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Freiburg vs. Union Berlin Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 30 March 2025 - bettingexpert

Freiburg-Union Berlin
Freiburg
Union Berlin
Recent form:
SCF
FCU
4 Tips
1
2.00
0 Tips
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3.50
0 Tips
2
3.90

The upcoming Bundesliga clash on 30 March 2025 sees sixth-placed Freiburg taking on 13th-placed Union Berlin at Europa-Park Stadion. Freiburg are favoured by bookmakers, with odds of 1.98 for a home win, and they have shown strong form lately with three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five games.

In contrast, Union Berlin have had an inconsistent run, managing just one victory, two draws, and two losses in their last five matches—highlighted by a surprising 1-1 draw against Bayern Munich before the international break.

Freiburg, coached by Julian Schuster, will be eager to maintain their unbeaten home streak and further cement their position in the race for Champions League spots. The likes of Vincenzo Grifo, who has netted eight goals this season, will be crucial. Despite an Achilles tendon injury ruling out Bruno Ogbus for the season, Freiburg’s defence remains sturdy with three clean sheets in their recent outings.

Union Berlin face challenges, especially in defence, and have not kept a clean sheet in their last five games. Key player Benedict Hollerbach will need to step up as the visitors aim to break their away-day blues. With a predicted Freiburg win seeming likely, Union Berlin’s inconsistency on the road could tilt the balance in favour of the home team.

Given Freiburg’s strong home performance and Union Berlin’s struggles away, betting on a Freiburg win offers a solid recommendation for this fixture. Expect a keenly contested match with Freiburg pushing hard for vital points in their European campaign.

Freiburg vs Union Berlin Prediction & Betting tip

Given Freiburg’s solid performance at home and Union Berlin’s struggles on the road, the recommended betting tip is a home win for Freiburg.

Freiburg vs Union Berlin Prediction
Betting tip Odds
Freiburg to Win 1.98
  • Freiburg have shown strong home form with 3 wins in their last 5 games.
  • Union Berlin have been inconsistent away, managing only 1 win in their last 5 away matches.
  • Freiburg are currently racing for a Champions League spot, adding extra motivation for a home victory.

Expect Freiburg to leverage their solid defense and attacking prowess, led by Vincenzo Grifo, to secure a crucial win.

Freiburg vs Union Berlin Odds

Here’s a look at the betting odds for the upcoming clash between Freiburg and Union Berlin at the Europa-Park Stadion.

Freiburg vs Union Berlin Betting Odds
Bet Odds
Freiburg 1.98
Draw 3.39
Union Berlin 3.86

Freiburg are considered the bookmakers’ favourites in this matchup, with odds of 1.98 for a home win.

A draw is valued at 3.39, while a Union Berlin win is less favoured at 3.86.

Given Freiburg’s strong home form and Union Berlin’s struggles on the road, betting on a home win could be a smart move.

Freiburg Team Analysis

Freiburg Recent Performance

Freiburg’s recent form has been steady, though not exemplary, with 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss in their last 5 matches. They have managed to keep 3 clean sheets during this period and have scored an average of 1.60 goals per game.

Home team Away team Date Competition Result
Freiburg Karlsruher SC 2025-03-20 Club Friendlies 1-2 (Loss)
Mainz 05 Freiburg 2025-03-15 Bundesliga 2-2 (Draw)
Freiburg RB Leipzig 2025-03-08 Bundesliga 0-0 (Draw)
Augsburg Freiburg 2025-03-02 Bundesliga 0-0 (Draw)
Freiburg Werder Bremen 2025-02-21 Bundesliga 5-0 (Win)

This level of consistency is vital as they aim to stay within reach of the Champions League spots. Given that they have not lost in 7 consecutive Bundesliga matches and have a solid defensive record recently, Freiburg looks well-positioned to secure a victory against Union Berlin. They face Borussia Dortmund next, making this match even more critical for securing valuable points.

Freiburg Key Players

Freiburg’s primary attacking threat comes from Vincenzo Grifo, who is their top scorer with eight goals this season. He will be pivotal in breaking down Union Berlin’s defense. Another key player to watch is Lucas Höler, expected to operate in the attacking midfield role, providing crucial link-up play. Defensively, Matthias Ginter and Philipp Lienhart will be tasked with neutralizing Union Berlin’s forwards. Key individual battles include Grifo against Union Berlin’s central defense led by Danilho Doekhi and Diogo Leite. Additionally, Freiburg’s midfield duo Maximilian Eggestein and Patrick Osterhage must contend with Union Berlin’s Janik Haberer and Rani Khedira.

Expected lineup for Freiburg:

  • Goalkeeper: Noah Atubolu
  • Defenders: Kiliann Sildillia, Matthias Ginter, Philipp Lienhart, Christian Günter
  • Midfielders: Ritsu Doan, Maximilian Eggestein, Patrick Osterhage, Vincenzo Grifo, Lucas Höler
  • Forward: Junior Adamu

Freiburg Suspensions & Injuries

Freiburg are dealing with a few significant injuries that could impact their performance against Union Berlin.

Player Injury Expected return
Daniel-Kofi Kyereh Knee surgery Early April 2025
Bruno Ogbus Achilles tendon injury Out for the season
Merlin Röhl Heel injury Mid April 2025

The absence of Daniel-Kofi Kyereh, a key player in midfield, may disrupt Freiburg’s ability to control the game’s pace. Bruno Ogbus and Merlin Röhl’s injuries further thin their options in defense. The squad will need to dig deep and rely on their bench strength, which could be a crucial factor in this match.

Freiburg Tactics and Formation

Freiburg Tactical Breakdown:

  • Formation: 4-2-3-1
  • Key Forward: Junior Adamu
  • Midfield Configuration:
    • Right Midfielder: Ritsu Doan
    • Right Central Midfielder: Maximilian Eggestein
    • Left Central Midfielder: Patrick Osterhage
    • Left Midfielder: Vincenzo Grifo
  • Defensive Line-up:
    • Right Back: Kiliann Sildillia
    • Right Centre Back: Matthias Ginter
    • Left Centre Back: Philipp Lienhart
    • Left Back: Christian Günter
  • Goalkeeper: Noah Atubolu

Strategies and Strengths:

  • Freiburg employs a 4-2-3-1 formation designed to balance offensive and defensive duties.
  • Vincenzo Grifo, with 8 goals, is pivotal for creating scoring opportunities from the left flank.
  • The team has shown strong defensive capabilities, having kept three clean sheets in their last five matches.
  • Maximilian Eggestein and Patrick Osterhage are crucial in midfield for controlling possession and transitioning play.
  • Notable Strategy: Freiburg tends to be vulnerable in the 61-75 minute interval, having conceded most of their goals during this period.

Union Berlin Team Analysis

Union Berlin Recent Performance

Union Berlin has had a challenging run lately, with just one win in their last five matches. Their recent form reads DWLLL, highlighting their inconsistency. They have struggled to keep clean sheets, having recorded none in their last five games, and have averaged only 0.80 goals scored during this period.

Home team Away team Date Competition Result
Union Berlin Bayern Munich 2025-03-15 Bundesliga 1-1 (Draw)
Eintracht Frankfurt Union Berlin 2025-03-09 Bundesliga 1-2 (Win)
Union Berlin Holstein Kiel 2025-03-02 Bundesliga 0-1 (Loss)
Borussia Dortmund Union Berlin 2025-02-22 Bundesliga 6-0 (Loss)
Union Berlin Borussia Moenchengladbach 2025-02-15 Bundesliga 1-2 (Loss)

Union Berlin’s away games have particularly been a sore spot, and their defensive lapses have cost them points. The match against Freiburg will be crucial for Steffen Baumgart’s side to bounce back and improve their standing.

Union Berlin Key Players

Union Berlin will rely heavily on their key players to turn their recent form around. Leading the line is Benedict Hollerbach, the team’s top scorer with 7 goals. His ability to find the back of the net will be crucial, especially against a Freiburg side that has kept 3 clean sheets in its last 5 games.
In midfield, Rani Khedira’s experience and leadership will be vital in controlling the play. Alongside him, Janik Haberer will be tasked with breaking up Freiburg’s attacks and transitioning the ball forward.

Expected lineup for Union Berlin:

  • Goalkeeper: Frederik Rønnow
  • Defenders: Danilho Doekhi, Leopold Querfeld, Diogo Leite
  • Midfielders: Christopher Trimmel, Janik Haberer, Rani Khedira, András Schäfer, Josip Juranovic
  • Attackers: Andrej Ilic, Woo-yeong Jeong

Key individual battles to watch out for include Hollerbach against Freiburg’s Matthias Ginter, which could be pivotal in deciding the outcome of the match.

Union Berlin Suspensions & Injuries

Union Berlin are currently dealing with several critical injuries that could influence their performance in this match. Here’s the latest on their injury concerns:

Player Injury Expected Return
Aljoscha Kemlein Foot injury Out for season
Oluwaseun Ogbemudia Foot injury Early April 2025
Robert Skov Calf injury About a week

The absence of Aljoscha Kemlein for the remainder of the season is particularly concerning, as his injury leaves the team short on defensive options. Oluwaseun Ogbemudia’s return is anticipated soon, but he will miss this crucial away fixture.
Robert Skov’s calf injury leaves a potential gap in midfield creativity and attacking prowess, which Union Berlin will need to address carefully in Freiburg.
These injuries may force Coach Steffen Baumgart to shuffle his line-up and tactical approach, potentially hindering Union Berlin’s ability to secure a positive result.

Union Berlin Tactics and Formation

Union Berlin’s Tactical Breakdown:

  • Formation: 3-4-1-2
  • Key Forwards: Andrej Ilic, Woo-yeong Jeong
  • Midfield Line:
    • Right Midfielder: Christopher Trimmel
    • Right Central Midfielder: Janik Haberer
    • Central Midfielder: Rani Khedira
    • Left Central Midfielder: András Schäfer
    • Left Midfielder: Josip Juranović
  • Defensive Setup:
    • Right Center Back: Danilho Doekhi
    • Central Back: Leopold Querfeld
    • Left Center Back: Diogo Leite
  • Key Strategy: Shifting from a compact defensive line to quick counter-attacks.

Union Berlin is likely to adopt a formation that emphasizes defensive solidity with three central defenders. They will aim to leverage their speed on the wings through Trimmel and Juranović while looking for Ilic and Jeong to spearhead the attack. Considering Freiburg’s recent form, Union Berlin’s primary focus might be on keeping a tight defense and hitting on the break, particularly exploiting the 61-75 minute window where Freiburg has shown vulnerability.
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Freiburg vs Union Berlin Head-to-Head Statistics

Home team Away team Date Competition Result
Union Berlin Freiburg 2024-11-08 Bundesliga 0-0 (Draw)
Union Berlin Freiburg 2024-05-18 Bundesliga 2-1 (Loss)
Freiburg Union Berlin 2024-01-13 Bundesliga 0-0 (Draw)
Union Berlin Freiburg 2023-05-13 Bundesliga 4-2 (Loss)
Freiburg Union Berlin 2022-11-13 Bundesliga 4-1 (Win)

Freiburg and Union Berlin’s recent encounters have been tightly contested, with a mix of competitive draws and decisive wins.
From their last five meetings, Freiburg holds the upper hand with two wins. However, Union Berlin has managed some solid results too, indicating this could be a closely-fought match.

Odds accurate as of 28 March 2025, 13:31, and are subject to change.
Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any {bookmaker}.

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