1
Monza	Lecce	0-1

Monza and Lecce’s encounters have often been closely contested. The last five meetings highlight Lecce’s slight upper hand, with two wins compared to Monza’s zero victories and three draws.

The pattern indicates fewer than 2.5 goals in 80% of these clashes, suggesting a tendency towards tight, low-scoring affairs. Monza will need to tighten their defense to avoid repeating past mistakes against Lecce’s strategic counterattacks.

Odds accurate as of 17.02.2025 10:05, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.