Genoa vs. Venezia Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 17 February 2025 - bettingexpert
On 17 February 2025, Genoa will take on Venezia at Stadio Luigi Ferraris in a crucial Serie A fixture. Kicking off at 19:45, this match could have significant implications for both teams as Genoa aim to climb the mid-table, while Venezia fight to escape the relegation zone.
Genoa, currently sitting 12th with 27 points, are slight favourites according to bookmakers with odds of 1.87 for a win. Despite injury concerns with key players like Honest Ahanor, Morten Thorsby, and Milan Badelj, Genoa have shown strong home form, highlighted by their 1-1 draw against Torino.
Meanwhile, Venezia are having a tough season, languishing in 19th place with just 16 points. Winless in their last seven games, Coach Eusebio Di Francesco’s side desperately need a turnaround to avoid relegation.
Given the form and quality disparities, the recommended bet is for Genoa to win, as their solid home defence could overwhelm Venezia’s struggling attack.
Genoa vs Venezia Prediction & Betting Tip
Our recommended betting tip for this match is to back Genoa to win. Here’s why this is a strong choice:
Genoa vs Venezia Prediction | |
---|---|
Betting tip | Odds |
Genoa to win | 1.87 |
- Genoa have displayed solid form at home, with two clean sheets in their last five games, showing defensive resilience.
- Venezia have struggled away from home, failing to record a clean sheet in their last five games and often dropping points.
- Genoa possess better individual quality, notably their top scorer Andrea Pinamonti, giving them an attacking edge.
Genoa vs Venezia Odds
Let’s break down the odds for this intriguing encounter:
Genoa vs Venezia Betting Odds | |
---|---|
Bet | Odds |
Genoa | 1.87 |
Draw | 3.44 |
Venezia | 4.26 |
These odds clearly show Genoa as the favourites, reflecting their better form and higher standing in the league table.
- Genoa’s odds of 1.87 highlight their strong home form and solid defensive record, with two clean sheets in the last five games.
- A draw is priced at 3.44, considering both teams have had recent draws.
- Venezia, listed at 4.26, have a challenging task ahead, given their winless run and defensive vulnerabilities.
Genoa Team Analysis
Genoa Recent Performance:
Genoa’s recent form has been a mixed bag, with results showcasing both potential and areas for improvement. Here’s a look at their last five matches:
Home team | Away team | Result |
---|---|---|
Torino | Genoa | 1-1 (Draw) |
Fiorentina | Genoa | 2-1 (Loss) |
Genoa | Monza | 2-0 (Win) |
Roma | Genoa | 3-1 (Loss) |
Genoa | Parma Calcio 1913 | 1-0 (Win) |
Genoa have scored 1.20 goals on average in their last five games and kept two clean sheets. Under Patrick Vieira, the team has shown defensive solidity at home. With tenacity in midfield and players like Andrea Pinamonti leading the attack, Genoa are aiming for consistency in their bid to secure a mid-table position.
Genoa Key Players
Genoa’s squad for this upcoming match against Venezia is expected to feature some familiar faces. Andrea Pinamonti is the main man for Genoa up front, being the team’s top scorer with 7 goals this season. His performance will be pivotal against a Venezia defense that has struggled this season.
In the midfield, Fabio Miretti and Patrizio Masini will be crucial in dictating play and providing stability in the middle of the park. Miretti’s creativity and Masini’s tenacity will be essential in disrupting Venezia’s midfield and creating chances.
Defensively, Johan Vásquez and Koni De Winter will be tasked with keeping Venezia’s Joel Pohjanpalo at bay. Their performances in the heart of the defense will be critical for keeping a clean sheet.
Expected lineup for Genoa:
- Goalkeeper: Nicola Leali
- Defenders: Stefano Sabelli, Koni De Winter, Johan Vásquez, Aaron Martin
- Midfielders: Morten Frendrup, Patrizio Masini, Fabio Miretti, Alessandro Zanoli, Vitinha
- Attacker: Andrea Pinamonti
Genoa Suspensions & Injuries
Genoa has several key players sidelined due to injuries for the upcoming match against Venezia. This could significantly impact their performance, especially in midfield and attack. Here’s a detailed look at the current injuries:
Player | Injury | Expected return |
---|---|---|
Ruslan Malinovskyi | Broken ankle | Doubtful |
Honest Ahanor | Meniscus injury | Early March 2025 |
Maxwel Cornet | Muscle injury | Doubtful |
Morten Thorsby | Calf injury | Late February 2025 |
Milan Badelj | Muscle injury | Late February 2025 |
nnThese injuries could compromise Genoa’s midfield stability and attacking options. Vieira will need to rely on the available squad depth to fill these gaps effectively. |
Genoa Tactics and Formation
Genoa Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 4-3-3
- Key Forward: Andrea Pinamonti
- Midfield Trio: Morten Frendrup, Fabio Miretti, Patrizio Masini
- Defensive Strength: Two clean sheets in the last five games.
- Notable Strategy: Strong at home, leveraging quick counter-attacks.
Under Patrick Vieira, Genoa typically sets up in a 4-3-3 formation, aiming for a balanced approach between defense and attack. Andrea Pinamonti, the top scorer, leads the line, looking to exploit spaces created by wingers Alessandro Zanoli and Vitinha.
The midfield, slightly weakened due to injuries, still holds with Morten Frendrup, Fabio Miretti, and Patrizio Masini providing a mix of defensive cover and creative play.
Defensively, Genoa has been stable, focusing on maintaining a tight backline to compensate for the occasional lack of midfield depth. They leverage quick transitions, often emphasizing counter-attacks to unsettle their opponents, particularly effective at their home ground, Stadio Luigi Ferraris.
Venezia Team Analysis
Venezia Recent Performance
- Recent Form: LLDDL
- Average goals scored: 0.80
- Clean sheets: 0
Venezia have faced a challenging run of fixtures, reflected in their recent form where they have struggled to secure victories. The team has registered a disappointing zero clean sheets in their past five matches, conceding goals frequently. On average, they have only scored 0.80 goals per game, showcasing their offensive struggles.
Home team | Away team | Result |
---|---|---|
Venezia | Roma | 0-1 (Loss) |
Udinese | Venezia | 3-2 (Loss) |
Venezia | Verona | 1-1 (Draw) |
Parma Calcio 1913 | Venezia | 1-1 (Draw) |
Venezia | Inter | 0-1 (Loss) |
Venezia have been defensively vulnerable, conceding an average of 1.5 goals per match this season. This defensive fragility, coupled with their difficulty in finding the net, has left them struggling in the relegation zone with just 16 points. Their most recent matches highlight the ongoing defensive and attacking issues, making their upcoming fixtures particularly critical.
Venezia Key Players
Expected lineup for Venezia:
- Goalkeeper: Ionut Radu
- Defenders: Alessandro Marcandalli, Jay Idzes, Fali Candé
- Midfielders: Alessio Zerbin, Kike Pérez, Hans Nicolussi Caviglia, Gianluca Busio, Mikael Egill Ellertsson
- Attackers: Gaetano Oristanio, Daniel Fila
Venezia will rely heavily on their key contributors like Joel Pohjanpalo, their top scorer with six goals, to break through Genoa’s defenses. Kike Pérez in midfield is another pivotal player, responsible for transitioning play and supporting both defense and attack.
The key battle to watch will be Pohjanpalo against Genoa’s central defenders, Johan Vásquez and Alan Matturro, determining which team’s defense will stand firm under pressure.
Venezia Suspensions & Injuries
Player | Injury | Expected return |
---|---|---|
Michael Svoboda | Knee injury | Doubtful |
Richie Sagrado | Muscle injury | Late February 2025 |
Filip Stankovic | Hamstring Injury | Early March 2025 |
These injuries could have a significant impact on Venezia’s performance. Svoboda’s potential absence could weaken their defense, which is already a concern given their inconsistency this season. Sagrado and Stankovic’s injuries further deplete their roster, leaving coach Eusebio Di Francesco with limited options to rotate his squad. This could make it even harder for Venezia to secure important points at this crucial stage of the season.
Venezia Tactics and Formation
Venezia’s Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 3-5-2
- Key Forward: Daniel Fila
- Midfield Anchor: Hans Nicolussi Caviglia
- Defensive Stance: Concede 1.5 goals on average in 24 matches this season.
- Current Strategy: Defensive solidity with an emphasis on wing play.
Expect Venezia to line up in their usual 3-5-2 formation. Key forward Daniel Fila will aim to exploit gaps in Genoa’s backline, supported by Hans Nicolussi Caviglia in midfield, who orchestrates play.
The wingbacks, Alessio Zerbin and Mikael Egill Ellertsson, are critical, offering width and crossing opportunities.
However, with ongoing defensive issues and several key players injured, Venezia may struggle to maintain their defensive shape, often relying on counter-attacks and set pieces for scoring opportunities.
Genoa vs Venezia Head-to-Head Statistics
Analyzing the last five meetings between Genoa and Venezia:
Home | Away | Result |
---|---|---|
Venezia | Genoa | 2-0 |
Venezia | Genoa | 1-3 |
Genoa | Venezia | 1-4 |
Genoa | Venezia | 1-0 |
Venezia | Genoa | 1-2 |
Genoa and Venezia have had an intriguing set of encounters in recent times, showcasing a balanced competition. Although Genoa enter the upcoming match at Stadio Luigi Ferraris as the favourites, the recent head-to-head suggests that Venezia can be a challenging opponent, despite struggling in the current season.
Odds accurate as of 15.02.2025 19:46, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.