Inter Milan v Getafe Betting Tips & Predictions - bettingexpert

Inter Milan v Getafe Prediction

Inter Milan host Getafe for the first leg of this Europa League round-of-16 match. There’s a lot on the line for the home side who ended their domestic campaign on a high after securing second-place in Serie A on Saturday evening. Now, manager Antonio Conte will be looking to end his side’s season on a high with a win here.

Inter Milan v Getafe Recent Form

Inter Milan come into this game on a great run of form. Conte’s men have lost just one of their last 14 matches in all competitions after ending their domestic season on a high. Things are just starting to click for them. Meanwhile, Getafe have had a tough time of it. They’ve won just one of their last 12 including a loss in their most recent Europa League match.
Inter Milan v Getafe Recent Matchups

This will be the first meeting between the two clubs. Inter have never met Getafe and it’s even the first time that the La Liga side has come up against an Italian opponent in a competitive match. Inter, meanwhile, have played their fair share of matches against Spanish opposition, their most recent of which was against FC Barcelona in the UEFA Champions League this season.

Inter Milan v Getafe Stats & Analysis

It’s a daunting task for Getafe as they play their first UEFA match against Italian opposition. They’re coming up against an Inter Milan side in fine form and playing a very efficient style of football. They’re amongst the top scorers in the league and conceded fewer goals than any other side after missing out on the Serie A title by a single point. But it’s not as if they’ve been blowing sides away in matches. Just six of their 24 domestic wins have been by a margin of 3+ goals. That efficiency is emphasised by the fact that no side won a higher percentage of their Serie A matches to nil than Inter Milan at 32%.

But there is some cause for hope for Getafe. The fact is that Inter Milan lost the league because they underperformed at home. When comparing average points per match, No side in Serie A had a bigger drop-off from their away form to their home performances during the season. That underperformance has extended to European football in recent years. That 2-1 win over Ludogorets in the previous round was just their second win in their last five European matches while classified as the home team.

But Getafe’s away form will give them little confidence, especially when looking at European matches. They’ve notched up just two wins in their last nine Europa League away matches but both of them came during this season’s competition.

Inter Milan v Getafe Bets

So perhaps it’s no surprise to see that Inter Milan are the big favourites here. They’re 5/6 to secure the win in 90 minutes and take a lead to Spain for the second leg. You’ll get odds of 4/1 for Getafe to pull off a rare away win for them with a draw at 3/1. However, it may not be worth backing the tie here. Alongside Sporting CP, Getafe are the only other side that has not had a draw in any of the eight matches they’ve played in the Europa League this season. It’s a run that even goes back to 2010 for them.

Instead, punters should be looking at a comfortable home victory. As previously mentioned, no side won more of their Serie A matches to nil than Inter Milan did this season at 32%. This outcome looks a great deal likelier when you examine Getafe’s recent goalscoring stats in away matches. They’ve failed to score in each of their last four matches, a run lasting over 400 minutes. Inter to win to nil is 7/4.

But it may not be worth backing a huge win with a European handicap. Inter tend to keep things a little tighter compared to some of the other sides in Italy. There has been an average of three goals per game in their home matches this campaign but that’s gone down to 2.25 in the last four matches. There’s a reason why under 2.5 total match goals is available at the low price 8/11.